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JPMorgan forecasts gold to hit $6,300 in 2026 despite sharpest fall since 1980s
New York Post· 2026-02-02 18:18
Core Viewpoint - JPMorgan forecasts gold prices to reach $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026, despite recent volatility in the market [1][4] Group 1: Market Trends - Gold futures experienced a decline of 0.9% following the announcement of President Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh for the Federal Reserve, which eased investor concerns [1] - The World Gold Council reported that gold set 53 new all-time highs in 2025, with an annual average price of $3,431 per ounce, marking a 44% increase from the previous year [3][8] - Central banks are expected to purchase 800 tons of gold in 2026, indicating a strong demand for the asset amid ongoing geopolitical tensions [2][11] Group 2: Comparative Forecasts - Deutsche Bank predicts gold will reach $6,000 by the end of 2026, while UBS and Société Générale forecast $6,200 and $6,000, respectively [5] - Other financial institutions, including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and Citi, have lower forecasts for gold prices, estimating $5,700, $5,400, and $5,000 respectively for this year [5] Group 3: Economic Factors - The rise in gold prices in 2025 was attributed to various factors, including anxiety over tariffs, high interest rates, a weaker US dollar, and geopolitical crises such as the Russia-Ukraine war and the conflict in Gaza [10][11] - A lower interest rate environment typically enhances gold's attractiveness as an investment, as it does not yield interest, making it more appealing compared to Treasury securities [12]