Pricing supercycle
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Dell, HPE shares sink after Morgan Stanley downgrades โ computer hardware stocks also hit
CNBCยท 2025-11-17 21:11
Core Insights - Data center stocks experienced significant declines following Morgan Stanley's downgrade of seven hardware companies, including Dell and Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) [1] - The downgrades reflect concerns over an unprecedented pricing "supercycle" affecting computer makers, driven by increased demand from hyperscalers [2] - Rising costs in DRAM and NAND memory are expected to pressure margins, with memory fulfillment rates potentially dropping to 40% in the next two quarters, posing risks to future earnings estimates [3] Group 1: Company Downgrades - Morgan Stanley downgraded Dell from overweight to underweight, resulting in an 8% drop in its stock price [1] - HPE was downgraded from overweight to equal weight, leading to a 7% decline in its stock price [1] - Other companies such as HP Inc, Asustek, and Pegatron were downgraded from equal weight to underweight, with share prices dipping up to 6% [2] Group 2: Market Dynamics - Analysts noted that the current environment is characterized by a pricing "supercycle" as hyperscalers drive demand for data center hardware, pushing valuations to all-time highs [2] - The impact of rising memory costs on margins is highlighted, with memory accounting for 10-70% of a product's bill of materials, indicating a significant risk to earnings estimates for the hardware sector [3]