Membership-based business model

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Will Walmart's Membership Growth Power Its Profit Cycle in Q2?
ZACKS· 2025-08-18 15:16
Key Takeaways Walmart's membership fee income grew 14.8% in Q1, led by Walmart+ and Sams Club renewals.Members show higher digital engagement and loyalty, boosting efficiency and profitability.Recurring, high-margin fees from memberships are becoming central to Walmart's profit strategy.For Walmart Inc. (WMT) , the challenge in the second quarter of fiscal 2026 is not only to improve sales but also to accelerate profit in an environment clouded by tariffs. Well, membership income may provide the answer to t ...
Costco Is One of the Largest Consumer Goods Companies by Market Cap. But Is It a Buy?
The Motley Fool· 2025-07-08 10:17
Core Insights - Costco Wholesale is a leading consumer goods stock with over 4,000% growth since its IPO, benefiting from competitive advantages [1] - The company is more resilient to economic downturns due to its grocery-focused revenue and membership model, which provides stability [2] - Costco has reported 8.1% adjusted comparable sales growth and an increase in net income from $1.68 billion to $1.9 billion [3] Company Performance - Costco is currently the second-largest consumer staples company by market cap at $436 billion, trailing Walmart's $779 billion [6] - The company ranks second in revenue with $264.1 billion over the last four quarters, significantly lower than Walmart's $681 billion [6] - Costco has outperformed Walmart in stock market performance this century [7] Competitive Advantages - Costco's competitive advantages include a strong grocery leadership position and ongoing store openings, unlike Walmart, which is focusing on e-commerce [10] - The company operates fewer than 1,000 warehouses globally, indicating significant potential for new store growth [11] Valuation Considerations - Costco's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is currently 56, higher than other major consumer goods stocks and the S&P 500's P/E of around 27 [12] - The stock has pulled back nearly 10% from its peak earlier this year, suggesting a potential for a more attractive valuation [13] - A 20% reduction in the P/E ratio is desired before considering Costco a buy, despite its strong business execution and competitive advantages [13]
Costco Sales Surge in May: E-Commerce Leads the Way With a 12% Jump
ZACKS· 2025-06-09 14:10
Core Insights - Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) demonstrated strong comparable sales growth in May, appealing to value-focused consumers in an inflationary environment [1][5] Sales Performance - For the four weeks ending June 1, 2025, Costco reported a 4.3% year-over-year increase in total comparable sales, with U.S. sales up 4.1%, Canada up 3.3%, and Other International markets up 6.6% [2] - Adjusted comparable sales, excluding gasoline price fluctuations and foreign exchange impacts, showed U.S. comps climbing 5.5%, Canada up 6.3%, and Other International markets up 8.4%, leading to an overall growth of 6% [3] - E-commerce sales surged 11.6%, or 12% when adjusted for fuel and currency, continuing the trend of strong online performance [4] Financial Highlights - Costco's net sales for May increased by 6.8% to $20.97 billion, compared to $19.64 billion in the same period last year, following sales improvements of 7% in April and 8.6% in March [4][7] Business Model Strength - The company's membership-based structure, high renewal rates, efficient supply-chain management, and bulk purchasing power are key drivers of growth and customer loyalty [5]
Costco Stock at $1K: Dominance or Danger Zone?
MarketBeat· 2025-05-23 12:22
Core Insights - Costco Wholesale's stock has surpassed the $1,000 mark, reflecting its strong operational performance and market presence [1][15] - As of May 22, 2025, Costco's shares were trading around $1,025, with a market capitalization of approximately $455 billion [2] - The membership-based business model is central to Costco's success, fostering customer loyalty and generating high-margin revenue from membership fees [3] Membership and Revenue - In Q2 FY25, membership fees generated $1.193 billion, with over 130 million cardholders as of early 2024 [4] - The renewal rates for memberships were reported at 92.9% in the U.S. and Canada, and 90.5% worldwide, indicating strong customer satisfaction [4] - Costco's net sales for Q2 FY25 increased by 9.1% year-over-year, reaching $62.53 billion, while net sales for the first 35 weeks of FY25 grew by 8.2% to $180.05 billion [5] Brand and Operational Efficiency - The Kirkland Signature private-label brand significantly contributes to member value and sales [6] - Costco's operational efficiency is enhanced by a limited number of SKUs, which streamlines inventory management and leverages high sales volumes for cost advantages [6] Shareholder Returns - Costco has a strong track record of returning value to shareholders, having increased its quarterly dividend for 22 consecutive years, with the latest payout at $1.30 per share [7] E-commerce Growth - The e-commerce channel has become a vital growth driver, with comparable sales in Q2 FY25 showing an adjusted increase of 22.2% [8] Valuation Considerations - As of mid-May 2025, Costco's trailing P/E ratio was approximately 60.21, with a forward P/E around 56.87, indicating a premium valuation compared to market averages [9][11] - Investors justify this premium due to Costco's consistent growth, predictable earnings, and resilience across economic cycles [11] Price Volatility and Market Dynamics - The stock's establishment above $1,000 may lead to increased price volatility as investors reassess growth potential and engage in profit-taking [12][13] - The $1,000 level may serve as a new psychological support or resistance area, indicating a period of price discovery [13]
Costco vs. Dollar General: Which Discount Retailer is the Better Bet?
