D-Wave Quantum (NYSE:QBTS) Q3 2025 Earnings Call November 06, 2025 08:00 AM ET Speaker3Good day and welcome to the D-Wave Q3 2025 earnings call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal conference specialists by pressing the star key followed by zero. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your touch-tone phone. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please n ...

Core Viewpoint - D-Wave Quantum Inc. has experienced significant stock price increases, with shares rising over 243% year-to-date and nearly doubling in the last month, although concerns about its commercial viability persist [1][4][11]. Financial Performance - D-Wave reported a year-over-year revenue increase of approximately 42% for the last quarter, amounting to just over $3 million, despite wider-than-expected losses per share and a 44% increase in adjusted EBITDA losses [9][10]. - The company has a notably high price/sales ratio of 1,279.8, indicating it may be overvalued compared to its earnings and sales history [2][11]. Technological Developments - D-Wave is focusing on developing gate model technology in addition to its quantum annealing technology, aiming for a more diversified technological approach [6]. - Successful partnerships with companies such as Verge Ag, Japan Tobacco, and North Wales Police demonstrate the practical applications of D-Wave's quantum annealing technology [8]. Market Position and Competition - The commercialization potential of D-Wave remains uncertain, with analysts predicting a potential share price correction of nearly 40% due to overvaluation concerns [4][11]. - Competitors like Rigetti Computing have also seen substantial stock price increases, with Rigetti's shares rising over 5,100% in the past year, intensifying competition in the quantum computing space [12]. Analyst Sentiment - D-Wave currently holds a Moderate Buy rating among analysts, but it is not included in the list of top stocks recommended by leading analysts, suggesting a cautious outlook [14].

Core Insights - Quantum computing is a rapidly evolving technology with the potential to transform various industries, presenting unique investment opportunities in companies like Rigetti Computing (RGTI) and D-Wave Quantum (QBTS) aiming to establish a trillion-dollar market [1] Company Strategies - Rigetti is focused on superconducting qubits and a modular chiplet architecture, striving for universal, gate-based quantum machines, while D-Wave specializes in quantum annealing, targeting optimization problems for enterprise clients [2][7] - Rigetti's recent advancements include the Cepheus-1-36Q system, which has improved two-qubit error rates and achieved a median gate fidelity of approximately 99.5% [5][6] - D-Wave's Advantage2 system emphasizes higher qubit counts and improved performance, with a focus on immediate enterprise adoption and practical applications [8][12] Financial Performance - RGTI shares have increased by 110.3% year-to-date, while QBTS shares have surged by 213.5% [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RGTI's 2025 sales indicates a year-over-year decline of 19.65%, with a projected loss per share of 9 cents [14] - Conversely, QBTS is expected to see a year-over-year sales growth of 181.5% for 2025, with a projected loss per share of 24 cents [17] Market Positioning - Rigetti relies heavily on government contracts for revenue, recently securing a $5.8 million contract with the U.S. Air Force Research Laboratory [9] - D-Wave focuses on enterprise adoption, implementing pilot programs across various industries, which provides more immediate revenue visibility [10] - Rigetti's roadmap includes plans for a 100+ qubit system by the end of 2025 and a $250 million partnership with Quanta Computer to scale production [11] Investment Considerations - Rigetti holds a stronger growth and momentum profile, with a Growth Score of 'C' and a Momentum Score of 'A', while D-Wave has a Growth Score of 'F' and a Momentum Score of 'D' [21] - Both companies currently carry a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating that investors may want to wait for clearer catalysts before making investment decisions [21][22]

