If you take a look and you turn back to the topic of who's going to lead the Fed and what it could mean for your portfolio, that's what our next guest is here to tell you about. His trading advice depending on who the president picks as the next Federal Reserve chair. Joining us now is Yan Silagi, the CEO and co-founder of Reflexivity, a markets AIdriven platform.And Yan, if we talk about the two Kevin, Kevin Walsh, Kevin Hasset, are there different playbooks that you have for either one of them. Maybe let' ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the impact of tariffs and tight credit conditions on hiring plans across various sectors [1] - It highlights that certain channels for interest rate relief are currently obstructed, complicating the financial landscape for businesses [1] Group 1: Economic Impact - Tariffs are creating additional costs for companies, which may lead to reduced hiring and investment plans [1] - Tight credit conditions are making it difficult for businesses to secure financing, further hindering their ability to expand and hire [1] Group 2: Financial Environment - The article notes that some avenues for rate relief, such as potential cuts in interest rates, are not accessible at this time, limiting options for businesses seeking financial support [1] - The overall economic environment is characterized by uncertainty, which may affect long-term planning and growth strategies for companies [1]

Core Viewpoint - MDU Resources Group, Inc. reported second quarter financial results for 2025, highlighting sustained momentum in the pipeline segment and regulatory progress that supports the company's long-term value as a regulated energy delivery business [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the second quarter of 2025, net income was $13.7 million, a decrease from $60.4 million in the same period of 2024. Earnings per share (EPS) diluted were $0.07 compared to $0.30 in 2024 [2][21]. - Income from continuing operations was $14.1 million, down from $20.2 million year-over-year, with diluted EPS from continuing operations at $0.10, up from $0.07 [2][21]. - Operating revenues for the second quarter of 2025 were $351.2 million, compared to $344.5 million in 2024, while operating expenses increased to $320.8 million from $305.0 million [13][21]. Segment Performance Electric Utility Segment - The electric utility segment earned $10.4 million in Q2 2025, down from $15.5 million in Q2 2024, primarily due to increased operation and maintenance expenses [4][21]. - Higher payroll-related costs and expenses from a planned outage contributed to the increased costs, although these were partially offset by higher commercial sales volumes and rate relief in South Dakota [4][21]. Natural Gas Distribution Segment - The natural gas distribution segment reported a seasonal loss of $7.4 million in Q2 2025, compared to a loss of $5.0 million in 2024, driven by higher operation and maintenance expenses and unfavorable weather conditions [5][25]. - Operating revenues increased to $206.9 million in Q2 2025 from $201.5 million in 2024, with a notable increase in purchased natural gas sold [22][25]. Pipeline Segment - The pipeline segment reported earnings of $15.4 million in Q2 2025, down from $17.3 million in 2024, impacted by higher operation and maintenance expenses and the absence of a customer settlement from the previous year [8][26]. - Operating revenues for the pipeline segment increased to $56.3 million in Q2 2025 from $52.9 million in 2024, supported by higher transportation revenue from recent expansion projects [26]. Guidance and Strategic Outlook - The company narrowed its full-year earnings guidance to a range of $0.88 to $0.95 per share, reflecting midyear performance and weather impacts [6][9]. - Long-term EPS guidance remains unchanged, with an expected growth rate of 6%-8% [6][9]. Regulatory Updates - The company is actively pursuing regulatory approvals for various projects, including a General Rate Case in Wyoming requesting a $7.5 million annual increase, and applications for new projects in North Dakota and Idaho [7][22]. - Rate relief in Washington and Montana has partially offset seasonal losses in the natural gas distribution segment [5][25]. Capital Expenditures - Total capital expenditures for 2025 are estimated at $539 million, with significant investments planned in electric and natural gas distribution segments [18][22]. Other Financial Data - As of June 30, 2025, the company reported total assets of $6.946 billion and total equity of $2.732 billion, with a book value per common share of $13.37 [31]. - The market price per common share was $16.67, representing 124.7% of the book value [31].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported income from continuing operations of $82.5 million or $0.40 per share for Q1 2025, a 10.4% increase compared to the same period last year [4] - First quarter earnings were $82 million or $0.40 per diluted share, compared to $100.9 million or $0.49 per diluted share in Q1 2024 [12] - The natural gas utility segment reported earnings of $44.7 million, an 11.5% increase from $40.1 million in Q1 2024 [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The electric utility segment reported earnings of $15 million, down from $17.9 million in the same period last year, despite a 25% increase in retail electric volumes [12][39] - The pipeline segment achieved record first quarter earnings of $17.2 million, up from $15.1 million in Q1 2024, driven by growth projects and increased demand for services [9][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The utility experienced a 1.4% combined retail customer growth compared to a year ago, aligning with the projected annual growth rate of 1% to 2% [5] - The company signed electric service agreements for 580 megawatts of data center load, with 180 megawatts currently online and an additional 100 megawatts expected to come online later this year [7] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a core strategy emphasizing customer and community engagement, operational excellence, and employee-driven initiatives, with a capital investment plan of $3.1 billion over the next five years [11] - The company anticipates a long-term EPS growth rate of 6% to 8% while targeting a 60% to 70% annual dividend payout ratio [11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term potential of the Bakken region, highlighting the increasing gas-to-oil ratio and the need for takeaway