Core Insights - The recent selloff in gold and silver prices has interrupted a significant and prolonged rally in precious metals, leading to speculation about potential weaknesses in the ongoing rally [1] Group 1: Market Trends - The decline in gold and silver prices suggests that there may be emerging cracks in the previously strong rally of these precious metals [1]

Core Insights - Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) is trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales multiple of 5.5X, which is above the industry average of 5.13X [1] - CDE has experienced a significant stock price increase of 229.9% over the past year, outperforming the Zacks Mining-Non Ferrous industry's increase of 94.3% and the S&P 500's rise of 17.4% [3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, CDE's revenue rose by 77% to $555 million, driven by balanced output across five North American mines [6][11] - The company generated $237.7 million in operating cash flow during Q3, more than doubling its cash on hand to $266.3 million and reducing net leverage to 0.1X [12][13] - CDE repaid over $228 million of debt in the first nine months of 2025, bringing total debt down to $363.5 million [13] Operational Highlights - CDE's diversified North American portfolio includes five mines, with revenue contributions of approximately 23% from Palmarejo, 22% from Kensington, 20% from Rochester, 18% from Wharf, and 17% from Las Chispas [10][11] - The company is executing a significant exploration program with a commitment of $67-$77 million aimed at extending mine lives and improving grades [17] Growth Drivers - The Rochester silver-gold mine is a key growth engine, with recent expansions increasing throughput capacity [15] - The acquisition of Las Chispas has added a high-grade, low-cost asset to CDE's portfolio, enhancing production and cash flow [16] Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CDE's fiscal 2025 earnings is currently at 91 cents per share, indicating a year-over-year growth of 406% [20] - For 2026, the estimate is pegged at $1.89 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 107.14% [20] Investment Outlook - CDE's strong revenue growth, solid cash generation, and improved balance sheet position it as a favorable investment opportunity for those seeking exposure to precious metals [21]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry and Company Overview - The conference call primarily discusses macroeconomic trends and their implications for various asset classes, including US Treasuries, Japanese equities, the US dollar, precious metals, and copper. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Impact of JGB Sell-off on US Treasuries** - Concerns about Japanese public pensions repatriating funds from US markets due to higher Japanese yields are considered overstated. Domestic investors have not significantly increased allocations to longer-end JGBs despite perceived improvements in attractiveness throughout 2025. The potential for joint US-Japan FX intervention may lead to a short-term decline in USD/JPY [8][12][18]. 2. **Japanese Equities Outlook** - Rising long-term interest rates are not seen as a headwind for Japanese equities at this time. Japan's real interest rates remain deeply negative, maintaining accommodative financial conditions. Inexpensive valuations make Japanese equities attractive compared to global peers. The impact on mega-banks is expected to be limited due to the short duration of their JGB portfolios [12][18]. 3. **US Dollar Weakness Amid Strong Growth** - Despite stronger-than-expected US growth, risks remain skewed towards a weaker dollar due to strong ex-US data, lingering policy risks, an undervalued JPY, and rising CNY support. The risk premium in the DXY has risen to average levels seen since 'Liberation Day' [18][21]. 4. **Precious Metals Rally Potential** - Geopolitical events are driving safe-haven inflows into precious metals. Expectations of two more Fed rate cuts in 2026 should support ETF demand. Although physical demand from central banks may slow, gold's percentage in reserves is expected to rise amid declining USD dominance [23][28]. 5. **Copper Market Dynamics** - The macro backdrop for copper remains constructive due to anticipated rate cuts and a weaker dollar. However, US import demand is slowing, LME inventories are rising, and Chinese demand is declining. Prices are expected to remain supported but may experience short-term volatility [26][27]. Other Important Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of considering multiple factors when making investment decisions, highlighting potential conflicts of interest due to Morgan Stanley's business relationships with covered companies [5][36]. - Analysts express that while the USD bear case has softened, the equilibrium level of risk premium is unlikely to return to previous peaks without clearer evidence of FX-hedging flows [18][21]. - The report includes various exhibits that provide visual data supporting the analysis, such as risk premiums and inventory levels [21][27]. This summary encapsulates the key discussions and insights from the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current market dynamics and investment considerations.

Group 1 - Gold prices fell 6% to around $5,000 per ounce, while silver tumbled 14%, marking a sharp reversal from this year's rally in precious metals [1] - Gold prices have risen approximately 15% year to date, influenced by a weaker dollar against other currencies [3] - Silver prices have increased roughly 28% year to date, following a significant rally in 2025, although analysts note that prices have overshot forecasted averages [6] Group 2 - Goldman Sachs analysts set a year-end price target of $5,400 for gold, indicating potential upside risks due to increased participation from private-sector investors [4] - The volatility in precious metals is exacerbated by a wider stock market sell-off, with major averages all lower [1] - Analysts express concerns about the current phase of rapid price increases in metals, suggesting that volatility may lead to liquidity issues [2]

Gold (GC=F) fell 6% to around $5,000 per ounce on Friday while silver (SI=F) tumbled 13% in a sharp reversal of this year's massive rally in precious metals. The volatility came alongside a wide stock market sell-off, with the major averages set to open in red territory following a slide in tech stocks. "The higher metals rise, the more likely 2026 will mark enduring price peaks — notably for silver — if history is a guide," wrote Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg, on Friday. "The ...

