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Mondelez International(MDLZ) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 22:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a decline in volume in North America by 4% compared to a 2.8% average year-to-date, indicating a slowdown in the market [20] - The guidance for Q4 implies a step up in organic net revenue growth of more than 4%, with an expected improvement in EBIT growth compared to the previous year [13][46] - Cocoa prices have been a significant factor, with a 30% price increase impacting the chocolate segment, but the company expects significant improvement moving forward [5][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, the biscuits, cakes, pastries, and meals business are performing well with share growth and volume mix growth, while the chocolate category is generally in line with expectations despite some pressure [5][6] - The U.S. biscuit category is facing challenges, with consumers focusing on essentials and shifting towards smaller packs and promotions [20][21] - Emerging markets showed a volume decline of 4.7%, primarily affected by Argentina's hyperinflation and economic conditions, but India and Brazil are performing better with mid-single-digit and double-digit growth respectively [39][41] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Consumer confidence in Europe remains stable, but the U.S. market is experiencing a decline in consumer spending and basket size, affecting overall sales [5][20] - Price elasticity in Europe is currently around 0.7 to 0.8, higher than the historical range of 0.4 to 0.5, indicating a need for price adjustments in certain product lines [8][34] - Emerging markets are showing varied performance, with China experiencing low single-digit growth and Argentina significantly impacting overall volume [40][41] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on optimizing pricing strategies and promotional effectiveness to drive growth, particularly in the U.S. market [12][24] - There is a clear strategy to invest in emerging markets and adjacencies like cakes and pastries, with a goal of high single-digit EPS growth for 2026 [15][29] - The company plans to enhance its supply chain efficiency and reduce costs through automation and better logistics management [48][50] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth potential despite current challenges, emphasizing the importance of adapting to consumer behavior and market conditions [15][68] - The company anticipates a rebound in Europe driven by seasonal activations and improved pricing strategies, while the U.S. market is expected to stabilize with better promotional strategies [46][48] - Cocoa prices are expected to be deflationary in 2026, which will positively impact margins and allow for further investments [15][14] Other Important Information - The company is implementing a multi-year North America supply chain program aimed at addressing cost structures and improving service levels [48][50] - There is a focus on health and wellness trends, with plans to expand product offerings in better-for-you segments [25][68] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on European market pricing and elasticity - Management noted that the current price elasticity in Europe is around 0.7 to 0.8, which is higher than expected, and adjustments are being made to better align with consumer acceptance [34][58] Question: U.S. market growth strategy - The company is focusing on optimizing pricing and promotional strategies to regain growth, with a shift towards value offerings and better-for-you products [20][68] Question: Future investments and spending - Management confirmed that Q4 plans for investments are locked in, with a focus on continuous brand support and activation at point of sale [71][72]
Mondelez International(MDLZ) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a year-to-date organic net revenue growth of more than 4% for Q4, with an implied EPS growth translating to significant EBIT growth compared to the previous year [11][40] - The company faced challenges including tariffs, material destocking in the U.S., and an unprecedented heat wave in Europe, which impacted consumer confidence and volume trends [9][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, the chocolate business experienced a substantial price increase of about 30%, with elasticity around 0.7 to 0.8, which is higher than previously expected [6][29] - The U.S. biscuit category saw a volume decline of 4%, driven by consumer concerns about the economy and a shift towards value-seeking behavior [16][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Emerging markets experienced a volume decline of 4.7%, primarily due to hyperinflation in Argentina and strategic downsizing in India [34] - China showed low single-digit growth in Q3, indicating a new challenge for the company, while Brazil reported double-digit growth due to strong execution in biscuits and chocolate [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on optimizing pricing strategies and promotional effectiveness to drive growth, particularly in the U.S. market [20][56] - There is a clear intention to invest in emerging markets and adjacencies like cakes and pastries, with a target of high single-digit EPS growth for 2026 [13][62] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the cocoa cost environment is expected to improve, which will positively impact future pricing strategies and profitability [12][31] - The company is adapting its product offerings and pricing architecture to better align with consumer expectations and market conditions [57][58] Other Important Information - The company is implementing a multi-year North America supply chain program aimed at improving cost structures and service levels [43][44] - There is an emphasis on continuous investment in brands and activation at the point of sale to support long-term growth [62] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on European market pricing and elasticity - Management indicated that the price elasticity in Europe is currently around 0.7 to 0.8, which is higher than historical norms, and adjustments are being made to address pricing gaps [28][29] Question: Path forward for U.S. growth - The U.S. market is experiencing a volume decline, but management is optimistic about returning to growth through strategic pricing and promotional adjustments [15][22] Question: Expectations for North America in Q4 - Management expects a rebound in Europe and a slight improvement in North America, driven by pricing strategies and promotional effectiveness [40][41] Question: SG&A cost reductions and future investments - Management outlined that SG&A reductions are primarily due to working media declines, but investments will increase in 2026 to support growth initiatives [46][48]
