Rare Earths

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Nobel Laureate Paul Krugman, Dynamic Pricing and Labor, Brazil’s Rare Earths Bet
Bloomberg Television· 2025-09-14 07:04
Trade and Tariffs - Trump administration's tariffs are negatively impacting the standard of living by increasing costs and reducing productivity [6][7] - While consistent tariffs are bad, the uncertainty and volatility of tariff rates are causing significant disruption to businesses and investments [9][10] - Tariffs are being absorbed by U S businesses and consumers, not significantly by foreign exporters [11][12] - Tariffs on inputs into U S manufacturing are raising costs for U S businesses [14] - Trump's tariffs may generate revenue like a sales tax, but are unlikely to yield the $300 billion claimed [21][22] - The U S has violated international trade agreements, potentially damaging its credibility [24][25] Dynamic Pricing - Dynamic pricing is being used by companies to charge different prices based on customer willingness to pay and market conditions [26] - Dynamic pricing can benefit sellers by optimizing revenue, but may face consumer backlash if not perceived as beneficial [27] - Dynamic pricing can lead to intense competition and potentially erode industry profitability, as seen in the airline industry [28] - Implementing dynamic discounting, rather than simply raising prices, may be a more effective strategy [29] Rare Earth Minerals - China dominates the rare earth mineral market, controlling around 60% of the overall market and nearly 100% of heavy rare earths [29] - The U S imports 95% of its rare earths from China, creating a vulnerability in defense systems [29] - Brazil is attracting miners to its mineral reserves, aiming to become a reliable non-China rare earth supplier [30] Housing Market - The U S is experiencing a housing crisis with rapidly rising housing prices due to land use restrictions and construction costs [30][31] - Trump administration policies, such as tariffs on Canadian lumber and restrictions on immigration, are negatively impacting housing supply and affordability [32] - Politicizing the Federal Reserve could lead to higher mortgage rates and reduced housing affordability [35]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-10 17:42
What the Pentagon’s Rare Earths Deal Gets Right and Wrong https://t.co/L1M2X8m8dT ...
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-09-03 15:21
India’s cabinet approved a 15 billion rupee ($170 million) incentive program to boost recycling of critical minerals from batteries and e-waste, stepping up efforts to secure access to rare earths https://t.co/oixMwnqEfW ...
September Preview | Top-Notch Courses + Wind Alice
Wind万得· 2025-09-01 00:59
Group 1 - The article highlights a series of upcoming online courses offered by Wind, focusing on various financial topics and strategies, aimed at global financial elites [2][3][5] - Courses include themes such as AI-powered market analysis, economic fundamentals of different countries, and investment strategies in sectors like rare earths and U.S. Treasuries [3][4][5] - The courses are scheduled throughout September 2025, with specific dates and times provided for each session, emphasizing the importance of timely registration [2][3][4] Group 2 - The article promotes the use of AI in financial analysis and investment strategies, indicating a trend towards integrating technology in traditional financial practices [3][5] - It mentions the significance of understanding global economic recovery trends, particularly in regions like Portugal and France, which may influence investment decisions [4][5] - The content aims to equip participants with practical insights and strategies to navigate the evolving financial landscape [6]
中美科技战:稀土芯片还是晶圆制造设备?
2025-08-31 16:21
Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - **Industry**: Technology, specifically focusing on semiconductor and rare earth elements in the context of US-China relations - **Key Players**: China, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Core Insights and Arguments 1. **US-China Tech War Dynamics**: - President Trump's strategy of trading H20 AI chips for rare earth exports has failed, as China has banned H20 purchases indefinitely [2] - China is leveraging its rare earth export controls against the US, indicating a shift in negotiation power [2] 2. **China's Strategic Focus**: - China is more interested in acquiring advanced wafer fabrication equipment (WFE) rather than advanced AI chips, aiming for self-sufficiency in AI chip production [3] - The long-term goal for China is to reduce dependence on US technology by developing its own AI chips [3] 3. **Current Semiconductor Trade Deficit**: - In 2024, China's semiconductor trade deficit increased by 6% year-over-year to $227 billion, while its oil trade deficit was $322 billion [4] - China's semiconductor imports were $387 billion, significantly higher than its WFE imports of $34 billion [4] 4. **Potential Market Impact**: - If the US relaxes export controls on WFE, it could reverse the bearish outlook for global WFE demand in 2026, as China accounted for approximately 40% of global WFE capital expenditure in 2024 [5] - A relaxation could lead to increased demand from China, positively impacting the WFE market [5] Additional Important Points 1. **NVIDIA's Position**: - NVIDIA is expected to face challenges in generating AI chip revenue from China until a trade agreement is reached [2] - The suspension of H20-related production indicates a significant impact on NVIDIA's operations in the Chinese market [2] 2. **Long-term Development Challenges**: - China's local foundries lack the capacity and yield to scale up GPU production quickly due to US restrictions on advanced WFE [3] - Achieving self-sufficiency in WFE will take time, particularly in critical areas like lithography and metrology [3] 3. **Market Sentiment**: - The market's current bearish sentiment towards WFE demand could shift dramatically if trade negotiations yield favorable outcomes for China [5] 4. **Investment Recommendations**: - NVIDIA's price target is set at $200, reflecting a 30x multiple on estimated earnings per share for 2027 [13] This summary encapsulates the critical insights from the conference call, highlighting the ongoing tensions in the tech industry between the US and China, the strategic shifts in China's technology ambitions, and the implications for companies like NVIDIA.
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-27 23:38
Company Actions - Lynas 寻求筹集 750 million 澳元 (A$) 的股权资本 [1] Industry Position - Lynas 是中国境外首家商业化生产“重”稀土的公司 [1]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-08-26 00:46
Trade Relations - The US believes it possesses greater trade leverage over China [1] - Airplane parts are highlighted as a crucial US asset in response to China's rare earth restrictions [1]