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Can Rigetti's Chiplet Approach Fast-Track the 1,000-Qubit Milestone?
ZACKS· 2026-02-20 17:05
Core Insights - Rigetti Computing (RGTI) aims to develop a 1,000-plus qubit machine by 2027, leveraging a chiplet-driven design strategy that has moved beyond conceptual stages to practical scalability [1][3] Rigetti's Development Strategy - The company is transitioning from 9-qubit chiplets to 36-qubit modules, which will be the foundational components of larger quantum systems, thus mitigating fabrication yield challenges and engineering complexities associated with large processors [2] - The 36-qubit chiplets are achieving nearly 99.5% two-qubit gate fidelity, supporting the goal of reaching approximately 150 qubits by 2026, with further scaling planned thereafter [2][9] - Rigetti's modular design philosophy allows for independent production and validation of components, reducing operational risk and enabling consistent performance improvements, making the 2027 target a calculated progression [3] Industry Peers Updates - Quantum Computing Inc. (QUBT) is enhancing its commercial positioning through an integrated photonics strategy and expanding customer traction in government and enterprise markets, while also improving its manufacturing capabilities [4][5] - Arqit Quantum Inc. (ARQQ) is advancing its commercial momentum by deploying its quantum-safe encryption platform and integrating with telecom and enterprise partners, positioning itself as a scalable cybersecurity infrastructure provider [6][7] Rigetti's Financial Performance - Rigetti's shares have increased by 12.5% over the last six months, contrasting with a 16.8% decline in the industry [8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Rigetti's 2026 earnings indicates a significant 75.9% improvement from the previous year, with a projected growth rate of 74.3% for 2026 earnings [9][12] - Rigetti currently trades at a price-to-book ratio of 14.73, which is above the industry average, and holds a Value Score of F [10]