Key Takeaways TTD's shares fell 68% in a year, lagging strong gains in the Internet Services industry and broader market.TTD boosts AI platforms like Kokai and expands tools such as OpenPath to widen its moat.TTD holds $1.4B cash, no debt, approved $500M buybacks and sees Q4 2025 revenues of at least $840M.The Trade Desk ((TTD) stock has been a laggard performer in the digital ad space. It has seen a sharp 68.1% decline over the past year, an uncomfortable drawdown for a company viewed as one of ad tech’s l ...

Key Takeaways TTD's CTV is its fastest-growing channel, with video including CTV making up about half of Q3 revenues.TTD boosts AI platforms like Kokai and expands tools such as OpenPath to widen its moat.Competition is intensifying as MGNI and PubMatic boost their CTV efforts.The Trade Desk’s ((TTD) Connected TV (“CTV”) business is its “largest and fastest-growing channel” and continues to pace faster than the overall business. Video, including CTV, accounted for roughly half of revenues in the third quart ...

Core Insights - The Trade Desk enters 2026 with a strong business foundation but faces increased scrutiny regarding future performance and competitive pressures [2][14] - The company has experienced a shift in competitive dynamics, particularly due to Amazon's growing influence in the digital advertising space [8][11] Company Performance - The Trade Desk has maintained a strong track record with over 30 consecutive quarters of revenue beats and customer retention above 95% [4][5] - However, the company reported its first revenue miss in years by the end of 2024, which altered investor sentiment despite a rebound in growth [5][6] Competitive Landscape - Amazon Ads surpassed $50 billion in annual revenue, reshaping the competitive landscape, especially with partnerships with Netflix, Disney, and Roku [8][9][10] - Google and Meta have also strengthened their ecosystems, leveraging AI-driven personalization and first-party data, which poses challenges for independent platforms like The Trade Desk [11] Strategic Positioning - The Trade Desk's commitment to the open internet remains its key advantage, focusing on neutrality and cross-platform reach [12] - However, the fragility of the open internet was highlighted in 2025, as more consumption shifts to streaming platforms, potentially limiting The Trade Desk's supply access [13] Future Outlook - The company heads into 2026 with a robust product roadmap and loyal customer base, but must navigate a more competitive environment and maintain execution excellence [14][16] - Investors are advised to approach 2026 with heightened expectations and a clearer understanding of the evolving landscape [16]

Summary of GoDaddy Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: GoDaddy - **Industry**: Technology, specifically focused on web services and domain registration Key Points and Arguments AI Product Initiatives - GoDaddy has launched **Airo.AI**, a new platform currently in beta, aimed at enhancing customer engagement through AI-driven tools [3][4] - The platform features **agentic agents** designed to assist various customer types, from sole entrepreneurs to professionals, in achieving their business goals quickly and efficiently [5][6] - Early engagement metrics indicate that customers are naturally gravitating towards Airo.AI without any traffic-driving efforts from GoDaddy [3][4] Customer-Centric Approach - The focus remains on understanding the **Jobs to be Done** by customers, ensuring that the tools provided meet their specific needs [10][19] - GoDaddy emphasizes a **frictionless experience** for micro and small businesses, allowing them to manage their operations without needing technical expertise [13][18] - The company aims to guide customers through their journey by suggesting the **next best actions** based on their specific business needs [19][20] Monetization Strategy - GoDaddy has been in the AI market for two years, with expectations that Airo.AI will enhance average order sizes and customer retention [20][21] - The company is exploring both **indirect and direct monetization** strategies, including potential paywalls for premium services [23][24] - Historical data suggests that customers spending over $500 have high retention rates, indicating a successful monetization path [34] Agent Name Service (ANS) - GoDaddy is developing **Agent Name Service (ANS)**, which aims to create a secure environment for agents to perform tasks on behalf of users, evolving from the traditional DNS infrastructure [24][26] - ANS will allow users to register agents that can perform tasks securely, ensuring that the information exchanged is trustworthy [26][28] Customer Trends and Market Outlook - Recent surveys indicate that micro and small businesses are optimistic about their revenue prospects, which bodes well for GoDaddy's product offerings [35][36] - The company has seen a return to positive customer growth, attributed to effective funnel strategies and the rollout of AI-assisted onboarding [32][34] Competitive Landscape - GoDaddy positions itself as a **one-stop shop** for web services, focusing on meeting the specific needs of its customer base