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John Deere(DE) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-14 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales and revenues decreased by 9% to DKK 12.018 billion, with equipment operations net sales also down by 9% to DKK 10.357 billion [9] - Net income attributable to Deere & Company was €1.289 billion, or $4.75 per diluted share [9] - Operating margin for equipment operations was reported at 12.6% [5] Business Segment Data and Key Metrics Changes - **Production and Precision Ag**: Net sales decreased by 16% year over year to €4.273 billion, primarily due to lower shipment volumes and unfavorable price realization [10] - **Small Ag and Turf**: Net sales were down 1% year over year to €3.025 billion, with a slight decline in shipment volumes offset by positive currency translation [11] - **Construction and Forestry**: Net sales decreased by 5% year over year to DKK 3.059 billion, mainly due to unfavorable price realization [17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the U.S. and Canada, large ag equipment industry sales are expected to decline by approximately 30% in fiscal year 2025 due to high interest rates and elevated used inventory levels [12] - Small ag and turf industry demand in the U.S. and Canada is projected to be down 10% [13] - European market sentiment is improving, with expectations for industry sales to be flat to down 5% in fiscal year 2025 [14] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on disciplined execution amidst challenging market dynamics, managing production costs, and inventory levels effectively [5][6] - There is an emphasis on responding proactively to market downturns and maintaining robust investment levels for future growth [65] - The company aims to build production in line with retail demand as market conditions improve [26][65] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that global uncertainty and high interest rates continue to weigh on customer sentiment, but there are signs of improved demand in certain segments [5][6] - The company remains optimistic about its order books and is well-positioned to respond to demand growth when it returns [7][65] - Management highlighted the importance of managing costs and production efficiency to navigate the current economic environment [30][32] Other Important Information - Tariff costs in the quarter were approximately $200 million, with a forecasted pretax impact of nearly $600 million for fiscal year 2025 [32][33] - The company has seen significant reductions in inventory levels across various segments, positioning itself well for future demand [26][27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Production to retail demand expectations - Management indicated that production levels could align closely with retail sales increases, particularly in large ag, while small ag and turf may see some lift due to underproduction this year [70][73] Question: Early order programs insights - Management noted that planter programs are seeing cautious ordering, while early responses for combines are positive but still early in the cycle [76][79] Question: Pricing and market competition - Management acknowledged competitive pricing pressures but noted positive market responses to recent pricing actions, with expectations for some price moderation in the fourth quarter [97][99] Question: Cash flow guidance variability - Management explained that the cash flow guidance range reflects uncertainties in the market, but they feel confident about inventory levels and retail sales trends [91][94] Question: Tariff impacts and mitigation strategies - Management provided details on the tariff costs and their allocation among business units, emphasizing ongoing efforts to mitigate these impacts [114]