Hedera has come under renewed pressure after a broader market downturn dragged HBAR lower. The recent price drop reflects bearish cues driven by macro uncertainty and weakness in Bitcoin.  While the long-term outlook for Hedera remains constructive, near-term recovery attempts may struggle as market headwinds continue to weigh on sentiment. HBAR Has A Different Target Price action remains macro bullish, with HBAR trading inside a well-defined descending channel. The rejection from the channel’s upper bo ...

Bitcoin clawed its way back above $71,000 on Thursday after a sharp selloff earlier in the day dragged prices briefly below the $70,000 mark, mirroring tentative stabilization across global markets. The move came as a broader rout in technology stocks showed signs of fatigue. Futures tied to the Nasdaq 100 edged higher after two bruising sessions that erased the index’s gains for the year, while European stocks steadied and Asian markets trimmed losses. Bitcoin had fallen as much as 7% over the previous ...

Group 1: Market Sentiment and Analyst Ratings - Investor sentiment has cooled since the third quarter due to a lack of near-term catalysts and rising anxiety over autonomous vehicle (AV) risk [2] - Wedbush analysts suggested "incremental caution" across the mobility, delivery, and grocery sectors heading into the fourth-quarter earnings season, maintaining a Neutral rating on Uber with a $78 price target [1] - The outlook for Lyft and Instacart was bearish, with Underperform ratings assigned to both stocks [2] Group 2: Company-Specific Insights - Lyft has struggled with weak app engagement and a significant deceleration in monthly active user (MAU) growth compared to the third quarter, leading to a maintained price target of $16 [3] - Instacart faces fierce competition from omnichannel retailers like Amazon and Walmart, with a price target maintained at $36, while order growth is expected to moderate [3] - DoorDash is highlighted as the top pick with an Outperform rating and a $270 price target, expecting adjusted EBITDA margin expansion through 2026 supported by its growing advertising segment and increased efficiencies in logistics [4] Group 3: Upcoming Earnings Reports - Uber is set to report before the opening bell on February 4, Lyft after the closing bell on February 10, DoorDash after the market closes on February 18, and Maplebear after the closing bell on February 12 [5]

Group 1 - Crypto markets experienced significant liquidations exceeding $550 million, primarily affecting Bitcoin and Ethereum, as macroeconomic uncertainties intensified [1][7] - Bitcoin briefly fell to the $86,000 level, while Ethereum declined towards $2,785, indicating a bearish trend in the digital asset space [1] - Traditional safe havens like gold and silver saw an increase in demand as investors shifted towards lower-risk assets amid the crypto market pullback [2] Group 2 - Key macro developments influencing market sentiment include potential 100% tariffs on Canadian imports, fears of a US government shutdown, and uncertainty regarding US-Japan currency coordination [3] - The USD/JPY currency pair remains a focal point, with the New York Fed's recent "rate check" indicating sensitivity to yen depreciation, which could trigger intervention if the yen weakens further [4] - Political tensions in the US, particularly regarding unresolved fiscal negotiations, are contributing to market volatility, with a 75% chance of a government shutdown by January 31, which could negatively impact crypto prices [5][6]

Group 1 - China has reduced its U.S. Treasury holdings for nine consecutive months, reaching the lowest level since 2008, indicating a lack of confidence in U.S. debt as a safe asset [1][4] - The global dollar reserves have decreased to approximately 57-58%, the lowest since the 1990s, while central bank gold holdings have doubled since 2014, suggesting a shift in investment strategies [5] - Bitcoin is emerging as a digital alternative to gold, benefiting from macroeconomic uncertainty and the declining trust in traditional government debt [5][6] Group 2 - The selling of U.S. Treasuries by major countries like China and Japan signals a potential shift in how money flows across various asset classes, impacting everyday investors [2][6] - Gold prices have surged to $4,200 per ounce, reflecting central banks' diversification strategies, while Bitcoin tends to lag behind but eventually catches up as retail investors react to the same macroeconomic narratives [6][7] - The U.S. may face increased pressure to attract buyers for its debt, as indicated by Japan's potential use of its $1.1 trillion Treasury holdings as a negotiation tool [6]

Core Viewpoint - The webinar focuses on the U.S. economic outlook and market forces as they approach 2026, emphasizing the need for investors to distinguish between short-term noise and significant signals [1]. Group 1: Economic Outlook - The presentation aims to provide a data-driven analysis of the U.S. economic landscape, highlighting persistent macroeconomic uncertainties [1]. - Investors are currently facing evolving portfolio risks, making it essential to identify critical market signals [1]. Group 2: Research Leadership - Matthew Vegari, Head of Research at CWAN, leads the research desk, which delivers insights at the intersection of macroeconomics and markets [2]. - The research team utilizes proprietary data to identify shifts that influence both tactical and long-term investment decisions [2].

