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Why Investing In Choice Hotels Isn't The Smartest Choice Right Now
Benzinga· 2025-11-19 13:14
Core Viewpoint - Choice Hotels International is experiencing a significant bearish trend following a breakdown of its Cakra formation, indicating long-term caution for investors [1][6][7]. Group 1: Cakra Breakdown Analysis - The stock has entered Phase 8 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle and has broken its Cakra formation, which is a major bearish signal [1][6]. - Historically, the Cakra structure was formed in Phase 4 back in April 2011, and the stock maintained this structure for over a decade before the recent breakdown [2][3]. - Following the breakdown, the stock has already declined approximately 30%, suggesting the early stages of a significant bearish move known as the Move of Pralaya [5][6]. Group 2: Implications of the Breakdown - The breakdown on the monthly chart is a more serious structural failure compared to a weekly chart violation, indicating a decisive violation of a 5,000-day (14-year) pattern [6][7]. - The current bearish trend is expected to extend across multiple long-term phases, with the next potential bullish window not anticipated for over a decade [9]. - Investors are advised to avoid initiating long positions in Choice Hotels, and existing holders may consider reducing exposure or hedging due to multi-year downside risks [7][9].
Why Stryker Stock May Be Headed For A Prolonged Slowdown
Benzinga· 2025-11-17 12:48
Core Insights - Stryker Corporation is currently experiencing a significant bearish development as it has broken its Cakra formation, indicating a prolonged period of underperformance [1][5][9] Cakra Formation Breakdown - The Cakra structure typically forms between Phases 4–8 and is associated with bullish implications; however, Stryker's stock broke below the lower arc during Phase 8, triggering a bearish signal known as the Move of Pralaya [2][3][5] Stock Performance - Since the breakdown, Stryker's stock has declined approximately 9%, with any attempts at a rebound being met with selling pressure, confirming the bearish shift [6][9] Cycle Outlook - The Move of Pralaya indicates that the underperformance is not a short-term issue and may extend for multiple phases until the Guna Triads (Phases 14–16) begin, suggesting a prolonged period of weakness for Stryker [7][9] Options Flow - The options market reflects bearish expectations, with heavy out-of-the-money (OTM) call writing observed for the November expiry, indicating a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term performance [8] Investor Outlook - The current situation suggests that Stryker's stock is in the early phase of its Pralaya move, with intensifying selling pressure expected; this breakdown may indicate deeper fundamental or structural issues beyond mere technical weaknesses [9]
Bill Holdings At A Crossroads: What's Next For The Stock?
Benzinga· 2025-11-10 11:28
Core Viewpoint - Bill Holdings (NYSE:BILL) is at a critical juncture in its trading phase, specifically Phase 7 of the Adhishthana Cakra formation, which will determine its future price movement [1][7]. Group 1: Chart Analysis - The Adhishthana Principles indicate that stocks typically form a Cakra structure between Phases 4 and 8, which usually has bullish implications [2]. - Bill Holdings entered Phase 4 in January 2023 and is currently in Phase 7, near the lower arc of the Cakra formation [3]. - The lower bound of the Cakra, between $35–40, is a key technical parameter, having provided support six times [6]. Group 2: Potential Outcomes - Two potential outcomes exist: a bullish reversal from the lower bound leading to a gradual rise through Phase 8, or a bearish breakdown below the lower bound, resulting in a significant decline known as the Move of Pralaya [5][9]. - The bullish scenario would allow the stock to move towards $75–80 before a potential breakout in Phase 9, which begins in June 2026 [6][10]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Institutional positioning remains overweight, indicating comfort with current valuations, but the decisive breakout is still months away [8]. - Current holders should monitor the lower arc closely, as a decisive break could lead to a bearish trend, while potential buyers may find a good risk-reward opportunity if the stock holds support [10].
ICF International Under Pressure, More Downside Ahead
Benzinga· 2025-09-24 11:08
Core Insights - ICF International is currently experiencing a significant decline in stock price, dropping from approximately $180 to around $84 since November 2024, indicating a bearish outlook according to the Adhishthana Principles [1][5][7] - The stock has broken a critical Cakra formation, triggering a bearish signal known as the Move of Pralaya, which suggests deeper weakness ahead [1][3][5] Stock Performance - The stock's decline represents a drop of roughly 45% from its previous highs, with historical data indicating that this underperformance may continue until the Guna Triads begin in mid-2029 [5][7] - The Cakra formation typically indicates bullish implications; however, ICF International's failure to maintain this structure has led to a significant bearish trend [2][3] Structural and Fundamental Issues - A breakdown of the Cakra formation may signal potential underlying structural or fundamental issues within ICF International that are not yet apparent [6] - The current outlook for ICF International remains bearish, and investors considering a value buy are advised to delay their decisions due to the implications of the Move of Pralaya [7]