rather than reacting to competitors [40][41] - The company believes that its long-standing experience and understanding of customer needs will continue to drive its success [41][42] Pricing and Bundling Strategy - GoDaddy's average customer spends between **$1,000 and $2,000** online, with an average revenue per user (ARPU) of **$230**, indicating room for pricing adjustments [43] - The company employs a **value-based pricing** strategy, aiming to balance customer retention and product attachment to drive growth [44] Cost Management and Efficiency - GoDaddy focuses on expanding **Normalized EBITDA** and converting it to free cash flow, maintaining a strong balance sheet while investing in innovation [46][47] - The company leverages its historical data and technology stack to maintain a cost advantage over competitors [48] Capital Allocation - GoDaddy continues to prioritize share buybacks as a method to return value to shareholders while evaluating potential M&A opportunities that align with its strategic goals [50][51] Additional Important Insights - GoDaddy's customer base primarily consists of microbusinesses and sole entrepreneurs, who value the company's support and care organization [37][38] - The company is committed to using its internal resources and engineering talent to innovate and meet customer needs without relying heavily on external acquisitions [51]

Core Insights - Wall Street analysts believe The Trade Desk and Chipotle Mexican Grill are poised for a rebound in 2026 despite being among the worst-performing stocks in the S&P 500 in 2025, with declines of 66% and 48% respectively [1][2] The Trade Desk - The Trade Desk is the leading demand-side platform (DSP) for the open internet, which allows brands to plan, measure, and optimize digital advertising campaigns [3] - The company benefits from its independence, as it does not own media content or advertising inventory, reducing conflicts of interest and enhancing data sharing with publishers [4] - Concerns about competition from Amazon have negatively impacted the stock, despite The Trade Desk's dominance in connected TV advertising [5] - The Trade Desk's CEO asserts that Amazon is not a direct competitor in open internet advertising, emphasizing the value of the open internet [6] - Analysts project an average target price of $62.60 per share for The Trade Desk, indicating a 56% upside from its current price of $40 [6] - Despite recent stock declines, adjusted earnings are expected to grow at 15% annually through 2028, making the current valuation of 22 times earnings appear fair [7] - The Trade Desk could potentially generate returns exceeding 50% for shareholders in the next year if economic conditions remain stable [8] Chipotle Mexican Grill - Chipotle operates over 3,900 fast-casual restaurants and focuses on sourcing responsibly raised meats and organic produce, which has resonated well with consumers [9] - The company has faced challenges this year, with same-store sales and customer traffic declining in the first two quarters, although there was a slight recovery in the third quarter [10][11] - Analysts expect Chipotle's earnings to grow at 12% annually over the next three years, making its current valuation of 27 times earnings reasonable [13] - The recent rollback of tariffs on imported beef and avocados is anticipated to benefit Chipotle, presenting a buying opportunity for investors [12]

Core Insights - The Trade Desk, Inc. (TTD) is positioned as a strong player in the open Internet advertising space, leveraging AI and data transparency to enhance advertiser decision-making [1][8] - The demand for premium content is expected to drive growth in the open Internet, allowing TTD to capture a larger share of advertising budgets [2][8] - AI advancements are making the open Internet more effective, enabling advertisers to control their data and improve long-term success [3][4] Industry Dynamics - The open Internet is characterized by competition and transparency, contrasting with walled gardens like Google and Amazon that rely on closed inventory [1] - Digital ad supply consistently exceeds demand, creating a buyer's market that benefits TTD and the open Internet [2] - For the open Internet to outpace closed platforms, it must leverage competition and efficient supply chains [2] Company Strategy and Performance - TTD's flagship products, such as Kokai and Deal Desk, are enhancing operational efficiency and market share as the company aims for expansion into 2026 and beyond [4][8] - The company is focused on data-driven, targeted advertising on premium content to maintain competitiveness [4] - TTD's shares have seen a significant decline of 65.3% over the past year, contrasting with the growth of the Zacks Internet -Services industry and S&P 500 [7] Competitive Landscape - Competitors like Magnite and Taboola are also making strides in the open Internet space, with Magnite reporting a 25% growth in CTV and Taboola expanding its performance advertising platform [5][6] - Magnite estimates that a 1% market share gain from increased competition could add approximately $50 million annually [5] Financial Metrics - TTD's forward price/earnings