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What Upstart's Earnings Say About the Health of Its Business
The Motley Foolยท 2025-08-21 09:42
Core Insights - Upstart's second-quarter earnings report showed impressive growth, with total loan volume increasing by 154% year over year, despite a challenging lending environment [4] - The company reported revenue more than doubling and achieved a modest profit, surpassing its own guidance which anticipated a small loss [4][7] - Upstart expects to generate approximately $1.055 billion in revenue for the full year, marking its first billion-dollar year [7] Growth Metrics - Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 21%, a significant improvement from negative-7% a year ago [5] - New loan verticals, including auto loans and home equity lines of credit, are growing rapidly, with auto loan originations up 87% sequentially and home loans up 67% [6] Potential Concerns - Upstart holds over $1 billion in loans, with 70% classified as "R&D loans," which increased by 30% sequentially, raising potential risk concerns [9] - The conversion rate for loan applicants increased from 15.2% a year ago to 23.9% in the second quarter, indicating a higher approval rate, which may suggest a lowering of lending standards [10][12] - The percentage of "superprime" borrowers decreased by two percentage points to 27%, which could imply a shift in the company's lending strategy [11]