Group 1: Company Strategy - Tiffany & Co. is shifting its focus from silver jewelry to gold and high jewelry, as stated by LVMH executives [1][2] - The demand for high jewelry has quadrupled over the last four years, while demand for silver jewelry has declined by one-third since LVMH acquired Tiffany in 2021 [2] - This marks a significant change for Tiffany, which has historically specialized in silver jewelry since its inception in 1851 [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - LVMH's watches and jewelry division reported €10.5 billion in sales (approximately $12.6 billion) in 2025, reflecting a 1% decline from the previous year [4] - LVMH's stock price has decreased by about 22% over the past year [4] Group 3: Market Trends - Gold prices have surged to record highs, with spot gold trading around $5,240 per ounce, up about 20% this year and 73% in 2025 [6] - Silver prices have also risen significantly, currently trading around $115 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of 56% and a 170% rise last year [9] - The gold-to-silver ratio has fallen to a four-year low, indicating that silver now "appears expensive" relative to gold [12]

Group 1 - Gold prices rose close to $5,000 per ounce, while silver touched $100, marking a significant rally for precious metals [1] - Gold is on track for its best week since 2020, gaining 13% year-to-date, with private sector investors joining central banks in accumulating gold [1] - Silver futures have increased by 29% year-to-date, with a substantial portion of its supply used for industrial purposes [4] Group 2 - China has been hoarding silver and restricting exports since the beginning of the year, impacting global supply [5] - Analysts from JPMorgan noted that silver prices have significantly exceeded forecasted averages, indicating a volatile market [5] - The momentum for silver prices is strong, with potential for rapid retracement, reflecting the unpredictable nature of the commodity [6] Group 3 - Geopolitical uncertainty and expectations for interest rate cuts are driving investors towards precious metals [7] - A Danish pension fund announced its exit from US Treasurys, reflecting a shift in investment strategy amid geopolitical tensions [2] - Northern European investors are also reassessing US assets due to similar concerns [2] Group 4 - The erosion of fiscal discipline in the United States is contributing to the ongoing demand for gold [3] - Strategists cite a weaker US dollar and large fiscal deficits as factors influencing the precious metals market [1]

Core Insights - The iShares MSCI Global Silver and Metals Miners ETF (SLVP) and abrdn Physical Platinum Shares ETF (PPLT) have distinct structures, volatility, and recent performance, with SLVP focusing on mining companies and PPLT tracking platinum prices directly [2][3] Cost & Size Comparison - SLVP has a lower expense ratio of 0.39% compared to PPLT's 0.60%, but PPLT has a significantly larger asset base of $2.86 billion versus SLVP's $843.6 million [4][5] Performance & Risk Metrics - Over the past five years, SLVP experienced a maximum drawdown of -55.56%, while PPLT had a drawdown of -35.73%. The growth of $1,000 over five years was $2,222 for SLVP and $2,133 for PPLT [6] Fund Structure and Holdings - PPLT is designed to closely track platinum prices, avoiding equity risks, and has over $2 billion in assets with a singular focus on platinum market performance [7] - SLVP invests in approximately 30 mining companies, including Hecla Mining, Indust Penoles, and Fresnillo Plc, providing diversification but also introducing company-specific risks [8] Recent Performance Context - Both ETFs have significantly outperformed the market in the past year, with SLVP returning over 200% and PPLT around 135%, driven by rising precious metal prices amid inflation and economic uncertainty [10]

Core Insights - The recent rally in gold and silver prices has prompted investors to explore opportunities in the mining sector, moving beyond traditional mega-cap tech stocks [1][2] Group 1: Market Trends - Investors are beginning to recognize the value of gold for diversification and are also starting to pay attention to mining stocks, particularly in silver, which is gaining importance [3] - There is a belief that both gold and silver have further upside potential, driven by market performance and growing investor interest [3] Group 2: Mining Stocks - Many mining companies are currently offering attractive profit margins and favorable debt-to-equity ratios, with yields that surpass those of the S&P 500 [4] - The Sprott Active Gold & Silver Miners ETF (GBUG) provides a diversified investment option for those looking to increase exposure to gold and silver mining stocks [5][6]

Precious metals start new year strongly, where they left off in 2025. ...