ratio stands at 36.6X, higher than the Internet Services industry's ratio of 26.88 [9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TTD's earnings for 2025 has seen a slight increase over the past 60 days, indicating positive sentiment [11]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue for Q3 2025 was $739 million, representing an 18% year-over-year growth, and a 22% growth when excluding political spend from the previous year [39] - Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was approximately $317 million, or about 43% of revenue [39] - Adjusted net income for Q3 was $221 million, or $0.45 per diluted share [41] - Free cash flow for Q3 was $155 million, with a strong cash and liquidity position of about $1.4 billion in cash and short-term investments at the end of the quarter [42] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - CTV (Connected TV) continues to be the largest and fastest-growing channel, representing around 50% of the business in Q3 [39] - Mobile accounted for a low 30% share, display for a low double-digit share, and audio for around 5% [39] - The company is seeing strong growth in retail media and significant adoption across various verticals [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America represented 87% of the business, while international markets accounted for about 13% [40] - Growth in international markets, particularly EMEA and APAC, is outpacing growth in North America [40] - Strong growth was noted in verticals such as medical health, automotive, and technology [40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leading the open internet and enhancing operational efficiency through new leadership and structural changes [31][63] - Investments are being made in AI and product innovations to drive growth and improve client performance [38][39] - The company aims to capture a larger share of the $1 trillion advertising TAM as more dollars shift to programmatic [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management describes the current macro environment as a "tale of two cities," with some brands facing pressure from tariffs and inflation, while others are experiencing strong momentum [72] - The company is optimistic about the potential of the open internet and believes that independent DSPs will capture the majority of open internet spend [28] - The focus remains on building a more accountable and metrics-driven culture to support long-term growth [66] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased nearly $2 billion through its share repurchase program since the first authorization in 2023 [42] - New product features and upgrades are expected to significantly contribute to growth in the coming years [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Amazon as a competitor and the evolving competitive environment - Management acknowledges Amazon and Google as significant players but emphasizes that their focus is primarily on owned and operated inventory, while The Trade Desk focuses on decisioned, data-driven buying across the open internet [49][51] Question: Areas for impact in the next couple of years - The CFO highlights the importance of disciplined resource allocation and a metrics-driven approach to drive growth and ROI [54][55] Question: Broader advertising and macro environment trends for 2026 - Management notes strong momentum across the business but acknowledges pressures in certain sectors due to external factors like tariffs and inflation [72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Trade Desk reported Q3 2025 revenue of $739 million, representing an 18% year-over-year growth. Excluding political spend from last year's Q3, revenue increased by approximately 22% [38][42] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was approximately $317 million, or about 43% of revenue [38] - Adjusted net income for the quarter was $221 million, or $0.45 per diluted share [41] - Free cash flow was $155 million in Q3, with a strong cash and liquidity position of about $1.4 billion at the end of the quarter [42] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Connected TV (CTV) remains the largest and fastest-growing channel, with video (including CTV) representing around 50% of the business in Q3 [38] - Mobile accounted for a low 30% share, while display represented a low double-digit share, and audio was around 5% [38] - The Trade Desk's focus on retail media is seeing strong adoption across verticals, contributing to overall growth [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America represented 87% of the business in Q3, while international markets accounted for about 13% [39] - Growth in international markets, particularly EMEA and APAC, is outpacing growth in North America [39] - Strong growth was noted in verticals such as medical health, automotive, and technology [40] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leading the open internet and enhancing operational efficiency through new leadership and structural changes [31][36] - The Trade Desk is investing in AI and automation to improve platform capabilities and drive productivity [18][63] - The company aims to