Company Overview - Xometry's share price fell significantly despite reporting solid Q4 2024 results, indicating a potentially stretched valuation and uncertainty surrounding leadership changes [1] Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset management firm led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misinterpretations of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities in markets with entry barriers [1] - The research process at Narweena emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and long-term investment horizon targeting deeply undervalued stocks [1] Market Dynamics - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities, contrasting with past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance as competition diminishes [1] - Conversely, some businesses may face rising costs and diseconomies of scale, while asset-light businesses are increasingly dominating economies, leading to a reduced need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1] Leadership Background - Richard Durant holds undergraduate degrees in engineering and finance from the University of Adelaide and an MBA from Nanyang Technological University, along with having passed the CFA exams [1]

Group 1 - The Trade Desk's share price has decreased over 70% from its all-time highs, including a more than 16% drop following weak Q4 earnings guidance [1] - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to poor long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities in markets with entry barriers [1] - Narweena's investment strategy emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and a long-term horizon targeting deeply undervalued stocks, particularly in smaller cap markets [1] Group 2 - The aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity growth are expected to create new investment opportunities, contrasting with past trends [1] - Many industries may experience stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The economy is increasingly influenced by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments, resulting in a large pool of capital pursuing limited investment opportunities, thus driving up asset prices and compressing risk premia over time [1]

Group 1 - Materialise NV's (MTLS) stock has rebounded following its Q4 earnings report, indicating a potential return to consistent growth and improving margins [1] - The Medical segment of Materialise is performing well, contributing positively to the company's outlook [1] - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to misunderstandings of long-term business prospects, aiming for excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities [1] Group 2 - Narweena's investment strategy emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and a long-term investment horizon [1] - The firm targets smaller cap stocks and markets where competitive advantages are not immediately apparent, driven by the belief that an aging population and low growth will create new investment opportunities [1] - The economic landscape is shifting towards asset-light businesses, leading to a decline in infrastructure investment needs, which is resulting in a large pool of capital chasing limited investment opportunities, thus driving up asset prices and compressing risk premia [1]

Core Insights - Uber reported its fastest growth in years, with gross bookings increasing by 22.5%, driven by an 18% rise in monthly users and improved frequency of use [1] - Free cash flow (FCF) grew by 42% throughout 2025, indicating strong financial performance [1] - The company expanded its Autonomous Vehicles (AVs) into multiple markets and saw a 55% increase in Uber One membership [1] Company Strategy - The investment philosophy emphasizes accumulating quality compounders at a discount, focusing on sustainable long-term growth rather than speculative investments [1] - The company seeks to identify firms with strong growth potential, shareholder-friendly capital allocation, and minimal dilution, supported by favorable market trends [1] - Current sector focus includes Technology, Autonomous Vehicles, Logistics, and Fintech, highlighting a diversified investment approach [1] Market Positioning - The methodology involves deep fundamental analysis to uncover asymmetric risk opportunities, where the market may undervalue a company's competitive advantages or future prospects [1] - A notable example is Google, which was undervalued despite significant advancements in its core business through AI [1] - The goal is to achieve an annualized portfolio growth rate of 15% or higher by leveraging market dislocations [1]

Group 1 - Digital Turbine (APPS) reported solid results in the third quarter, leading to a surge in its share price [1] - Despite the positive results, parts of Digital Turbine's business are still struggling, indicating mixed performance [1] - Growth for Digital Turbine is predominantly coming from specific segments of the company [1] Group 2 - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations due to poor understanding of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm believes excess risk-adjusted returns can be achieved by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment strategy is driven by the belief that an aging population and low growth will create new investment opportunities, contrasting with past trends [1] Group 3 - Many industries are expected to face stagnation or secular decline, which may paradoxically improve business performance due to reduced competition [1] - Conversely, some businesses may experience rising costs and diseconomies of scale [1] - The economy is increasingly dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1]

Group 1 - C3.ai experienced a temporary bounce following rumors of a potential merger with Automation Anywhere, indicating possible strategic considerations due to ongoing struggles and management turnover [1] - Richard Durant leads Narweena, an asset management firm focused on identifying market dislocations stemming from misunderstandings of long-term business prospects [1] - Narweena aims to achieve excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets characterized by barriers to entry [1] Group 2 - The research process at Narweena emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a focus on smaller cap stocks and markets lacking obvious competitive advantages [1] - The firm operates under the belief that an aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity will create new investment opportunities distinct from historical trends [1] - Many industries may face stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] Group 3 - There is a growing trend of economies being dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments over time [1] - A significant amount of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1] - Richard Durant holds undergraduate degrees in engineering and finance and an MBA, and has passed the CFA exams, indicating a strong educational background in finance [1]

