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Shift4 Payments: What Lies Ahead After Breakout Rejection
Benzinga· 2026-01-05 12:43
Core Viewpoint - Shift4 Payments is currently experiencing prolonged stock weakness, having struggled for over 300 days, and is in Phase 7 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle [1] Group 1: Cakra Formation Analysis - According to Adhishthana Principles, stocks typically form a Cakra structure between Phases 4 and 8, which usually indicates bullish implications [2] - Shift4 Payments began forming its Cakra in July 2023 but experienced a premature breakout above the upper arc during late Phase 5 and early Phase 6, which is structurally unfavorable [3] - The market rejected this premature breakout, leading to a sharp reversal and a subsequent fall back into the Cakra arc, coinciding with its February 2025 quarterly results and the acquisition of Global Blue [4] Group 2: Move of Pralaya - After breaking below the lower arc of the Cakra, Shift4 Payments triggered a bearish move known as the Move of Pralaya, which is characterized by strong selling pressure [7] - Following the Cakra breakdown, the stock has declined by approximately 30% [7] Group 3: Future Outlook - Shift4 Payments is expected to experience bearishness, sluggish price action, and multiple false rallies from Phase 7 through Phase 13, with meaningful clarity on potential reversal only emerging in Phases 14, 15, and 16 [8] - The broader outlook remains weak, and the stock is likely to remain under pressure [8] Group 4: Investor Sentiment - Investors are advised to avoid fresh exposure to Shift4 Payments due to the confirmed Cakra breakdown and the anticipated prolonged weak stretch ahead in the cycle [9] - The monthly chart indicates the stock is in the early part of Phase 2, which is associated with consolidation and corrective behavior, suggesting that current weakness may persist for some time [10]
Why Linde Stock May Be More Vulnerable Than It Appears
Benzinga· 2026-01-02 14:24
Core Insights - Linde is currently in Phase 9 of its 18-phase Adhishthana cycle, indicating potential risks are building beneath the surface [1] - The stock's recent behavior suggests rising downside pressure, making hedging increasingly important [1] Weekly Chart Analysis - Linde's stock formed a Cakra structure between Phases 4 and 8, which typically has bullish implications, but the recent setup deviated from this ideal [2][3] - The stock attempted multiple premature breakouts during the Cakra formation, weakening the integrity of the pattern [3] - Upon entering Phase 9, instead of a clean breakout, Linde experienced a breakdown, leading to a decline of over 15% since October 6 [5] Monthly Chart Analysis - On the monthly chart, Linde is in Phase 10, where a well-defined Cakra formed and broke out cleanly in Phase 9, resulting in a rally of over 193% [6] - The early part of Phase 10 supported bullish momentum, but recent pullbacks suggest potential structural changes [7] Structural Implications - The Himalayan Formation, which follows a Cakra breakout, consists of three legs: ascent, peak, and descent, with Phase 10 being critical for peak formation [8] - Linde marked its all-time high within Phase 10, raising the possibility of a structural peak being in place [10] Investor Outlook - With a Cakra breakdown on the weekly charts and signs of a potential peak on the monthly timeframe, Linde's risk profile has shifted [11] - Investors should consider hedging long exposure, as downside risks appear to be increasing [11] - New investors may want to wait for clearer confirmation of whether a peak has formed before initiating positions [11]
Why Investing In Choice Hotels Isn't The Smartest Choice Right Now
Benzinga· 2025-11-19 13:14
Core Viewpoint - Choice Hotels International is experiencing a significant bearish trend following a breakdown of its Cakra formation, indicating long-term caution for investors [1][6][7]. Group 1: Cakra Breakdown Analysis - The stock has entered Phase 8 of its 18-phase Adhishthana Cycle and has broken its Cakra formation, which is a major bearish signal [1][6]. - Historically, the Cakra structure was formed in Phase 4 back in April 2011, and the stock maintained this structure for over a decade before the recent breakdown [2][3]. - Following the breakdown, the stock has already declined approximately 30%, suggesting the early stages of a significant bearish move known as the Move of Pralaya [5][6]. Group 2: Implications of the Breakdown - The breakdown on the monthly chart is a more serious structural failure compared to a weekly chart violation, indicating a decisive violation of a 5,000-day (14-year) pattern [6][7]. - The current bearish trend is expected to extend across multiple long-term phases, with the next potential bullish window not anticipated for over a decade [9]. - Investors are advised to avoid initiating long positions in Choice Hotels, and existing holders may consider reducing exposure or hedging due to multi-year downside risks [7][9].
