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Taboola vs. Magnite: Which Ad-Tech Stock Should Be in Your Portfolio?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-17 17:56
Industry Overview - The digital advertising industry is rapidly transforming due to advancements in AI, privacy regulations, and diverse media channels, leading to increased digital ad spending as marketers shift budgets from traditional formats to online platforms [1][3] - Global digital ad spending was valued at $600 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $1.5 trillion by 2034, with a CAGR of 9.47% from 2025 to 2034 [3] Company Analysis: Taboola (TBLA) - Taboola is a global leader in performance advertising, connecting thousands of advertisers to approximately 600 million daily users through its Realize platform [2] - The company has shifted focus from native advertising to performance advertising, reflecting the rising demand for comprehensive performance solutions beyond traditional platforms [4] - Taboola's revenue growth strategy includes enhancing Realize's capabilities and refining its go-to-market strategy, resulting in a 3% revenue growth, 53% increase in adjusted EBITDA, and 48% improvement in operating cash flow in Q1 2025 [5] - For 2025, Taboola expects revenues between $1.84 billion and $1.89 billion, with net income projected between $122 million and $128 million [6] - The company is investing around 8% of 2024 revenues in R&D to advance AI features and has expanded its share repurchase authorization by $200 million [6] Company Analysis: Magnite (MGNI) - Magnite operates as a leading supply-side platform (SSP) in the Connected TV (CTV) ad-tech sector, processing billions of impressions monthly [7][10] - The company has established significant partnerships with major players like Netflix, Roku, and Warner Bros. Discovery, enhancing its market position [8][10] - Magnite's strategy focuses on continuous investment in technology and expanding its sales organization, capitalizing on the shift towards CTV advertising [10] - The company is projected to benefit from increased regulatory scrutiny on Google, which may shift publisher preference towards independent platforms like Magnite [8][11] - For 2025, Magnite's revenues and EPS are expected to increase by 14% and 15.5% year-over-year, respectively [14] Financial Metrics - Taboola is trading at a forward P/E of 19.9, while Magnite is at 45.5, both below their respective three-year medians [9][17] - Year-to-date, MGNI shares have gained 51%, while TBLA shares have lost 2% [18]