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Volatility to Stay Elevated on Data & Fed: 3-Minute MLIV
Bloomberg Television· 2025-11-24 08:27
Am I going to have another busy week like last week. Can I can I just look forward to Turkey or is it going to be bumpy. We're still very much in a choppy trading environment.Because the headline we talk a lot about the Santa rally into year end, then people get optimistic. But I think what's less appreciated is that there's also a seasonal component to volatility. So you see that it generally tends to decline into the Christmas period and into the summer.Now in theory, that's a positive. I think the issue ...
Volatility to Stay Elevated on Data & Fed: 3-Minute MLIV
Youtube· 2025-11-24 08:27
Market Environment - The current trading environment is described as choppy, with volatility expected to decline into the Christmas period but not significantly until mid-December [1][2] - An excess of data is being released, and the upcoming December Fed meeting is a focal point, with uncertainty regarding potential interest rate cuts [3][4] Federal Reserve Impact - The sustainability of the recent market rally is closely tied to the Federal Reserve's actions, particularly whether they will cut rates in December [4][5] - If the Fed does not cut rates, it could negatively impact equities towards the year-end, but long-term cuts could be beneficial for the market [5][6] Inflation Concerns - The nature of inflation is crucial for equity markets; growth-driven inflation is seen as positive, while inflation without growth raises concerns [6][7] UK Budget Significance - The UK budget is highlighted as a significant event for the week, with a mix of pessimism and optimism in the market [7][8] - Previous market tests before the budget release may mitigate concerns about gilt volatility affecting broader market volatility [9]
Real estate stocks climb as December rate cut odds surge (IYR:NYSEARCA)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-21 17:15
Real estate stocks, especially homebuilders, climbed with the broader market on Friday after a key Federal Reserve official signaled room for further monetary easing, significantly boosting the odds of a December rate cut. Overall, the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF ( ...
China's bond market gains as central bank resumes debt purchases amid growth concerns
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 09:30
China's bond market is set to gain further momentum, buoyed by the central bank's resumption of government debt purchases, as softer economic data and downward pressure on growth necessitate further policy easing, according to analysts. Huayuan Securities forecast that the upward trend was likely to drive the yield on China's benchmark 10-year sovereign bond down to 1.65 per cent within this year. Southwest Securities predicted a drop to 1.7 per cent. The yield currently stands at 1.808 per cent. Economic ...
PEARL DIVER CREDIT COMPANY INC.(PDCC) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-18 17:00
Pearl Diver Credit Company (NYSE:PDCC) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 18, 2025 11:00 AM ET Speaker0Morning, and welcome to the Pearl Diver Credit Company Third Quarter twenty twenty five Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen only mode. A question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to your host, Emma Little, Investor Relations.Thank you. You may begin.Speaker1Good day, ladie ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-06 19:06
Mexico’s central bank lowered borrowing costs by a quarter point, extending its monetary easing cycle days after weak third-quarter data fueled recession fears https://t.co/KNLnxckSQU ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-11-03 23:16
Inflation & Currency - South Korea's consumer inflation accelerated in October due to a weaker won, increasing energy and food costs [1] Monetary Policy - The inflation data strengthens the argument for the central bank to maintain its pause in monetary easing [1] Housing Market - The central bank aims to curb a housing market rally [1]
中国利率_中国人民银行重启债券交易的影响_债券市场获得支持信号,但利率无需回归 2024 年下半年低位 - China rates_ Implications of the PBoC resuming bond trading_ A signal of bond market support but rates need not return to H2 2024 lows
2025-11-03 02:36
Asia Insights Global Markets Research Rates - Asia ex-Japan China rates: Implications of the PBoC resuming bond trading A signal of bond market support but rates need not return to H2 2024 lows On 27 October, Governor Pan Gongsheng announced that the PBoC will resume government bond trading (source: Xinhua News). After the news came out, China swap rates rallied 3-5bp, with the curve marginally flattening, and 5-30y CGBs saw an even larger move of 5-6bp. While we believe there had been some expectation of t ...
Gold Ends Record-Breaking Rally with First Weekly Loss in Ten
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-24 21:24
Core Insights - Gold is experiencing a correction after a nine-week winning streak, driven by a reassessment of its recent rally which had pushed prices into overbought territory [1] - A softer-than-expected US inflation report has reinforced expectations for further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve, benefiting gold as it pays no interest [1] - The market is closely monitoring US-China relations, with a potential deal between President Trump and Xi Jinping that could alleviate geopolitical tensions and impact demand for gold [2] Price Movements - Gold prices reached an all-time high of $4,381.52 per ounce in mid-August but saw a significant drop as investors took profits [3] - Spot gold fell 0.4% to $4,108.27 per ounce, while silver, which had previously reached a record above $54 an ounce, is on track for a weekly loss of over 6% [6] Market Dynamics - The recent slump in gold prices coincided with a large outflow from gold-backed exchange-traded funds, marking the biggest single-day decline in tonnage terms in five months [3] - Central-bank buying and the debasement trade have supported gold prices, which are up approximately 57% this year [4] - The next key resistance level for gold is near $4,148, with a break above $4,236 needed to confirm a return of upside momentum [4] Other Precious Metals - Platinum prices spiked, showing significant tightness in the market, with premiums over New York futures exceeding $70 per ounce [5] - Lease rates for platinum have surged, reflecting market dynamics similar to those seen in silver following a liquidity crisis earlier in the month [5]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-21 12:14
Hungary’s central bank left the European Union’s highest borrowing costs unchanged for a 13th month, rebuffing government calls to start monetary easing https://t.co/CUJawtdikT ...