ZACKS· 2025-05-15 12:46
Core Insights - Costco and Dollar General are prominent players in the Retail–Discount Stores industry, with Costco having a market capitalization of approximately $440 billion and Dollar General around $19.3 billion [1][2] - Evaluating the growth potential of these retailers is crucial amid changing consumer spending patterns and economic dynamics [3] Costco Overview - Costco's membership-based model is a significant growth driver, with high membership renewal rates of 93% in the U.S. and Canada, and 90.5% globally [4] - Membership fee income rose 7.4% year over year in Q2 of fiscal 2025, with 78.4 million paid household members, a 6.8% increase year over year [5] - The company plans to open 28 new warehouses in fiscal 2025, including 15 in the U.S. and three in Canada [6] - Comparable online sales increased by 12.6% for the four weeks ending May 4, 2025, with overall comparable sales rising 4.4% in April [7] Dollar General Overview - Dollar General is gaining market share through a resilient product mix and a focus on value, with plans for 4,885 real estate projects in fiscal 2025 [9][10] - The company is expanding its digital capabilities, including home delivery through a partnership with DoorDash, aiming to reach 10,000 stores by the end of fiscal 2025 [11] - Despite strategic initiatives, Dollar General anticipates a challenging first half of fiscal 2025 due to remodeling costs and increased labor expenses [12] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Costco's current fiscal year sales suggests an 8% year-over-year growth, with EPS growth of 11.5% [14] - Dollar General's current fiscal year sales estimate indicates a 3.7% year-over-year growth, while EPS is projected to decline by 6.1% [16] Stock Performance - Costco shares have advanced 25% over the past year, outperforming the industry, while Dollar General shares have declined by 40.2% [19] - Costco's forward P/E ratio is 51.56, higher than its one-year median, while Dollar General's forward P/E ratio stands at 15.32 [20] Investment Outlook - Costco is viewed as a stronger investment option due to its stable membership-driven model and adaptability through digital and international growth [22] - Dollar General is in a transitional phase with execution risks and near-term challenges, leading to a less favorable investment outlook [22]
Costco vs. Target: Which Discount Retailer Stock Holds More Promise?
ZACKS· 2025-04-24 15:10
Core Insights - Costco and Target are both prominent players in the Retail–Discount Stores industry, with Costco having a market capitalization of approximately $433 billion and Target around $42 billion [1] - Both companies are currently facing macroeconomic challenges and a cautious consumer spending environment, yet their stock performances and financial trends are diverging [2] Costco's Position - Costco's membership-based business model is a significant growth driver, with high membership renewal rates of 93% in the U.S. and Canada, and 90.5% globally [3] - Membership fee income increased by 7.4% year-over-year to $1,193 million in Q2 of fiscal 2025, with a recent fee increase contributing about 3% to this figure [4] - The company plans to open 28 new warehouses in fiscal 2025, including 15 in the U.S., three in Canada, and seven internationally [5] - Comparable online sales surged by 20.9% in Q2, although challenges such as foreign exchange volatility and a shift in consumer preferences towards essentials are present [6] Target's Strategy - Target is focusing on its strong brand, diverse product offerings, and expanding e-commerce capabilities to drive growth, aiming for over $15 billion in revenue growth by fiscal 2030 [7] - The company plans to open more than 20 new stores and remodel existing locations in fiscal 2025, with same-day services growing over 25% in Q4 of fiscal 2024 [8] - Target is investing $4 billion to $5 billion in store remodels, supply-chain expansion, and digital transformation in fiscal 2025 [9] - Despite these efforts, Target anticipates significant profit pressure in Q1 of fiscal 2025 due to consumer uncertainty and other challenges [10] Financial Performance and Outlook - Costco's earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the current and next fiscal years have increased, suggesting year-over-year growth rates of 11.4% and 10% [12] - Target's EPS estimates have decreased, indicating modest year-over-year growth rates of 1.5% and 6.9% for the current and next fiscal years [12] - Over the past six months, Costco's shares have risen by 9.5%, while Target's shares have dropped by 39.1% [13] - Costco's forward P/E ratio is 51.05, higher than its one-year median, while Target's forward P/E ratio is 10.09, below its median [15] Comparative Analysis - Costco's resilient membership model and strong growth prospects position it as a more promising investment compared to Target, which faces a cautious outlook and margin pressures [16]