Market dislocations
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Twist Bioscience Is Bent, Not Broken: Near-Term Strain, Long-Term Strength
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-18 21:32
Group 1 - Twist Bioscience's revenue growth is moderating due to macro headwinds and temporary factors affecting growth [1] - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations and businesses with long-term growth opportunities [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes smaller cap stocks and markets with less obvious competitive advantages [1] Group 2 - An aging population and low population growth are expected to create new investment opportunities, contrasting with past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, potentially improving business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economy is increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a decline in infrastructure investment needs [1]
Autodesk Q3 Preview: High Beta Stock In A Faltering Market (NASDAQ:ADSK)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-17 11:22
Autodesk's ( ADSK ) stock has performed poorly in recent years, which is largely due to the multiple expansion that occurred between 2016 and 2021. While growth is currently being boosted by a shift to direct billings, Autodesk's businessRichard Durant is the leader of Narweena, an asset manager focused on finding market dislocations that are the result of a poor understanding of a businesses long-term prospects. Narweena believes that excess risk adjusted returns can be achieved by identifying businesses w ...
Beyond Meat: Out Of Options (NASDAQ:BYND)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-14 21:43
Core Insights - Beyond Meat's share price has decreased by approximately 70% due to growing structural issues despite management's efforts to improve the situation [1] - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations caused by misunderstandings of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities [1] Company Analysis - Beyond Meat has made significant improvements to its balance sheet, indicating efforts to stabilize the company [1] - The company operates in a market facing challenges such as stagnating productivity growth and an aging population, which may create different investment opportunities compared to the past [1] Industry Trends - Many industries are expected to experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The trend towards asset-light businesses is increasing, leading to a decline in the need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1]
Beyond Meat: Out Of Options
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-14 21:43
Group 1 - Beyond Meat's share price has decreased by approximately 70% due to growing structural issues despite management's efforts to improve the situation [1] - Narweena, an asset management firm, focuses on identifying market dislocations caused by misunderstandings of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities [1] - The research process at Narweena emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a preference for smaller cap stocks and markets lacking obvious competitive advantages [1] Group 2 - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create new investment opportunities distinct from past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economic landscape is increasingly influenced by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments and resulting in a capital surplus chasing limited investment opportunities, thereby inflating asset prices and compressing risk premia [1]
AppLovin Stock: Revenue Outperformance Likely To Drive Further Upside (NASDAQ:APP)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-14 02:51
Group 1 - AppLovin (APP) is experiencing strong growth and high margins, though the drivers of this growth are unclear, particularly regarding AXON improvements and international expansion [1] - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misunderstandings of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities in markets with entry barriers [1] - The research process at Narweena emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and a long-term investment horizon targeting deeply undervalued stocks [1] Group 2 - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create new investment opportunities distinct from past trends, with some industries facing stagnation or secular decline potentially improving business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, other businesses may encounter rising costs and diseconomies of scale, while economies increasingly favor asset-light businesses, leading to a decline in infrastructure investment needs over time [1] - A significant amount of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1]
Halliburton Stock: Cost Cutting Will Only Go So Far (NYSE:HAL)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-13 03:20
Core Viewpoint - Halliburton (HAL) is currently viewed as a macro barometer, with stock performance likely to improve with better demand conditions, but it is not seen as an obvious buy at this time [1] Group 1: Company Insights - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misunderstandings of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm aims to achieve excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with high barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment strategy emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a preference for smaller cap stocks and markets lacking obvious competitive advantages [1] Group 2: Market Trends - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities, differing from past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance as competition diminishes [1] - The economy is increasingly influenced by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A significant amount of capital is pursuing a limited number of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premiums [1]
Delcath: Temporary Headwinds Are No Cause For Concern
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-06 19:15
Delcath ( DCTH ) reported weak results in the third quarter, which has placed significant pressure on the stock recently. The unexpected sequential revenue decline was attributed to pricing headwinds and seasonality. While share price weakness indicates the market is skeptical of this explanation, dataRichard Durant is the leader of Narweena, an asset manager focused on finding market dislocations that are the result of a poor understanding of a businesses long-term prospects. Narweena believes that excess ...
Xometry: Growth Set To Continue Accelerating (Downgrade)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-05 20:55
Company Performance - Xometry (XMTR) reported strong Q3 results with significant revenue growth and narrowing losses [1] - Guidance for Q4 suggests a moderation in growth, but this may be overly conservative, with expectations for continued growth [1] Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misinterpretations of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm aims for excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with high barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment approach emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a preference for smaller cap stocks [1] Market Trends - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities, differing from past trends [1] - Some industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, potentially improving business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economy is increasingly influenced by asset-light businesses, leading to a decline in infrastructure investment needs [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia over time [1]
Stratasys: Prototype To Production Transition Remains Speculative
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-04 06:33
Core Insights - Stratasys (SSYS) stock has shown an upward trend over the past 12 months, attributed to revenue stabilization and reduced cash burn [1] - There is increasing optimism regarding a growth reacceleration for Stratasys, driven by strategic management and market positioning [1] Company Analysis - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misinterpretations of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm aims to achieve excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with high barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment strategy emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a preference for smaller cap stocks and less obvious competitive advantages [1] Market Trends - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities distinct from historical trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, some businesses may face rising costs and diseconomies of scale, impacting their profitability [1] - The economy is increasingly characterized by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A significant amount of capital is pursuing a limited number of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premiums [1] Leadership Background - Richard Durant holds undergraduate degrees in engineering and finance from the University of Adelaide and an MBA from Nanyang Technological University [1] - He has passed the CFA exams, indicating a strong foundation in financial analysis and investment management [1]
Guardant Health Stock: Business Continues To Gather Pace (NASDAQ:GH)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-31 01:03
Group 1 - Narweena is an asset manager that focuses on identifying market dislocations caused by a poor understanding of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm aims to achieve excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment strategy emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and long-term investment horizon [1] Group 2 - The firm prefers smaller cap stocks and markets where competitive advantages are not immediately apparent [1] - Narweena believes that an aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity will create new investment opportunities distinct from historical trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] Group 3 - Some businesses may face rising costs and diseconomies of scale, while economies are increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses [1] - The declining need for infrastructure investments is leading to a situation where a large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, driving up asset prices and compressing risk premia [1] - Richard Durant, the leader of Narweena, holds degrees in engineering and finance, as well as an MBA, and has passed the CFA exams [1]