Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd (Since Covid lows, the ASX: BEN ) share price has been a mainstay for some ASX investors. Is now the time to load up on BEN shares? Let’s take a look at one way to value bank shares.Bank shares like ANZ Banking Group, National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA) are very popular in Australia because they tend to have a stable dividend history, and often pay franking credits.In this article, we’ll explain the basics of investing in ASX bank ...

We saw this pattern before. In 2021, the tech unwind punished growth without cash flow. In 2018, liquidity dried up and exposed leverage that had been ignored. The same dynamic is playing out again. Unprofitable tech, over-leveraged consumer names, and small caps dependent on cheap debt are leading the decline. These are the early casualties of tightening conditions that are now real, not theoretical.The illusion of stability is fading. Passive flows and blind optimism have suppressed volatility, which is n ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the valuation of Westpac Banking Corp (WBC) shares, highlighting the importance of understanding both the price-earnings (PE) ratio and the dividend discount model (DDM) for potential investors [1][7]. Valuation Methods - The PE ratio is a common tool for valuing shares, comparing a company's share price to its earnings per share, with WBC's current PE ratio calculated at 20.5x against a sector average of 20x [4][6]. - A sector-adjusted PE valuation for WBC shares is derived by multiplying the earnings per share ($1.92) by the sector average PE ratio, resulting in a valuation of $38.08 [6]. Dividend Discount Model (DDM) - The DDM is presented as a more effective valuation method for banks, relying on recent or forecasted dividends and assuming consistent or modest growth [8][10]. - Using last year's dividend payment of $1.66 and a blended risk rate between 6% and 11%, the DDM yields a valuation range for WBC shares from $34.05 to $48.64 when considering gross dividends [11][12]. Growth and Risk Rates - Different growth and risk rate assumptions yield varying valuations, with a 2% growth rate and a 6% risk rate resulting in a valuation of $40.25, while an 11% risk rate drops the valuation to $17.89 [13]. Market Context - The financial/banking industry is favored by Australian investors, particularly for dividend income, with major banks operating in an oligopoly, making them less susceptible to foreign competition [3].

Core Insights - The author is a mechanical engineer with a B.S. in Mechanical Engineering and an M.B.A in Finance, indicating a strong technical and financial background [1] - The author employs evidence and factor-based investing strategies in their personal portfolio, suggesting a disciplined investment approach [1] - The author occasionally speculates on individual stocks believed to be undervalued, indicating a willingness to take calculated risks for potential gains [1] Analyst's Position - The analyst has a beneficial long position in the shares of BND, either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives, reflecting confidence in this investment [2] - The article expresses the author's personal opinions and is not influenced by external compensation, ensuring an independent viewpoint [2] - There is no business relationship with any company mentioned in the article, which may enhance the credibility of the analysis [2]

Pullback Risks IncreasingYet, such an extended rally also increases the likelihood of a sharper corrective move. The market has advanced with little pause, and while momentum remains supportive, the longer gold stretches away from its moving averages, the more vulnerable it becomes to mean reversion. A decisive drop below the 10-Day moving average, now at $3,805, could be the first warning that bullish momentum is beginning to weaken. Until then, the uptrend remains intact, represented by dynamic demand see ...

Okay, let's talk about a new buy first from Josh Brown. Uh PSX. Yeah.Philip 66. >> Yes. >> Tell me more.>> So, you were like on some sort of extended vacation earlier this week. Frank Holland uh >> uh Frank Holland and I had a had a conversation about uh energy stocks because nobody cares about energy, but there's a little bit of a stealth rally happening in a handful of names in the uh the XLE patch. Um PSX, I gave it a letter grade. I said it's it's still a C.Stock's been shaping up over the last couple o ...

Core Viewpoint - Conservative hybrid funds are designed for investors with a low to moderate risk profile, offering a mix of debt and equity investments to balance stability and growth potential [1] Fund Overview - ICICI Prudential Regular Savings Fund (IRSF) has consistently delivered debt-plus returns, achieving a compounded annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.5% over the last 10 years [2] - The fund maintains an equity allocation of 15-24% over the past five years, adjusting according to market conditions, while the remainder is invested in debt instruments [2] Equity Strategy - The fund employs a dual strategy of top-down macroeconomic analysis and bottom-up contrarian stock picking, focusing on economic cycles and mean reversion [3] - Current sector allocations show significant overweight in life insurance and utilities, while consumer discretionary and capital goods are underweighted due to high valuations [4] Market Capitalization Bias - Approximately two-thirds of the equity allocation is in large-cap stocks, with 13% in large-caps, 3% in mid-caps, and 6% in small-caps [5] Debt Portfolio Management - The debt portfolio is dynamically managed, including government securities, AAA-rated corporate debt, and selective non-AAA papers to enhance yield [6] - The portfolio duration is moderate, with a Macaulay Duration of 1.25-3.5 years, and current allocations include 20% in government securities, 18% in AAA-rated corporates, and 30% in non-AAA papers [7] Non-AAA Debt Exposure - Non-AAA assets play a crucial role in boosting yield, with 4% in A-rated instruments and 26% in AA-rated holdings, while maintaining a conservative average maturity of 1-1.25 years [8] Performance Metrics - The fund's three-year rolling return analysis shows an average annualized return of 9.5%, outperforming the category average of 8.8% [10] - As of August 31, 2025, the fund's debt portfolio has a yield to maturity (YTM) of 7.4%, exceeding the category average of 6.9% [11] Risk Profile - The fund has an annualized standard deviation of 2.9%, lower than the category average of 3.5%, making it suitable for medium risk appetite investors with a minimum investment horizon of five years [12]

Core Insights - The article discusses the valuation of bank shares in Australia, particularly focusing on Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd (ASX: BEN) and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) [1][2] Valuation Techniques - The Price-Earnings Ratio (PE ratio) is a common method used to value bank shares, comparing a company's share price to its earnings per share [3][4] - A comparison of CBA's PE ratio of 30.2x against the banking sector average of 19x indicates that CBA may be overvalued [5] - The Dividend Discount Model (DDM) is highlighted as a suitable valuation method for banks, which relies on forecasting future cash flows based on dividends [6][8] Dividend Analysis - The DDM requires inputs such as the dividend per share and assumptions about growth and risk rates, with a typical growth rate of 2% and a risk rate between 6% and 11% [7][9] - Using last year's dividend of $4.65, the valuation of CBA shares is estimated at $98.33, which can increase to $100.66 with an adjusted dividend of $4.76 [10] - Incorporating franking credits into the valuation, the estimated share price rises to $143.80 based on a gross dividend payment of $6.80 [11] Growth and Risk Rates - A table illustrates various valuations of CBA shares based on different growth and risk rates, showing a range of potential valuations from $52.89 to $238.00 depending on the assumptions used [12] - The article emphasizes the importance of qualitative research in addition to quantitative models when analyzing bank shares [13]

Market Trend - A Bitcoin Dominance (BTC.D) increase due to a Bitcoin (BTC) price increase is generally positive for the market [1] - Extended Bitcoin rallies are beneficial for overall market conditions [1] - Bitcoin consolidating at $150,000 could lead to a repricing of other assets [1] - A rotation down the risk curve may follow Bitcoin's consolidation [1] - There is an expectation of mean reversion for BTC.D back above 60% [1]

$BTC.DI think this is due for a little mean reversion back above 60%. https://t.co/0MeHNuhAYh ...