Core Viewpoint - D-Wave Quantum's stock has experienced a significant decline of 19% from August 13 to August 21, amidst a broader pullback in tech stocks, despite a remarkable increase of nearly 1,500% over the past year as interest in quantum computing grows [1][2]. Company Overview - D-Wave Quantum positions itself as the world's first commercial supplier of quantum computers and has recently launched its next-generation quantum processor [2]. - The company reported a revenue of $3.1 million for Q2, marking a 42% increase year-over-year, with bookings rising 92% to $1.3 million [9]. Quantum Computing Potential - Quantum computers can perform complex calculations exponentially faster than traditional computers, with benchmarks showing tasks that would take supercomputers 10 septillion years can be completed in under five minutes by quantum chips [4]. - The global quantum computing market is projected to grow from $4 billion in 2024 to $72 billion by 2035, driven by advancements in various fields such as semiconductor development and drug discovery [5]. Product Development - D-Wave's sixth-generation quantum computer, Advantage2, is designed for real-world applications like process optimization and artificial intelligence [7]. - The Advantage2 has been tested by notable institutions, including the Jülich Supercomputer Center and Los Alamos National Laboratory [8]. Financial Performance - D-Wave reported a net loss of $167.3 million in Q2, compared to a loss of $17.8 million in the same period last year, with operating expenses increasing by 41% [11]. - The company ended Q2 with $819 million in cash and $149.3 million in liabilities, having raised $400 million through share sales and other financial instruments [12]. Growth Strategy - Management plans to utilize the cash reserves to accelerate growth, potentially through mergers or acquisitions, and intends to increase investment in R&D and marketing, which will raise operating expenditures by approximately 15% [13]. - D-Wave aims to be the first independent publicly held quantum computing company to achieve consistent profitability, although this goal may take time [13]. Market Valuation - D-Wave's stock trades at a price-to-sales ratio of 173, which is high compared to traditional tech companies but aligns with other pure-play quantum computing firms [14]. - Analysts estimate D-Wave's revenue for 2025 to be $24.6 million, nearly 180% higher than projected for 2024, indicating potential for significant growth [16].

Core Viewpoint - D-Wave Quantum has experienced a significant stock surge of 1,711% over the past year, driven by enthusiasm for quantum computing despite being a development-stage company with minimal revenue [1]. Company Overview - D-Wave Quantum is distinguished in the quantum computing sector due to its focus on quantum annealing, claiming to be the first to deliver commercial-grade annealing quantum computing solutions [6]. - The company has secured a diverse customer base, including Mastercard, Deloitte, and ArcelorMittal, and has demonstrated advancements in technology, achieving quantum supremacy on a real-world problem in March 2025 [7]. Financial Performance - In Q2, D-Wave Quantum reported a revenue growth of 42% to $3.1 million, with bookings increasing by 93% to $1.3 million, and over 100 revenue-generating customers in the last four quarters [8]. - The company continues to incur losses, with an adjusted net loss of $25.3 million in the quarter, but maintains a strong cash position of $819 million after raising $400 million [9]. - The market capitalization of D-Wave Quantum is currently $5.8 billion, resulting in a price-to-sales ratio of approximately 200, indicating a high valuation relative to its revenue [10]. Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - The stock is viewed as a speculative investment in quantum computing, with uncertainty regarding when technological advancements will lead to significant revenue growth [11]. - The overall market sentiment appears bullish, with stocks at all-time highs, benefiting D-Wave Quantum and its peers [12]. - Given the inflated valuations for development-stage companies and the unclear growth trajectory, it may be prudent for investors to wait for a more favorable entry point or clearer visibility into the company's future [13].

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum's stock has increased by 8.6% since the release of its Q2 earnings on August 7, 2025, despite missing earnings expectations, as investors are optimistic about business momentum and customer growth [1][2] - The company reported a 42% year-over-year revenue increase, primarily driven by the sales of the Advantage2 quantum processing unit and growing adoption by major clients such as GE Vernova, Nikon, and NTT DOCOMO [1][7] Growth Factors - **Advantage2 Deployment in Europe**: D-Wave's revenues surged due to the deployment of the Advantage2 quantum processing unit at Germany's Julich Supercomputing Center, which serves as a significant reference point for the company's annealing architecture in Europe [3] - **High-Profile Contracts and Partnerships**: The company has secured contracts with notable clients across various sectors, enhancing its credibility and expanding its market reach, particularly in Asia and Europe [4] Financial Performance - **Revenue and Earnings Estimates**: The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a projected 73.3% increase in earnings and a 181.5% rise in revenues for FY25 compared to FY24 [10] - **Current Valuation**: D-Wave's stock is trading at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 159.38X, significantly higher than its historical median and the sector average, indicating a stretched valuation [13][15] Challenges - **Profitability Concerns**: Despite strong revenue growth, D-Wave remains unprofitable, facing significant operating losses due to high capital requirements for hardware and cloud services [8] - **Market Competition**: The company's exclusive focus on quantum annealing may pose risks as competitors like IonQ, Rigetti, and IBM are advancing gate-model quantum systems, which could shift market preferences [9][16]

