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5.2%GDP增速的三重含义
Jing Ji Guan Cha Wang· 2025-10-20 10:48
Core Viewpoint - China's GDP growth for the first three quarters of 2025 is 5.2%, showing an acceleration compared to the previous year, with consumption becoming the primary driver of economic growth [1][4][11] Economic Growth Performance - GDP growth rates for the first three quarters of 2025 are 5.4%, 5.2%, and 4.8% respectively, indicating a gradual decline [1] - The contribution of final consumption expenditure to GDP growth reached 53.5% in the first three quarters, with a notable increase to 56.6% in the third quarter [4][5] Consumption as Growth Driver - Consumption has become the main driver of economic growth, especially in the context of low investment and uncertain foreign trade [4][5] - The contribution of final consumption to GDP growth has increased significantly over the past three years, with 2022 at 32.8%, 2023 at 82.5%, and 2024 at 44.5% [4] Challenges in Consumption Growth - Despite being the main growth driver, consumption faces challenges, including a decline in retail sales growth and low CPI growth rates [7][8] - Factors affecting consumption include a prolonged adjustment in the real estate market, increased employment pressure, and competition leading to price reductions [7][8] Policy Measures and Future Outlook - The government is expected to implement macroeconomic policies to stimulate consumption and stabilize the real estate market [9][10] - Experts predict that achieving the annual GDP growth target of around 5% is feasible, but there is a need to address the gap between macro statistics and micro perceptions [11][12] Long-term Economic Projections - Looking ahead to the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, the potential GDP growth rate is estimated to be between 4.5% and 5.3%, with a focus on stabilizing the real estate sector and reforming social welfare systems [13][14]
The way to deal with housing shortage is to add more supply, says RXR CEO Scott Rechler
CNBC Television· 2025-07-01 11:22
Joining us right now for a conversation about real estate, local New York City, mayoral politics, and so much more, RXR chairman and CEO Scott Reckler. Good morning to you. I think we're all trying to figure out what's going on with the real estate market in New York City.But I think the overhang or overlay to all of this is what's just happened um in this mayoral election and I think a lot of people surprised about it and I know a lot of people in your business seem to be anxious about it. So what's your t ...