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Japan's consumer inflation stays above cenbank's target for 44th month, boosting case for a rate hike
CNBC· 2025-12-18 23:41
Group 1: Inflation and Economic Indicators - Japan's consumer inflation rate decreased to 2.9% in November, remaining above the 2% target for the 44th consecutive month, which strengthens the prospects of a rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BOJ) [1] - Core inflation remained unchanged at 3% in October, aligning with economists' estimates, while the "core-core" inflation rate fell to 3% from 3.1% [2] - Rice inflation slowed to 37.1%, marking the sixth consecutive month of decline, after experiencing over 50 years' highest price growth earlier this year [3] Group 2: Bank of Japan's Policy and Economic Growth - The BOJ is expected to raise interest rates to their highest level since 1995, as it concludes its policy meeting, despite concerns about the weak Japanese economy, which contracted 0.6% quarter on quarter and 2.3% on an annualized basis in the third quarter [2][4] - Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi emphasized the need for proactive spending to boost growth and tax revenues, advocating for looser monetary policy and criticizing BOJ's rate hikes [4] - BOJ Deputy Governor Masazumi Wakatabe stated that raising Japan's neutral interest rate is essential for balancing economic growth and inflation, while cautioning against premature rate hikes [5][6] Group 3: Currency Impact - Following the inflation data release, the yen strengthened slightly, trading at 155.53 [7]
Chicago Fed President Goolsbee says officials have to be careful not to get too aggressive with rate cuts
CNBC· 2025-09-23 13:19
Economic Outlook - The Chicago Federal Reserve President expressed caution regarding further interest rate cuts as the U.S. economy faces slower growth and a weaker labor market [1][2] - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 11-1 to lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4%-4.25%, marking the first easing of the year [2][3] Inflation and Interest Rates - Inflation has remained above the Fed's 2% target for over four and a half years, prompting a careful approach to aggressive rate cuts [2][4] - The FOMC's projections suggest a neutral funds rate around 3.1%, indicating potential for further cuts in the benchmark rate [3][4] Labor Market Insights - Recent trends show a significant softening in hiring, although the unemployment rate remains low at 4.3% historically [4] - The Chicago Fed introduced a labor market monitor that forecasts the unemployment rate and includes real-time labor statistics, indicating stability in the labor market [5][6]
Fed's Hammack still focused on inflation, calls for caution in easing policy
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-22 17:59
By Dan Burns (Reuters) -The Federal Reserve needs to be "very cautious" in removing restrictive monetary policy with inflation still above the central bank's 2% target and remaining persistent, Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said on Monday. "I think we are only a short distance to neutral, and it worries me that if we remove that restriction from the economy, things can start overheating again," Hammack said in remarks that showed the divisions inside the Fed over whether interest rates will keep f ...
Minneapolis Fed President Kashkari: Tariffs will likely only have a one-time effect on inflation
Youtube· 2025-09-19 13:21
In a new essay, Minneapolis Fed President Neil Qashqari says he sees two more rate cuts coming from the central bank this year. Steve Leeman uh joins uh us now with Mr. . Qashqari.Hey, Steve. And hey, Neil. >> Good morning.>> Thank you, Joe. Let's bring in Mr. . Kashkari, president of the Minneapolis Fed.Neil, let's talk about your um essay this morning, which is fascinating. And I just want to ask you uh first about one of the things that you say in your piece, which is that you're concerned that there cou ...