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Carvana Stock Plunges After Earnings. Warning Sign or Buying Opportunity?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-04 11:05
Core Insights - Carvana has experienced a remarkable recovery, gaining 700% over the last three years after avoiding bankruptcy during the 2022 bear market, although it was down over 98% from its peak at one point [1] - The company reported a record revenue growth of 55% in Q3 2025, reaching $5.65 billion, significantly surpassing analysts' expectations [2] - Despite strong financial results, Carvana's stock declined by 14% following concerns about rising auto loan delinquencies and potential declines in retail unit sales [3] Financial Performance - Carvana's adjusted EBITDA rose 45% to $429 million, while GAAP net income increased by 78% to $263 million, equating to $1.03 per share [2] - Adjusted earnings per share were reported at $1.50, exceeding the consensus estimate of $1.32 [2] Market Position and Strategy - Carvana is targeting an ambitious goal of selling 3 million vehicles over the next 5 to 10 years, aiming for an adjusted EBITDA margin of 13.5% [5] - The company is positioned in a nearly $1 trillion addressable market, justifying its premium stock valuation despite recent price fluctuations [5] Investor Sentiment - The stock's recent pullback is attributed to investor fears regarding narrowing margins and rising auto loan delinquencies, although management's guidance indicates a seasonal decline in retail unit sales [3][6] - The overall business remains healthy, with narrowing margins not seen as a significant warning sign [6][7]
Carvana Whizzes Through Green Light From Jefferies Upgrade
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-02 10:30
Core Insights - Carvana has seen a significant recovery post-pandemic, with shares up approximately 90% year-to-date following an upgrade from Jefferies analysts from hold to buy [1][2] - The company reported record car sales of 133,898 units, revenue of $4.2 billion, and net income of $373 million in the first quarter, despite facing challenges such as tariffs and allegations of accounting fraud [2][3] - Carvana's stock is now trading above its pandemic-era peak at $395, with Jefferies projecting a potential 10% market share in the $800 billion used car sales market by 2035 [3][5] Company Performance - In the first quarter, Carvana achieved record metrics: 133,898 car sales, $4.2 billion in revenue, and $373 million in net income [2] - The second quarter also saw record car sales and revenue, although profitability experienced a slight decline due to external factors like tariffs [2] - Carvana currently holds a 2% share of the used car sales market, with potential for growth as consumer preferences shift towards online purchasing [5] Market Dynamics - Only 5% of used car sales are completed online, indicating a significant opportunity for Carvana as 33% of U.S. adults prefer online purchases if prices are comparable [5] - Carvana is enhancing its inventory through upgrades to reconditioning facilities and is expected to see over 40% year-over-year unit sales growth for the third consecutive quarter [5]