capacity [22][24] - The company remains committed to wildfire prevention and has seen legislative support in three of its operating states, which will help limit liability and enhance mitigation efforts [6][58] Other Important Information - The company plans to reestablish an ATM program to meet future equity needs as part of its capital investment strategy [16] - The company is affirming its earnings per share guidance in the range of $0.88 to $0.98 for the full year [10] Q&A Session Summary Question: Are the tariffs from large customers not accretive for new resources? - Management indicated that the current capital-light strategy for data centers is beneficial, as it allows for shared costs with large customers, which in turn benefits retail customers [18][19] Question: How might disruptions in the Bakken affect North Dakota? - Management believes in the long-term viability of the Bakken, noting that while oil prices fluctuate, the increasing gas production will provide benefits for the pipeline business and utility customers [22][24] Question: How does the company view housing starts in relation to economic sensitivity? - Management noted that customer growth has remained stable within the 1% to 2% range, even during economic fluctuations, with Idaho being a particularly strong growth area [28][30] Question: What are the next steps for the Bakken East project? - Management stated that conversations with customers are ongoing, and they are encouraged by the feedback received, but further steps will depend on route design and customer needs [48][49] Question: How will recent wildfire legislation impact mitigation plans? - Management indicated that the legislation will help formalize existing mitigation plans and limit liability, while prevention remains the top priority [58][59] Question: What is the anticipated size of the ATM program? - Management has not yet determined the size of the ATM program but plans to size it appropriately to meet future needs [60] Question: What is the starting point for the long-term growth rate? - Management clarified that the long-term growth rate guidance is based on the adjusted 2024 number or the 2025 range provided earlier this year [63]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported income from continuing operations of $82.5 million or $0.40 per share for Q1 2025, a 10.4% increase compared to the same period last year [4][13] - First quarter earnings were $82 million compared to $100.9 million for Q1 2024, indicating a decrease in overall earnings [13] - The natural gas utility segment reported earnings of $44.7 million, an 11.5% increase year over year [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The electric utility segment reported earnings of $15 million, down from $17.9 million in Q1 2024, despite a 25% increase in retail electric volumes [13][14] - The pipeline segment achieved record first quarter earnings of $17.2 million, up from $15.1 million in the previous year, driven by growth projects and increased demand [9][15] - The natural gas distribution segment's rate relief contributed significantly to its quarterly results, with new rates effective in Washington and Montana [7][8] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The utility experienced a 1.4% combined retail customer growth compared to a year ago, aligning with the projected annual growth rate of 1% to 2% [5] - The company signed a purchase agreement to acquire a 49% interest in the Badger Wind Farm, contingent on regulatory approvals [5] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on a core strategy emphasizing customer and community engagement, operational excellence, and employee-driven initiatives [12] - A capital investment of $3.1 billion is anticipated over the next five years, with a target of 7% to 8% compound annual utility rate base growth [12] - The company is committed to maintaining a 60% to 70% annual dividend payout ratio while targeting long-term EPS growth of 6% to 8% [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth prospects of the Bakken region, despite potential short-term disruptions due to oil prices [24][25] - The company remains proactive in wildfire prevention and has seen legislative support that limits liability, enhancing operational certainty [6][60] Other Important Information - The company plans to reestablish an ATM program to meet future equity needs as part of its capital investment strategy [16] - The anticipated filing of a general rate case in Idaho is expected in the second quarter of 2025 [9] Q&A Session Summary Question: Are the tariffs from large customers not accretive for new resources? - Management indicated that the capital-light strategy for data centers is beneficial, as it allows for shared costs with large customers, providing benefits to the retail customer base [18][19] Question: Thoughts on potential disruptions to the Bakken region? - Management believes in the long-term viability of the Bakken play, citing increasing gas production and industrial demand as positive indicators [24][25] Question: Impact of housing starts on service areas? - Management noted that customer growth has remained stable within the 1% to 2% range, with Boise being a particularly strong growth area [30][32] Question: Clarification on accounting restatements? - Management explained that the restated numbers primarily reflect the separation of discontinued operations and some ongoing costs related to previous separations [33][34] Question: Confidence in the Bakken East project development? - Management expressed optimism based on ongoing customer conversations and feedback, while noting that the project is not currently in the five-year capital forecast [48][49] Question: Role of recent tariffs in the Bakken East project's attractiveness? - Management stated that while tariffs could impact costs, they do not foresee them derailing the project [55][57] Question: Impact of wildfire legislation on mitigation plans? - Management highlighted that existing proactive measures will be formalized through new legislation, which will help limit liability [58][60] Question: Size of the anticipated ATM program? - Management has not yet determined the size of the ATM program but indicated it would be sized to meet future needs starting in 2026 [61][62] Question: Clarification on long-term growth rate starting point? - Management clarified that the long-term growth rate is based on adjusted 2024 numbers or the 2025 range provided earlier [63][64]