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Here's how to navigate the pullback in software stocks
Youtube· 2026-02-04 18:50
Market Overview - The S&P 500 is down about half a percent, while the Nasdaq has decreased by approximately one and a half percent, and small caps are down over 1%. Conversely, the Dow is up over half a percent [1]. Software Sector Weakness - There is notable weakness in the software sector attributed to concerns over AI disruption, with companies like Palantir experiencing double-digit declines following earnings reports [2][3]. - The investment community appears fatigued with AI narratives, leading to a lack of significant price recovery in the software sector [3]. Market Rotation - The market is undergoing an internal rotation rather than a broad decline, with shifts from software to semiconductors, large caps to small caps, and from tech to industrials, energy, and materials [4]. - Currently, there is a rotation from momentum strategies to quality strategies, with significant declines in momentum ETFs [5][6]. Sentiment and Selling Pressure - The software sector is experiencing indiscriminate selling, which may be overdone, presenting potential buying opportunities despite the ongoing disruption concerns [7][9]. - Earnings in the software sector have been revised higher by 10% since September, yet the group is facing a 30% drawdown, indicating a disconnect between fundamentals and price action [11]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to focus on cash-rich companies and quality stocks, as fundamentals are becoming more aligned with price action in various market segments [10]. - The current environment suggests that while there may be opportunities, a cautious approach is warranted, with a preference for individual stock selection over broad ETFs [20][25]. Future Outlook - The software sector is expected to experience continued volatility, particularly with upcoming earnings reports and uncertainty surrounding the new Fed chair [16][17]. - There is a significant multiple compression in the software sector, currently at about 32%, which may eventually stabilize and reverse [18].
JPMorgan Diversified Return U.S. Equity ETF (JPUS US) - Portfolio Construction Methodology
ETF Strategy· 2026-01-19 18:45
Core Insights - The JP Morgan Diversified Factor US Equity Index provides exposure to US large- and mid-cap stocks selected from the Russell 1000 based on three equally weighted factor groups: value, momentum, and quality [1] Group 1: Portfolio Construction Methodology - The index employs a composite percentile score for stock selection, with target industry weights determined by the inverse of three-year volatility of a reference cohort [1] - Stocks are weighted using an optimizer that incorporates explicit liquidity limits, with new positions requiring a minimum weight of 0.05% and single-name weights capped at 0.60% [1] - Quarterly reviews are conducted in March, June, September, and December, utilizing prior-month fundamentals and specified pricing cut-offs to assess performance [1]
IDMO: A Potential Core Of A (Truly) Ex-U.S. Competitive Portfolio
Seeking Alpha· 2025-12-05 08:55
Core Insights - Momentum strategies, along with the quality factor, are viewed as effective approaches to enhance portfolio value, serving as either core or satellite components [1] - Financial Serenity is a financial analysis and quantitative research column focused on the asset management sector, managed by Tommaso Scarpellini, who has extensive experience in banking and financial analytics [1] - The initiative aims to provide in-depth analysis of the dynamics driving the asset management market, combining data analysis with actionable insights on ETFs and trending instruments [1] Industry Focus - The asset management market is characterized by its evolving nature, necessitating data-driven perspectives to assist investors in making informed decisions [1]
EPS: Earnings-Focused Smart Beta Vehicle That Underdelivers
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-01 00:14
Group 1 - The article discusses the rising valuations in the market and highlights the quality factor as a focus for investors with lower risk appetites, particularly those with contrarian views on high-performing sectors like technology and AI capital expenditures [1] - Vasily Zyryanov, an individual investor, emphasizes the importance of identifying underpriced equities with strong upside potential and overappreciated companies with inflated valuations, particularly in the energy sector, including oil and gas supermajors and exploration companies [1] - Zyryanov advocates for a comprehensive analysis that includes Free Cash Flow and Return on Capital, suggesting that these metrics provide deeper insights beyond simple profit and sales analysis [1] Group 2 - The article acknowledges that while some growth stocks may warrant their premium valuations, it is crucial for investors to investigate whether the market's current opinions are justified [1]