Core Viewpoint - As 2025 approaches, there is a growing debate regarding concentration and high valuations in large-cap stocks, alongside concerns about macroeconomic uncertainty and economic conditions, leading to a collective call for diversification, particularly highlighting opportunities in small-cap stocks [1] Group 1 - The discussion emphasizes the need for diversification in investment strategies [1] - There are concerns about the concentration of investments in large-cap stocks and their lofty valuations [1] - The macroeconomic environment and economic conditions are contributing to the call for diversification [1] Group 2 - Small-cap stocks are identified as a specific area of opportunity within the diversification strategy [1]

Group 1 - Gold and silver have significantly outperformed Bitcoin in yearly returns, with gold returning 86% and silver 60%, while Bitcoin has declined by 1.2% [1] - The rise in precious metals is attributed to fears of monetary debasement, macroeconomic uncertainty, and mixed signals from the Federal Reserve, leading investors to anticipate a potential "policy error" from the Fed [2] - Key inflation indicators, such as Core PCE, are trending towards 3% annually, particularly in services and housing, contributing to concerns about persistent inflation [3] Group 2 - Traditional equities, such as the Nasdaq and S&P 500, have also seen gains of 21% and 16% year-to-date, respectively, contrasting with Bitcoin's performance [3] - Bitcoin is currently experiencing a phase of "mid-cycle repair" following a liquidation shock in October, while equities are in a "late-cycle melt-up" driven by earnings growth and AI investments [4] - On-chain data indicates an increase in total supply in loss, suggesting capitulation among short-term holders, which is characteristic of a mid-cycle reset rather than a bear market [5] Group 3 - Despite Bitcoin's current underperformance, there is an expectation that its disconnect from precious metals and U.S. equities will be temporary, with forecasts indicating a recovery aligned with global liquidity and equity markets [6]

Core Insights - C3.ai, Inc. reported mixed results for Q2 of fiscal 2026, with earnings and revenues surpassing estimates but declining significantly year over year [1][5] Financial Performance - The company incurred an adjusted loss per share of 25 cents, which was better than the consensus estimate of a loss of 32 cents, but worse than the adjusted loss of 6 cents reported in the same quarter last year [5] - Revenues for the quarter were $75.15 million, slightly above the consensus estimate of $75.14 million, but down 20.3% from the previous year [5] - Subscription revenues decreased to $70.2 million from $81.2 million year over year, while professional services revenues fell sharply by 62.8% to $4.9 million [6] Operational Challenges - The quarterly performance was negatively impacted by a 43-day government shutdown, which disrupted federal workflows and elongated sales cycles across various sectors [2] - Softer contributions from Subscription and Professional Services businesses, along with elevated operating expenses, further pressured the bottom line [3] Strengths and Future Outlook - The Federal segment showed resilience, with bookings in Federal, Defense, and Aerospace rising 89% year over year, accounting for 45% of total bookings [4] - The company anticipates revenues for Q3 of fiscal 2026 to be between $72 million and $80 million, reflecting a decline of 19% to 27% from $98.8 million reported in the same quarter last year [9] - For the full fiscal year 2026, C3.ai expects revenues to be between $289.5 million and $309.5 million, indicating a decline of 20% to 26% from the previous year [11]

Group 1: Gold Market Insights - Gold prices are up nearly 1% and are trading at $4,262.35, just 2.95% below the record high of $4,381.44, indicating strong demand for the precious metal [1] - The rise in gold prices is attributed to growing caution among investors and rising expectations for a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December [3] - Speculation that the next Federal Reserve chair may adopt a more dovish stance is further fueling demand for gold [3] Group 2: Cryptocurrency Market Dynamics - Bitcoin's recent crash has led to a decline in the total cryptocurrency market cap by over 6%, dropping from $3.191 trillion to $3.016 trillion, with Bitcoin trading just under $86,000 [2] - The S&P 500 index is down 0.5% in premarket trading, reflecting bearish sentiment among U.S. equity investors [2] Group 3: Federal Reserve and Economic Indicators - The odds of a quarter-point rate hike in December are around 88%, but investor caution persists due to data gaps following the government shutdown [4] - Prediction markets assign an 86% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in December, while the likelihood of Jerome Powell exiting the Fed Chair by year-end is only 9% [4] - Analysts suggest that upcoming economic reports, such as the ADP employment report and core PCE data, will provide clearer signals regarding the Fed's next steps [5]