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum Inc. has seen its stock price nearly double year-to-date, reaching new all-time highs, with investors anticipating insights from its upcoming earnings report in early August [1] - A significant portion of business leaders surveyed expect substantial returns on investment from quantum technology, indicating a strong market interest [2] Company Developments - D-Wave has made major sales of entire quantum computing systems, including its Advantage system, and has formed a partnership with SuperQ Quantum Computing Inc. and Verge Ag to expand its product lineup [3][4] - The collaboration aims to utilize quantum annealing technology to optimize agricultural operations, demonstrating the practical applications of D-Wave's technology [5][6] Market Position and Challenges - Despite the positive developments, D-Wave faces skepticism regarding the viability of quantum annealing compared to other quantum computing approaches, as highlighted by critics [7] - The recent collaboration has generated its first revenue contract, which may bolster D-Wave's position in the market [8] Revenue Growth Potential - The partnership with SuperQ and Verge serves as a model for future revenue generation, as D-Wave has relied heavily on a few high-profile sales to grow its revenue [9] - There is potential for D-Wave to collaborate with various partners across different sectors, leveraging its technology to create innovative products [11] Financial Outlook - Analysts have a mixed outlook on D-Wave's stock, with a 12-month price forecast averaging $15.22, indicating a potential downside of 17.14% from the current price [12] - Warning signs from the first-quarter earnings include a significant drop in deferred revenue and a cash burn nearing $20 million, contributing to a high short interest in the stock [13]

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum Inc. (QBTS) has experienced a remarkable growth of 1,343.6% over the past year, indicating strong investor confidence in its quantum annealing technology [1][7] - The company is focusing on practical applications of quantum technology, particularly in optimization problems, which sets it apart from competitors like IBM and Alphabet [2][5] Company Performance - D-Wave's Advantage2 prototype has demonstrated quantum advantage by completing complex tasks in minutes, which would take classical supercomputers millennia [5][7] - The Leap cloud platform and partnerships with companies such as Ford Otosan and NTT DOCOMO are generating real commercial value for D-Wave [5][7] Industry Context - IBM is developing its Quantum Starling, a fault-tolerant quantum computer expected to launch by 2029, which will significantly enhance operational capabilities [6] - Alphabet's Willow processor has achieved a milestone in quantum error correction, with expectations for real-world applications in the next five years [8] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for D-Wave's 2025 earnings suggests a 72% year-over-year improvement [9] - Current estimates indicate a gradual improvement in earnings per share (EPS) from -0.10 a year ago to -0.21 in 2025, with a projected growth of 30% for the current quarter and 45.45% for the next quarter [10]

Core Insights - D-Wave Quantum Inc. has made significant advancements in quantum annealing technologies, leading to increased attention and validation of its commercial execution [2][10] - The company's stock has surged 1281% over the past year, outperforming the broader Internet Software industry, the Computer and Technology sector, and the S&P 500 [3] Company Performance - D-Wave's 1,200-qubit Advantage2 prototype achieved quantum supremacy by solving a complex magnetic simulation in minutes, a task estimated to take one million years on a classical supercomputer [6][10] - The full-scale Advantage2 system features over 4,400 qubits, improved coherence time, and enhanced qubit connectivity, which are crucial for solving complex optimization and AI problems [7][11] Competitive Position - D-Wave is currently leading competitors Rigetti Computing and IonQ in delivering practical quantum computing solutions, with demonstrated performance at scale [10][11] - High-profile commercial users, including Ford Otosan, NTT DOCOMO, and Japan Tobacco, are utilizing D-Wave's systems for various applications, showcasing the company's hardware maturity [11] Financial Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for D-Wave's 2025 earnings indicates a 72% year-over-year improvement [12] - Current earnings estimates for the next year show a significant reduction in losses compared to the previous year, reflecting positive growth expectations [13]