Gold eased after a three-day gain, before pivotal US jobs data due later Thursday that may shape the outlook for the Federal Reserve’s monetary easing path https://t.co/3yOmod6sJH ...

It’s crazy how it’s a contrarian stance to be bullish on 99% of tokens right now.This is going to flip so fast with the slightest hint of monetary easing and the end of QT. ...

J P M O R G A N Asia Pacific Emerging Markets Research 11 June 2025 China Local Markets 2H25 Outlook Not an easy time Executive summary Emerging Markets Strategy Tiffany Wang AC (852) 2800-1726 tiffany.r.wang@jpmorgan.com J.P. Morgan Securities (Asia Pacific) Limited/ J.P. Morgan Broking (Hong Kong) Limited Arindam Sandilya (65) 6882-7759 arindam.x.sandilya@jpmorgan.com JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., Singapore Branch See page 9 for analyst certification and important disclosures. www.jpmorganmarkets.com {[{LFSl ...

May 8, 2025 09:00 PM GMT China Equity Strategy | Asia Pacific A-Share Sentiment Improved as US-China Trade Negotiation Sets to Start Sentiment improved as upcoming trade negotiations were confirmed and PBoC's monetary easing package was released. We advise a balanced portfolio with high-quality, large-cap offshore internet names and A-share blue-chip consumer names. Stay patient and nimble; be prepared for twists and turns. A-share investor sentiment improved vs. previous cut: Weighted MSASI and simple MSAS ...

Group 1: Market Performance - MSCI China has nearly recovered its 13% drawdown since Liberation Day, returning 12% year-to-date[1] - The Rmb appreciated against the USD by 1.7% in the past month, indicating currency strength amid trade tensions[1] - Chinese government bonds are re-testing all-time highs, reflecting resilience in financial assets despite trade frictions[1] Group 2: Economic Forecasts - The effective US tariff rate on Chinese imports is expected to decrease from approximately 160% to around 60% soon, positively impacting earnings forecasts[1] - The 12-month index target for MSCI China and CSI300 has been raised to 78 and 4,400, suggesting potential returns of 7% and 15% respectively[1] - EPS growth estimates for MSCI China have been adjusted from 4% to 6% based on lower tariff expectations and a stronger Rmb[9] Group 3: Policy Measures - The PBoC and other regulatory bodies announced 23 measures to support the economy, including targeted monetary easing to improve liquidity[5] - Recent monetary policy actions include a 50 basis point RRR cut, providing approximately Rmb1 trillion in liquidity[7] - The focus of policy measures is increasingly on demand-side support, aiming to stabilize the housing market and enhance social safety nets[5] Group 4: Trade and Investment Dynamics - Southbound equity flows to HK-listed stocks have reached US$80 billion year-to-date, three times larger than the same period last year[18] - Concerns regarding ADR de-listing risks have moderated, but potential liquidity disruptions could arise if US investors liquidate over US$800 billion in Chinese stocks[14] - The Chinese National Team has actively supported the A-share market, purchasing at least Rmb110 billion worth of equities since April[18]

April 14, 2025 09:00 PM GMT Asia Economics | Asia Pacific M Idea The Viewpoint: A Sharp, Synchronous Slowdown Even after exemptions kick in, the weighted average tariff on Asia has jumped from 4.8% in Jan-25 to 43.8%. We see a sharp step down in growth from 2Q25. Tariffs and tariff-related uncertainty are likely to persist for longer, weighing on trade, corporate confidence, capex, and the growth outlook. Key Takeaways In this report, we are lowering our growth projections for Asia. We also highlight where ...

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