capture a larger share of the $1 trillion advertising total addressable market (TAM) as more dollars shift to programmatic [36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the potential of the open internet and the advantages of an objective platform [28] - The company anticipates continued growth driven by innovations in AI and programmatic buying, particularly in CTV and retail media [43] - The Trade Desk is well-positioned to capitalize on the evolving advertising landscape, with a focus on operational rigor and long-term growth [43] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased nearly $2 billion through its share repurchase program since the first authorization in 2023 [42] - The board of directors approved a new authorization of $500 million for share repurchases [42] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Amazon as a competitor and the evolving competitive environment - Jeff Green acknowledged Amazon and Google as significant players but emphasized that their advertising efforts primarily focus on owned and operated inventory, with little competition in the open internet space [47][51] Question: Areas for impact in the organization - Jeff Green highlighted the importance of new leadership and structural changes aimed at strengthening the company's foundation and improving operational efficiency [59][61] Question: Trends in the advertising and macro environment for 2026 - Management noted the growing importance of the open internet and the potential for increased value in an objective platform, with a focus on disciplined resource allocation and international growth [69]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Trade Desk reported Q3 2025 revenue of $739 million, representing an 18% year-over-year growth, and a 22% growth when excluding political spend from the previous year [40][41] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was approximately $317 million, or about 43% of revenue [40] - Adjusted net income for the quarter was $221 million, or $0.45 per diluted share [42] - Free cash flow was $155 million in Q3, with a strong cash and liquidity position of about $1.4 billion at the end of the quarter [43] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Connected TV (CTV) remains the largest and fastest-growing channel, representing around 50% of the business in Q3 [40] - Mobile accounted for a low 30% share, display for a low double-digit share, and audio for around 5% [40] - The Trade Desk's focus on retail media is seeing rapid scaling and strong adoption across various verticals [5] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North America represented 87% of the business, while international markets accounted for about 13% [41] - Growth in international markets, particularly EMEA and APAC, is outpacing growth in North America [41] - Strong growth was noted in verticals such as medical health, automotive, and technology [41] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leading the open internet and enhancing operational efficiency through new leadership and structural changes [33][57] - Investments in AI and automation are aimed at improving campaign performance and operational productivity [19][58] - The Trade Desk is committed to building a more data-driven culture and enhancing client relationships through joint business plans (JBPs) [15][60] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the potential of the open internet and the shift towards programmatic advertising [30] - The company anticipates continued growth in CTV and audio channels, driven by premium content and authenticated audiences [40][41] - The Trade Desk expects Q4 revenue to be at least $840 million, with an estimated growth of approximately 18.5% year-over-year when excluding political ad spend [44] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased nearly $2 billion in stock since the beginning of its repurchase program, effectively offsetting dilution [43] - The introduction of new products and upgrades, such as Audience Unlimited and trading modes, is expected to drive future growth [28][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on Amazon as a competitor - Management clarified that while Amazon is a significant player in advertising, their focus is primarily on owned and operated inventory, which differs from The Trade Desk's emphasis on the open internet [46][49] Question: Areas for impact as new CFO - The new CFO highlighted the importance of disciplined resource allocation and a metrics-driven approach to drive growth and efficiency [52][53] Question: Broader advertising trends for 2026 - Management noted that the open internet is gaining importance, and the company is well-positioned to capitalize on this trend through its restructuring efforts [62]

Bitcoin & Cryptocurrency - The Bitcoin community in 2025 may be influenced by economists, potentially limiting their understanding of the open internet's advantages for money [1] - Open systems involve interconnected changes, where actions have broader effects [2] - Bitcoin will always have security vulnerabilities [2] - Bitcoin aims to create a separate, decentralized system [2]