Workflow
Option trading
icon
Search documents
FCC Ban Triggers Overdue NetGear Stock Surge
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-03-24 14:32
Wi-Fi router manufacturer NetGear Inc (NASDAQ:NTGR) is surging 9.8% higher this morning, last seen at $24.23, headed for its best daily pop since August. Driving today's gains is news the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) has banned all imports of foreign routers, citing national security risks.Today's bull gap has NTGR contending with its year-to-date breakeven mark, trading at levels not seen since December. Gains could be capped by the 260-day moving average, however, which sits just overhead.Short ...
Honeywell Stock Drops as Middle East Conflict Drags Outlook
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-03-17 14:20
Core Viewpoint - Honeywell International Inc anticipates a revenue impact in the first quarter due to ongoing tensions in the Middle East, specifically between the U.S. and Iran, and projects 2026 sales to be between $38.8 billion and $39.8 billion [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Honeywell's stock is currently down 1.4%, trading at $231.14, and is 5% off its record high of $248.18 reached on March 2 [1][2] - Over the past 12 months, Honeywell's shares have increased by 18%, maintaining a break above the $220 ceiling since late January [2] Group 2: Options Market Sentiment - Options traders exhibit bearish sentiment towards Honeywell, indicated by a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.06, which is higher than 94% of annual readings [3] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) for Honeywell is at 28%, which is above 29% of all readings from the past year, suggesting relatively low volatility expectations among near-term option traders [4] Group 3: Volatility Analysis - Honeywell's Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) is rated at 80 out of 100, indicating that the stock has consistently experienced higher volatility than what its options have priced in over the past 12 months [4]
Option traders moderately bearish in Nike with shares down 1.92%
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-13 16:47
Core Viewpoint - Option traders are moderately bearish on Nike (NKE), with shares currently down $1.07 to approximately $54.63, indicating a cautious sentiment in the market [1] Options Activity - Options volume is roughly in line with the average, with 55,000 contracts traded, and calls leading puts, resulting in a put/call ratio of 0.52, which is lower than the typical level of around 0.71 [1] - Implied volatility (IV30) has increased by 0.8 points to approximately 50.3, placing it in the highest 10% of observations over the past year, suggesting an expected daily price movement of $1.73 [1] - The put-call skew has steepened, indicating a heightened demand for downside protection, particularly following an upgrade to Overweight by Barclays [1] Earnings Outlook - Nike (NKE) is scheduled to report earnings after the market close, with option markets pricing in a 50% probability of a price movement greater than 0.0% or $0.00 [1]
If Oil Is at a Peak, Does Shorting Chevron Puts and Calls Make Sense?
Yahoo Finance· 2026-03-08 13:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the potential investment strategies for Chevron Corp (CVX) stock, particularly focusing on covered calls and the implications of recent stock performance and oil prices on future cash flow and price targets [1][3][4]. Stock Performance - CVX closed at $189.94 on March 6, 2026, reflecting a slight increase of 1.7% from $186.76 on February 27, just before the onset of the Iran war [1]. - Analysts have raised their price targets (PTs) for CVX, with an average PT of $185.92 from 26 analysts, which is lower than the current stock price of $189.94 [3][4]. Options Strategy - Covered calls at the $200 strike price yield a potential one-month return of 2.1%, while a $210 strike price offers a yield of 1.0% [1][6]. - The $200 call option has a midpoint premium of $4.05, allowing for a total potential return of approximately 7.43% if the stock reaches $200 by April 17, 2026 [5][6]. Market Conditions - The rise in oil prices to nearly $90 per barrel could significantly enhance Chevron's future cash flow, impacting analysts' price targets [3]. - The market has already discounted much of the uncertainty surrounding the Iran war and oil inventory levels, suggesting that current prices may reflect these concerns [4].
