Key Takeaways CPB is down 20.4% YTD, trailing the market, its sector and industry amid broad underperformance. Weak demand in the Snacks segment hurt organic sales and is recovering slower than expected. Margin pressures from inflation, higher costs and flat pricing have pushed CPB downward.The Campbell's Company (CPB) has endured a challenging run in 2025, with its stock down 20.4% year to date. This sharp decline starkly contrasts with the broader market, underperforming the S&P 500’s modest 1.8% growth ...

Investment Rating - The report downgrades the investment rating for Hua Hong Semiconductor Ltd from Overweight to Equal-weight [1][6][27] Core Insights - The rising depreciation burden and intense pricing competition in the 8-inch wafer market are expected to lead to gross margin erosion in 2025 and 2026, indicating that the stock appears fairly valued [1][6][38] - The company guided for 2Q25 revenue of US$550-570 million, with a gross margin forecast of 7-9%, reflecting a decline due to increased depreciation costs and the ramp-up of the new 12-inch fab [3][13] - The pricing environment for 8-inch wafers remains soft, which is likely to hinder gross margin recovery for Hua Hong [4][38] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1Q25 revenue was US$541 million, showing a 0.3% increase quarter-over-quarter but an 18% decrease year-over-year, with a gross margin of 9.2%, down 2.2 percentage points from the previous quarter [2][11] - The company reported a net income of US$4 million in 1Q25, a significant decline compared to the previous year [11] Guidance and Projections - For 2Q25, the company expects revenue to be between US$550-570 million, with a gross margin of 7-9%, indicating a continued decline in profitability [3][13] - The report revises the 2025 EPS estimate down by 14% but raises the 2026 and 2027 EPS forecasts by 5% and 6%, respectively, due to anticipated capacity and shipment growth trends [23][24] Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the 12-inch wafer demand remains strong, which may gradually drive up prices, while the 8-inch wafer market faces pricing pressure due to increased competition [4][38] - The acquisition of HLMC is noted, with plans for integration by 2026, focusing on overlapping mature-node business [5][38] Valuation - The price target for Hua Hong is raised to HK$34.00 from HK$32.00, reflecting changes in the EPS estimates for 2025-2027 [25][27] - The stock is currently trading at 1.2 times the estimated book value per share for 2025, which is considered fair compared to historical averages [27][39]