Core Viewpoint - Gold is transitioning from a hedge asset to a leading investment, with expectations that prices will double in the coming years due to macroeconomic factors and increased demand from central banks and investors [1][2][5] Group 1: Market Dynamics - Gold and silver have outperformed most asset classes, indicating a shift in their roles within investment portfolios [2] - The demand for silver is significantly outpacing supply, driven by industrial uses in solar, electric vehicles, and AI data centers [3] - Central banks are major purchasers of physical gold, using it as a hedge against economic uncertainties, a trend expected to continue [4] Group 2: Investment Sentiment - Investor demand for gold through ETFs is on the rise, contributing to ongoing market dislocations [4] - While volatility is anticipated, the long-term outlook for gold remains positive as it becomes more integrated into various investment strategies [4] - The call for gold prices to double is based on a broader analysis of currencies, central banks, and overall market confidence [5]

Group 1 - SentinelOne's stock is experiencing significant pressure in 2025 despite a modest valuation and expected growth rebound in upcoming quarters [1] - The company is seeing accelerating growth in net new ARR and RPO, along with improving margins [1] - Narweena, an asset manager, focuses on identifying market dislocations and believes in achieving excess risk-adjusted returns through secular growth opportunities in markets with barriers to entry [1] Group 2 - Narweena's research emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a high risk appetite and long-term investment horizon [1] - The firm targets smaller cap stocks and markets where competitive advantages are not immediately apparent [1] - An aging population with low growth and stagnating productivity is expected to create new investment opportunities, while some industries may face stagnation or decline, potentially improving business performance due to reduced competition [1] Group 3 - The economic landscape is shifting towards asset-light businesses, leading to a declining need for infrastructure investments [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia over time [1] - Richard Durant, the leader of Narweena, holds degrees in engineering and finance and an MBA, and has passed the CFA exams [1]

Core Insights - Ouster's stock has faced pressure despite strong returns in 2026, likely due to valuation concerns and changing investor sentiment towards drone stocks [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Ouster (OUST) has experienced significant stock performance fluctuations, with recent pressures attributed to valuation issues [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations caused by misunderstandings of long-term business prospects [1] - The firm aims to achieve excess risk-adjusted returns by targeting businesses with secular growth opportunities in markets with high barriers to entry [1] - Narweena's investment approach emphasizes company and industry fundamentals to uncover unique insights, with a preference for smaller cap stocks [1] Group 3: Market Trends - An aging population, low population growth, and stagnating productivity are expected to create new investment opportunities distinct from historical trends [1] - Many industries may face stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - The shift towards asset-light businesses and declining infrastructure investment needs are contributing to a competitive landscape where capital is chasing limited opportunities, leading to rising asset prices and compressed risk premia [1] Group 4: Leadership Background - Richard Durant holds undergraduate degrees in engineering and finance from the University of Adelaide and an MBA from Nanyang Technological University, along with having passed the CFA exams [1]

Core Insights - AST SpaceMobile's share price has experienced significant fluctuations due to launch delays and SpaceX's spectrum acquisition, but no developments have altered the outlook on the company's prospects [1] Group 1: Company Overview - AST SpaceMobile is facing challenges with launch delays, which have impacted its share price [1] - The company operates in a market characterized by barriers to entry, which may provide long-term growth opportunities despite current setbacks [1] Group 2: Investment Strategy - Narweena, an asset manager led by Richard Durant, focuses on identifying market dislocations resulting from misunderstandings of long-term business prospects [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes high risk appetite and a long-term horizon, targeting deeply undervalued stocks, particularly in smaller cap markets [1] - The firm believes that an aging population and low population growth will create new investment opportunities distinct from historical trends [1] Group 3: Market Dynamics - Many industries are expected to face stagnation or secular decline, which could paradoxically enhance business performance due to reduced competition [1] - There is a growing trend of economies being dominated by asset-light businesses, leading to a decline in the need for infrastructure investments [1] - A large pool of capital is pursuing a limited set of investment opportunities, resulting in rising asset prices and compressed risk premia over time [1]