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UBS chair warns of 'systemic risk' from private credit ratings. Apollo CEO fires back: 'He's just wrong.
Business Insiderยท 2025-11-04 18:23
Core Viewpoint - The tension between large banks and private credit firms is escalating, particularly highlighted by UBS chair Colm Kelleher's warnings about systemic risks in the US insurance industry due to private financing [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Concerns - Kelleher emphasized the "lack of effective regulation" in the insurance sector, which he believes is leading to a "looming systemic risk" as small rating agencies proliferate [1]. - He noted that the insurance industry, traditionally a major institutional investor favoring investment-grade debt, is increasingly investing in private credit assets [2]. - Kelleher's comments draw parallels to the 2007 subprime crisis, suggesting that the current situation involves significant rating agency arbitrage [2]. Group 2: Responses from Private Credit Firms - Apollo CEO Marc Rowan countered Kelleher's claims, stating that 70% of Athene's assets are rated by major rating agencies like S&P, Moody's, and Fitch, indicating a strong compliance with established standards [3]. - Rowan acknowledged that while Kelleher's concerns about systemic risk are valid, the focus should not solely be on private ratings but rather on the quality of underwriting and asset management [4][10]. - He pointed out that Athene's balance sheet is over 90% investment grade, contrasting with banks that hold only 60% investment grade assets [9]. Group 3: Broader Industry Perspectives - Ares CEO Michael Arougheti expressed skepticism about the concerns surrounding structural risks in credit, suggesting that while smaller players may take excessive risks, the majority of the industry maintains high standards [12]. - Arougheti noted that 65% of the assets raised and deployed in the private credit market are concentrated among large incumbents, who are focused on managing risks appropriately [13].