Why Stryker Stock May Be Headed For A Prolonged Slowdown
Benzinga· 2025-11-17 12:48
Core Insights - Stryker Corporation is currently experiencing a significant bearish development as it has broken its Cakra formation, indicating a prolonged period of underperformance [1][5][9] Cakra Formation Breakdown - The Cakra structure typically forms between Phases 4–8 and is associated with bullish implications; however, Stryker's stock broke below the lower arc during Phase 8, triggering a bearish signal known as the Move of Pralaya [2][3][5] Stock Performance - Since the breakdown, Stryker's stock has declined approximately 9%, with any attempts at a rebound being met with selling pressure, confirming the bearish shift [6][9] Cycle Outlook - The Move of Pralaya indicates that the underperformance is not a short-term issue and may extend for multiple phases until the Guna Triads (Phases 14–16) begin, suggesting a prolonged period of weakness for Stryker [7][9] Options Flow - The options market reflects bearish expectations, with heavy out-of-the-money (OTM) call writing observed for the November expiry, indicating a lack of confidence in the stock's near-term performance [8] Investor Outlook - The current situation suggests that Stryker's stock is in the early phase of its Pralaya move, with intensifying selling pressure expected; this breakdown may indicate deeper fundamental or structural issues beyond mere technical weaknesses [9]
Bill Holdings At A Crossroads: What's Next For The Stock?
Benzinga· 2025-11-10 11:28
Core Viewpoint - Bill Holdings (NYSE:BILL) is at a critical juncture in its trading phase, specifically Phase 7 of the Adhishthana Cakra formation, which will determine its future price movement [1][7]. Group 1: Chart Analysis - The Adhishthana Principles indicate that stocks typically form a Cakra structure between Phases 4 and 8, which usually has bullish implications [2]. - Bill Holdings entered Phase 4 in January 2023 and is currently in Phase 7, near the lower arc of the Cakra formation [3]. - The lower bound of the Cakra, between $35–40, is a key technical parameter, having provided support six times [6]. Group 2: Potential Outcomes - Two potential outcomes exist: a bullish reversal from the lower bound leading to a gradual rise through Phase 8, or a bearish breakdown below the lower bound, resulting in a significant decline known as the Move of Pralaya [5][9]. - The bullish scenario would allow the stock to move towards $75–80 before a potential breakout in Phase 9, which begins in June 2026 [6][10]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - Institutional positioning remains overweight, indicating comfort with current valuations, but the decisive breakout is still months away [8]. - Current holders should monitor the lower arc closely, as a decisive break could lead to a bearish trend, while potential buyers may find a good risk-reward opportunity if the stock holds support [10].
ICF International Under Pressure, More Downside Ahead
Benzinga· 2025-09-24 11:08
Core Insights - ICF International is currently experiencing a significant decline in stock price, dropping from approximately $180 to around $84 since November 2024, indicating a bearish outlook according to the Adhishthana Principles [1][5][7] - The stock has broken a critical Cakra formation, triggering a bearish signal known as the Move of Pralaya, which suggests deeper weakness ahead [1][3][5] Stock Performance - The stock's decline represents a drop of roughly 45% from its previous highs, with historical data indicating that this underperformance may continue until the Guna Triads begin in mid-2029 [5][7] - The Cakra formation typically indicates bullish implications; however, ICF International's failure to maintain this structure has led to a significant bearish trend [2][3] Structural and Fundamental Issues - A breakdown of the Cakra formation may signal potential underlying structural or fundamental issues within ICF International that are not yet apparent [6] - The current outlook for ICF International remains bearish, and investors considering a value buy are advised to delay their decisions due to the implications of the Move of Pralaya [7]