Rate-based growth
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Unitil(UTL) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-04 20:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported adjusted net income of $0.4 million and adjusted earnings of $0.03 per share for Q3 2025, an increase of $0.01 per share compared to Q3 2024 [4][11] - For the first nine months of 2025, adjusted net income was $33.5 million, or $2.03 per share, an increase of $1.4 million, or $0.03 per share, compared to the same period in 2024 [4][11] - The ratio of funds from operations to debt was approximately 17% as of September 30, 2025, indicating a strong balance sheet [5][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Electric adjusted gross margin for the nine months ended September 30, 2025, was $86.4 million, an increase of $4.7 million, or 5.8%, compared to the same period in 2024, driven by higher distribution rates and customer growth [11][12] - Gas adjusted gross margin for the same period was $134.7 million, an increase of $19.1 million, or approximately 16.5%, attributed to higher distribution rates, customer growth, and colder winter weather [12][13] - The company added approximately 9,400 new gas customers, including about 8,800 from the acquisition of Bangor Natural Gas [12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company expects the acquisitions to accelerate rate-based growth to approximately 10% annually through 2029, supporting earnings growth in the upper half of the guidance range [8][19] - The New Hampshire Public Utilities Commission approved the acquisition of Aquarion on October 7, 2025, with further approvals expected in Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Maine [7][6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on sustainable growth and has successfully integrated Bangor Natural Gas and completed the acquisition of Maine Natural Gas [21] - The company plans to file a base rate case for Maine Natural Gas in mid-2027, following the successful integration of Bangor Natural Gas [6][5] - The company aims to reduce direct greenhouse gas emissions by 50% by 2030 and achieve net zero by 2050, highlighting its commitment to sustainability [9][10] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the execution of their strategic priorities and the ability to provide strong shareholder returns for many years [21] - The company reaffirmed its 2025 earnings guidance range of $3.01-$3.17 per share, with a midpoint of $3.09 per share on an adjusted earnings basis [19] Other Important Information - The company completed a $72 million equity offering to strengthen its balance sheet and improve credit metrics [5][18] - Capital spending for the year is consistent with expectations, with a five-year capital plan totaling approximately $1.1 billion, which is 19% higher than the prior plan [19] Q&A Session Summary Question: Clarification on rate base figures - The difference between the $1.2 billion rate base and the $1.4 billion forecast reflects additional rate base for the acquired companies, including Maine Natural Gas, Bangor Natural Gas, and Aquarion [24][25] - The change in capital expenditures versus rate base increase is due to the timing of when capital projects are closed and placed into service [25] Question: Inclusion of future M&A in rate base - The $1.4 billion rate base includes additional base rates for all three companies being acquired, indicating implications for future M&As [26]
Pinnacle West(PNW) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-03 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported earnings of $3.39 per share for Q3 2025, a modest increase of $0.02 year over year, primarily due to higher transmission revenues and robust sales growth across customer classes [10][11] - The updated 2025 EPS guidance was raised from a range of $4.40-$4.60 per share to $4.90-$5.10 per share, reflecting strong sales growth and increased transmission revenues [11][12] - Weather-normalized sales growth was reported at 5.4% for the quarter, with 6.6% growth in commercial and industrial (C&I) sales and 4.3% growth in residential sales [11][12] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Palo Verde Generating Station operated at a 100% capacity factor throughout the summer, contributing to strong operational performance [5] - The company experienced a weather-normalized sales growth of 5.4%, with residential sales growth at 4.3% in Q3 2025 [5][11] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Arizona's population growth remains robust, driven by major employers expanding operations, which is a key factor in the demand for skilled labor [5] - Maricopa County was named the top county in the nation for economic development in 2025, highlighting the region's success in attracting high-growth industries [6] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on long-term investments in transmission and baseload generation to secure a reliable grid and meet rising customer demand [7][8] - A new generation site near Gila Bend is planned, which could add up to 2,000 megawatts of natural gas generation to support growth [7] - The company is working on a subscription model to contract for phase two capacity, ensuring that growth pays for growth while maintaining affordability [8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the long-term economic vitality supported by Arizona's ability to attract and retain high-quality talent [5] - The company anticipates continued robust customer and sales growth, with weather-normalized sales expected to grow at 4%-6% in 2026 [13][14] - Management acknowledged regulatory lag as a factor but remains confident in the long-term financial strategy [15][16] Other Important Information - The company is actively engaged in a pending rate case, with a hearing expected in Q2 of the following year [8] - The capital plan through 2028 includes critical strategic investments in transmission and generation to support reliability and growth [14][15] Q&A Session Summary Question: Visibility on 2029 and 2030 gas build - Management confirmed that the pipeline is expected to be in service in 2029, with a phased approach to generation capacity projects [19][20] Question: Progress on the subscription model - Active dialogues are ongoing with counterparties to match the subscription model with desired in-service timing [23] Question: Clarification on equity dilution and needs - The company has substantially de-risked the equity need for 2026, with a focus on reducing regulatory lag and improving retained earnings [31][32] Question: Annual transmission CapEx post-2028 - Specifics on post-2028 plans have not been laid out, but the company anticipates ongoing investments in strategic transmission projects [34][36] Question: Confidence in extending rate-based growth - Management expressed confidence in the long-term growth trajectory, supported by ongoing projects and customer demand [37][39] Question: Year-over-year change in sales growth as an EPS driver - Variability in large load customers contributes to differences in EPS magnitude uplift from sales growth [62][63]