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Progressive's Policy Growth Steady: Will it Fuel Premium Acceleration?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-05 18:46
Core Insights - Progressive Corporation's policies-in-force (PIF) is a key growth indicator, showing steady growth particularly in personal auto and commercial lines [1][4] - The increase in PIF reflects strong retention ratios and new policy writings, supported by market presence, distribution innovation, and advanced underwriting technology [2][4] Policies in Force Growth - PIF in the Personal Lines segment increased by 18% in Q1 2025, leading to a 20% rise in net premiums written, primarily driven by personal auto products and new application volume [3][8] - In April, PIF rose by 17% to 35.5 million in Personal Lines and 6% to 1.1 million in Commercial Lines, contributing to competitive advantages in premium volumes [4][8] Competitor Analysis - Allstate Corporation's PIF reached 37.7 million in Q1 2025, driven by homeowners' policies, with strong brand presence and improved distribution expected to support future growth [5] - Travelers Companies Inc. is also experiencing growth due to solid retention rates and strategic initiatives, which are anticipated to enhance their auto, homeowners, and commercial insurance segments [6] Financial Performance - Progressive's shares have gained 17.4% year to date, outperforming the industry [7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Progressive's EPS has increased by 11.4% for Q1 2025 and 2% for Q2 2025, with revenue and EPS estimates for 2025 and 2026 indicating year-over-year growth [11] Valuation Metrics - Progressive's price-to-book value ratio stands at 5.71, significantly above the industry average of 1.58, although it holds a Value Score of B [10]