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Assured Guaranty(AGO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-07 14:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted book value per share reached a record high of $181.37, and adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share also hit a record of $123.10 at the end of Q3 2025 [5] - Year-to-date adjusted operating income was $6.77 per share, reflecting a 17% increase compared to the same period last year [5] - Adjusted operating income for Q3 2025 was $124 million or $2.57 per share, compared to $130 million or $2.42 per share in Q3 2024 [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Financial guarantee production in Q3 2025 was $91 million of PVP, a 44% increase from Q3 2024 and a 42% increase from Q2 2025 [5] - U.S. public finance transactions totaled $7.9 billion of par in Q3 2025, up from $5.4 billion in Q3 2024 [8] - Secondary market U.S. public finance generated $32 million of PVP in the first nine months of 2025, compared to $5 million in the same period of 2024 [11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. municipal bond issuance increased by over $50 billion in the first nine months of 2025 compared to the record issuance in the same period of 2024 [9] - Assured Guaranty insured 63% of the total insured U.S. municipal market par sold in the first nine months of 2025, up from 57% in the same period of 2024 [9] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is looking to expand its insurance businesses into new sectors and markets while diversifying revenue sources for sustainable growth [7] - There is a focus on shorter duration structured finance transactions that allow for quicker capital recycling and better return on equity [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the domestic public finance market returning to normal activity levels after a skewed mix in earlier quarters [35] - The company sees significant growth opportunities in both U.S. public finance and global structured finance, particularly in infrastructure and regulatory capital needs [34][36] Other Important Information - The Board of Directors authorized an additional $100 million in share repurchases, bringing the total authorization to over $330 million [7] - The investment portfolio's performance has been enhanced by alternative investments, achieving an annualized internal rate of return of approximately 13% [7][17] Q&A Session Summary Question: Changes to the investment portfolio and allocation to higher-yielding sectors - Management is focused on optimizing yield while maintaining a safe portfolio with adequate liquidity [23] Question: Issues with Brightline transportation exposure - Management indicated that Brightline is experiencing typical startup growing pains but remains comfortable with their exposure [24] Question: Opportunities in the current data center CapEx cycle - The company is actively evaluating opportunities in data centers and has executed in new areas like liquid natural gas [27] Question: Pipeline for growing written premium into 2026 - Management sees great opportunities across all three financial guarantee lines of business, particularly in U.S. public finance and global structured finance [33][34] Question: Positive developments in Puerto Rico and PREPA exposure - Management emphasized the importance of a deal for recognizing the value of reserves and claims related to PREPA [38]
Assured Guaranty(AGO) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-07 14:00
Assured Guaranty (NYSE:AGO) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 07, 2025 08:00 AM ET Speaker0Good morning and welcome to the Assured Guaranty Limited third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. My name is Becky, and I'll be your operator for today's call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing Star, then Zero on your telephone. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you m ...
Freddie Mac Sells $4.9 Million in Non-Performing Loans
Globenewswire· 2025-11-04 20:38
MCLEAN, Va., Nov. 04, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Freddie Mac (OTCQB: FMCC) today announced it sold via auction 25 deeply delinquent non-performing residential first lien loans (NPLs) from its mortgage-related investments portfolio to Revolve Capital LLC. The loans, with a balance of approximately $4.9 million, are currently serviced by Select Portfolio Servicing, Inc. The sale is part of Freddie Mac’s Extended Timeline Pool Offering (EXPO®) and the transaction is expected to settle in December 2025. Freddie M ...
Fannie Mae Announces Sale of Reperforming Loans
Prnewswire· 2025-08-12 14:00
This sale of reperforming loans is being marketed in collaboration with Citigroup Global Markets, Inc. Bids are due on September 4, 2025. Reperforming loans are loans that have been or are currently delinquent but have reperformed for a period of time. The terms of Fannie Mae's reperforming loan sale require the buyer to offer loss mitigation options to any borrower who may re-default within five years following the closing of the reperforming loan sale. All purchasers are required to honor any approved or ...
Assured Guaranty(AGO) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-08 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Adjusted book value per share reached a record high of $176.95, and adjusted operating shareholders' equity per share also reached a record high of $120.11 at the end of Q2 2025 [6] - Adjusted operating income for Q2 2025 was $50 million or $1.1 per share, compared to $80 million or $1.44 per share in Q2 2024 [22][25] - Net earned premiums and net investment income increased, contributing to the earnings power of core earnings [22] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company insured $14.1 billion of new issued par sold in the primary market, a 30% increase compared to the same period last year [13] - In the secondary market, the company wrote nearly $900 million of policies in the first half of 2025, with over $500 million in Q2 alone, representing a 150% increase compared to the total amount insured in all of 2024 [8][13] - The insurance segment contributed $76 million to adjusted operating income, while the asset management segment contributed $4 million [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - US municipal issuance was 17% ahead of last year's record pace through June 30, 2025 [7] - The total market volume reached $278 billion by June 30, 2025, with forecasts suggesting that municipal issuance in 2025 could surpass $500 billion [20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain its leadership position in US municipal bond insurance while expanding and diversifying its global infrastructure and structured finance reach [12] - A share repurchase program with a target of $500 million for the year is in place, with $296 million already repurchased as of August 6, 2025 [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the growth trajectory in both US and non-US markets, citing a strong competitive position and excellent capital and earnings [11] - The company is well-positioned for the second half of the year, with many attractive opportunities in global infrastructure and structured finance [20] Other Important Information - The company received affirmations of its financial strength ratings from S&P Global Ratings and KBRA, both with stable outlooks [11] - A $250 million stock redemption by the US insurance subsidiary was approved, expected to be executed in 2025 [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Impact of lower interest rates on AGO's opportunities - Management noted that a lower interest rate environment could depress premium volume but may also lead to more issuers in the market, balancing the impact [33][34][39] Question: Increase in big exposures and loss expenses - Management explained that the increase in loss expenses is due to additional reserves on certain UK regulated utility and US municipal revenue exposures, emphasizing their strong surveillance team [40][68] Question: Future of Puerto Rico Oversight Board and restructuring - Management expressed optimism that changes in the Puerto Rico Oversight Board could lead to improvements in restructuring processes, viewing it as a potential positive development [52][54] Question: Performance of contingent value instruments - The company holds approximately $117 million in contingent value securities, which have performed well, and expects continued improvement [58][60]