Evercore Lowers Mondelez (MDLZ) Price Target Amid Rising Price Sensitivity
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-02 06:33
Core Viewpoint - Mondelez International, Inc. (NASDAQ:MDLZ) is considered a top pick for retirement portfolios despite a downgrade in price target and sales growth projections by Evercore ISI [1][2]. Group 1: Sales Growth and Projections - Evercore ISI has reduced its projection for third-quarter consolidated organic sales to 3.5%, down from a consensus expectation of 4.5% [2]. - The expectation for organic sales growth in 2025 has been lowered from 5% to 4.4% [2]. - Increasing price elasticity across Europe is identified as a key factor contributing to slower sales growth [1]. Group 2: Stock Performance and Valuation - Analysts warn that short-term sales risks could lead to a 5–10% decline in Mondelez's stock, positioning it at the lower end of its 10-year price-to-earnings range of 18x [2]. - Despite immediate concerns, Mondelez is still viewed as a solid long-term growth story at a reasonable price [3]. Group 3: Company Overview - Mondelez International, Inc. is a Chicago-based international firm specializing in confectionery, cuisine, drinks, and snacks [3].
CarMax(KMX) - 2026 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-09-25 14:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The second quarter net earnings per diluted share was $0.64, down from $0.85 a year ago, primarily due to lower volume and CAF loss provision adjustments [16][19] - Total gross profit was $718 million, a decrease of 6% from the previous year [16] - SG&A expenses for the second quarter were $601 million, down 2% from the prior year, driven mainly by lower stock-based compensation [17][19] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total sales for the quarter were $6.6 billion, down 6% year-over-year, reflecting lower volume [7] - Retail unit sales declined by 5.4%, with used unit comps down 6.3% [7] - Wholesale unit sales decreased by 2.2% compared to the second quarter last year, while average wholesale selling price increased by approximately $125 per unit to $7,900 [8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The average selling price for used vehicles was $26,000, a year-over-year decrease of approximately $250 per unit [8] - The retail gross profit per used unit was $2,216, consistent with historical averages [16] - The weighted average contract rate charged to new customers by CarMax Auto Finance was 11.2%, down from 11.4% in the previous quarter [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to focus on driving sales, gaining market share, and delivering significant year-over-year earnings growth [4] - Key priorities include maintaining competitive prices, enhancing consumer awareness, delivering SG&A reductions of at least $150 million over the next 18 months, and generating additional profit through diversified business components [5][10] - The launch of the "Wanna Drive" brand campaign is part of a multiphase strategy to enhance the omnichannel experience [10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledged that the second quarter results fell short of expectations but expressed confidence in their strategy and earnings model [4] - The company noted that while there was a pull forward of demand into the first quarter, they have improved their inventory position and pricing competitiveness for the third quarter [6][7] - Management highlighted that consumer sentiment is currently strained, particularly among mid to high FICO customers, but they remain focused on gaining market share [62] Other Important Information - The company is committed to reducing SG&A expenses while continuing to invest in initiatives that support future growth [19] - CarMax Auto Finance originated over $2 billion during the second quarter, resulting in a sales penetration of 42.6% [11] - The company repurchased approximately 2.9 million shares for a total expenditure of $180 million during the second quarter [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: What factors contributed to the decline in used unit sales? - Management indicated that the most disruptive factors were inventory depreciation and a pull forward of demand into the first quarter, with September showing stronger performance than the second quarter [24][25] Question: Is CarMax seeing increased pricing competition in the market? - Management confirmed that they are always focused on competitive pricing and have recently improved their pricing position after experiencing depreciation [26][27] Question: What is the outlook for CarMax Auto Finance income? - Management expects CAF income to be flat to slightly down year-over-year due to a larger provision impact this quarter [30][31] Question: How will SG&A reductions impact growth strategy? - Management assured that SG&A reductions will not impact growth strategy, as investments in technology and marketing will continue to drive sales [38][39] Question: What is the company's approach to subprime lending? - Management clarified that they are not pushing into deep subprime but are cautiously expanding into the top half of Tier 2 lending [50][51] Question: How is the company addressing inventory management? - Management stated that they are actively monitoring reserved inventory and are considering adjustments to improve sales opportunities [78][79]