Summary of Canadian Pacific Kansas City (CPKC) Conference Call - December 02, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Canadian Pacific Kansas City (NYSE: CP) - **Industry**: Rail Transportation Key Points and Arguments 1. **Company Growth and Positioning**: CPKC is in its early stages of growth, having combined two established rail networks. Despite economic challenges, the company has led the industry in growth through market creation and synergies [2][3][4] 2. **Earnings Outlook**: CPKC aims for double-digit earnings growth, supported by cost control and a strong grain crop in Canada, with expectations of moving 73 million metric tons of grain [3][4] 3. **Intermodal and Automotive Growth**: The company has seen significant growth in domestic intermodal traffic, up 48% year-over-year, and anticipates continued growth in the automotive sector [5][6] 4. **Capital Expenditure Plans**: CPKC plans to reduce capital expenditures to a range of $2.6 billion to $2.8 billion in 2026, focusing on operational efficiencies and infrastructure investments [20][22] 5. **Revenue Synergies**: The company is on track to achieve $1.4 billion in revenue synergies by the end of 2026, driven by unique market connections and operational efficiencies [12][14] 6. **Market Dynamics**: CPKC is positioned to benefit from the resolution of trade disputes, particularly with China, which is expected to increase soybean movements [4] 7. **Regulatory Environment**: Concerns were raised about potential mergers in the industry (UP and NS), with CPKC's unique North-South positioning providing a competitive advantage. The complexity of regulatory approvals for such mergers is highlighted [44][45][49] 8. **Future Opportunities**: CPKC anticipates significant revenue growth from connecting Canadian and Mexican markets, with an expected annualized revenue of approximately $460 million from this initiative [39][40][41] Additional Important Insights 1. **Leadership Commitment**: CEO Keith Creel expressed strong commitment to CPKC, emphasizing the importance of legacy and the completion of integration efforts post-merger [17][18] 2. **Infrastructure Investments**: CPKC has made substantial investments in infrastructure, which are expected to yield operational efficiencies and support future growth [20][30] 3. **Partnerships and Collaborations**: The company is leveraging partnerships, such as with Americold, to enhance its service offerings and create additional growth opportunities [35][36] 4. **Market Diversification**: The company is capitalizing on the trend of market diversification between Canada and Mexico, which has been accelerated by recent tariff challenges [39][41] 5. **Shareholder Returns**: CPKC is planning to gradually increase its dividend payout ratio and is considering share buybacks as part of its capital allocation strategy [23][25] This summary encapsulates the key insights and strategic directions discussed during the CPKC conference call, highlighting the company's growth trajectory, market positioning, and future opportunities within the rail transportation industry.

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported revenues of $3.7 billion, an increase of 3% year-over-year, with a strong volume growth of 5% [5][26] - The operating ratio improved by 220 basis points to 60.7%, while diluted earnings per share rose to $1.10, reflecting an 11% increase compared to the previous year [5][26] - Year-to-date cash provided by operating activities increased by 6% to $3.8 billion, with capital expenditures of $860 million in the quarter [30][26] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The automotive franchise achieved a revenue increase of 2% on a 9% volume growth, marking record performance [23] - Bulk revenues, particularly in grain, rose by 4% with a 6% volume growth, while potash revenues and volumes increased by 15% [18][19] - Intermodal revenue grew by 7% on an 11% volume increase, driven by strong domestic intermodal performance [24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - U.S. grain volumes were up 13% year-over-year, while Canadian grain volumes decreased by 2% due to lower carryout stocks [19] - The company noted challenges in the energy, chemicals, and plastics segment, with revenues and volumes down by 2% due to softer demand [20] - The international intermodal segment saw a 10% volume increase, supported by growth from Gemini through various ports [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains focused on executing growth opportunities despite potential industry consolidation, emphasizing its unique three-country network [8][10] - The management highlighted the importance of the Meridian Speedway as a strategic asset to create market advantages and enhance service offerings [42][45] - The company plans to continue leveraging its network to drive efficiencies and maintain strong customer service [14][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving 10% to 14% earnings growth for the year, despite macroeconomic challenges [8][10] - The company is optimistic about the strong grain harvest in Canada and the U.S., which is expected to support volume growth [30][26] - Management acknowledged the impact of recent supply chain challenges but remains focused on maintaining operational efficiency and cost control [66] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased 34 million shares, representing approximately 91% of its announced share repurchase program [30] - The management emphasized the importance of safety, reporting improvements in personal injuries and train accident frequencies [15] Q&A Session Summary Question: On the M&A topic regarding the UP and NS merger - Management indicated that the approval of the merger is not guaranteed and that significant conditions would likely be required to protect competition in the industry [33][34][36] Question: Strategy in the current landscape - Management confirmed that they are exploring alliances with non-applicants to leverage opportunities without the risks associated with mergers [41][42] Question: Insights on grain opportunities and customer behavior - Management noted that grain companies are currently pulling grain into elevators rather than pushing it out, indicating a cautious approach from customers [60][62] Question: Pricing trends and future growth potential - Management expects to see positive pricing trends in Q4 and remains confident in achieving double-digit EPS growth for the year [66][68] Question: Performance of the KCS network - Management discussed ongoing efforts to align KCS performance with CP operating levels and highlighted the importance of cost synergies [79]

Group 1: Canadian National Railway (CNI) - Canadian National Railway is a major player in the economy, transporting over 300 million tons of goods across North America annually with nearly 20,000 miles of rail lines [4] - The company's economic moat is characterized by its extensive and hard-to-replicate railroad infrastructure, as well as its primary role as the main rail operator for the Port of Prince Rupert, enhancing its intermodal growth potential [5] - CNI has improved its margin performance in recent years, with a current dividend yield of 2.7% and a history of consistent dividend increases [7] Group 2: PepsiCo (PEP) - PepsiCo is a global leader in the snacks and beverages market, with well-known brands such as Pepsi, Gatorade, Lay's, Cheetos, and Doritos, dominating the savory snacks market and ranking as the second-largest beverage provider [8] - The company has a diverse portfolio that contributes to its strong market position and financial performance [9]