Put Traders Move in on Airline Stock Amid Geopolitical Strife
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-03-02 16:24
Group 1 - The travel sector is experiencing significant disruptions due to the U.S.-Iran conflict, with thousands of flights canceled, reminiscent of the Covid-19 pandemic impact [1] - United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) is particularly affected, having the largest international flight exposure among U.S. carriers, with a key profitable route to Tel Aviv, Israel [1] - UAL's stock has decreased by 3.4% to $102.68, marking its lowest point since November, and is down 8.4% year-to-date [2] Group 2 - Analysts have not yet provided updates, but UAL appears vulnerable to downgrades and price-target reductions, with 23 out of 25 brokerages currently rating it as "buy" or "strong buy" [2] - The average 12-month price target for UAL is $139.23, indicating a 35% premium over current trading levels [2] - There has been a notable increase in put options trading, with 8,390 contracts traded today, which is double the average daily volume [3] Group 3 - Options for UAL are currently considered affordable, with a Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 61%, placing it in the 22nd percentile of volatility readings over the past year [4] - This suggests that near-term option traders are anticipating relatively low volatility for UAL [4]
Option traders moderately bearish in Citi with shares down 1.7%
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-25 15:35
Group 1 - Option traders are moderately bearish on Citi (C), with shares down $1.89 to approximately $108.86 [1] - Options volume is roughly in line with the average, with 19,000 contracts traded, and puts leading calls, resulting in a put/call ratio of 1.13, compared to a typical level of around 1.05 [1] - Implied volatility (IV30) has increased by 0.2 points to about 37.58, which is in the highest 10% of observations over the past year, indicating an expected daily move of $2.58 [1] - The put-call skew has flattened, suggesting a modestly bullish tone despite the bearish sentiment [1]
Webull Corp call volume above normal and directionally bullish
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-07 15:25
Core Viewpoint - Bullish option flow has been detected in Webull (BULL) Corp, indicating strong investor interest and potential upward movement in the stock price [1] Group 1: Option Activity - A total of 33,070 call options were traded, which is 2 times the expected volume, suggesting heightened bullish sentiment [1] - The implied volatility increased by almost 4 points to 82.96%, reflecting increased uncertainty or potential price movement [1] - The most active options include May-26 12.5 calls and 2/6 weekly 6 calls, with total volume in these strikes nearing 13,200 contracts [1] Group 2: Market Indicators - The Put/Call Ratio stands at 0.13, indicating a strong preference for call options over put options among investors [1] - Earnings for Webull are expected to be announced on March 31st, which may further influence trading activity and stock performance [1]
Popular Cloud Stock Pick for 2026 Option Bears
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-01-30 18:18
Core Insights - Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL) has experienced a significant price movement, breaking through its December low and reaching 2024 highs, while also failing at its one-year volume point of control (VPOC) [1] - The stock closed below the put support at the 180-strike, indicating a potential delta hedge meltdown, with lower strikes at 160 and 152.5 likely to act as magnets [1] Options Activity - ORCL has a front-month gamma-weighted Schaeffer's open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.15, suggesting a moderate level of options activity [3] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) for ORCL is 99 out of 100, indicating that the stock has frequently exceeded option traders' volatility expectations over the past year [3] - A recommended March put option has a leverage ratio of 4.9, which means it will double in value with a 17.5% drop in the underlying equity [3]
Chip Stock Breaking Records as Director Snaps Up Shares
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-01-16 15:17
Core Insights - Micron Technology Inc's stock has reached a record high of $365.81, up 8.2%, following a significant share purchase by board member Mark Liu amounting to $7.8 million [1] - Barclays and Citigroup have raised their price targets for Micron, with Barclays increasing its target from $275 to $450 and Citigroup from $330 to $385, indicating potential for further price-target hikes as the current consensus target price of $326.94 represents a 9.5% discount to current levels [1] Stock Performance - The stock is on track for an eighth consecutive weekly gain, supported by the $320 level in the past week and bouncing off the rising 60-day moving average in November and December [2] - Year-over-year, Micron has shown a substantial increase of 247.4% [2] Options Market Sentiment - Options traders are currently leaning bearish, as indicated by a Schaeffer's put/call open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.31, which is in the 97th percentile of its annual range, suggesting that unwinding of this pessimism could provide upward momentum for the stock [3] - The Schaeffer's Volatility Scorecard (SVS) for Micron is 88 out of 100, indicating that the stock has consistently experienced higher volatility than what its options have priced in [3] Trading Activity - In the first half of trading, there have been 190,000 calls and 178,000 puts traded, which is four times the intraday average volume, with the January 2026 360-strike call being the most popular option [4]
Why More Short Covering Could Be on the Horizon
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2026-01-12 13:45
Market Overview - The S&P 500 Index (SPX) has been experiencing range-bound trading, with a peak above prior highs before year-end, but the general sentiment remains that this pattern will continue into 2026 [1][2] - The SPX closed at 6,966.28, indicating a struggle to break through late October and early December highs [2] Job Market Impact - The job market's stability and the absence of negative surprises contributed to the SPX reaching a new closing high above 6,920, which was the late October intraday high [3] Short-Covering Dynamics - A significant factor in the market is the presence of short positions, with 83% of a list of 60 short-covering candidates rallying in 2026, averaging nearly 7% returns [4] - Traders holding short positions may delay covering until 2026 to realize profits and defer tax liabilities until 2027 [5] Technical Analysis - The technical backdrop for stocks may improve due to short covering, with potential for further covering as there is a rotation into lesser-known stocks outside the mega-cap technology sector [6] - The SPX is facing potential overhead resistance at the 7,000 level, which is significant both psychologically and in terms of options-related activity [18][15] Options Market Sentiment - The SPX component buy-to-open put/call volume ratio has decreased, indicating a return of optimism among option buyers, which could support stock prices [11] - The current market sentiment shows that traders are buying more put options than call options, creating a headwind for the SPX during the unwinding of optimism [9][10] Upcoming Events - The upcoming week includes significant events such as the start of earnings season for major financial companies, inflation data releases, and potential Supreme Court decisions regarding tariffs [14]