When you talk to Iranians today out in the streets, Richard, what are they saying to you about their their current government after this war. People are rallying around the government more. Those who are opposed to the government, don't like the government, I'm sure, still don't like the government.But the idea that this military action was suddenly going to bring people out onto the streets and start a popular uprising and lead to a a people's revolt that would change the regime is not happening. There are ...

Geopolitical Landscape - The report focuses on the situation in Iran, specifically in Tehran, during a Shia religious festival honoring a martyr killed 1400 years ago [1] - The ongoing religious festival has a special resonance due to the recent conflict between Israel and Iran [2] - Access to Iran is restricted, with limited foreign presence and airspace closures, requiring travel via the Afghan border to Mashhad and then driving to Tehran [3] - The Iranian government maintains control, with visible security measures including checkpoints and police presence in Tehran [4] Societal Sentiment - Despite potential discontent with the government since 1979, many Iranians are reportedly standing with their government due to the intensity of Israeli bombing and ongoing negotiations [5][6] - A prevailing sentiment among Iranians is a fear of civil war and bloodshed, leading them to oppose regime change imposed from abroad [6][7] - There is concern that continued bombing by Israel or the United States could lead to regime destruction, which is undesirable for many Iranians [7] Potential Risks - The report suggests a risk of escalation if external forces continue military actions, potentially leading to unintended consequences such as regime destruction [7] - The report highlights the potential for instability and unrest, although currently not visible, if external pressures persist [2][5]

Now that Iran attacked the US military base in Qatar, what comes next for the Middle East. Well, joining us now is Richard Hos, president emeritus at the Council on Foreign Relations. He's also a senior counselor with Centerview Partners.Richard, it's great to have you back on the show. Welcome. I'm going to ask you the same question I just asked Mark Esper, and that is this attack, which seems to be pretty limited and pretty well intercepted uh on Aluded in Qatar.Does this now provide an off-ramp rather th ...

So the biggest question in Washington right now is what the level of US involvement will be from here as you guys have been talking about and we have seen some mixed signals on that today. Just in the last two hours, the president posting on social media suggesting that the US could be considering pushing for a full regime change in Iran. He wrote that while it's not politically correct to use the term regime change, if the current regime is unable to make Iran great again, then why wouldn't there be a regi ...

A short time ago, the U.S. military carried out massive precision strikes on the three key nuclear facilities in the Iranian regime, Fordo, Natanz and Esfahan. Everybody heard those names for years as they built this horribly destructive enterprise. Tyler Kendal at the White House.Now as the world waits for potential retaliation from Iran. The State Department is now urging. Increased caution to U.S. citizens abroad.Tyler. Yeah. Hey, Joe.Good evening. While a US official tells us that President Trump has sp ...

Richard Hos, Council on Foreign Relations President Ameritus and Centerview Partners senior counselor also joins us now. Richard has served as former director of policy planning for the Department of State from 2001 to 2003. Richard, we're we're we're wondering what your take is on Iran and whether whether you can read anything into the president's recent statements, whether it's on social media or just now about what the US does next.Short answer is no. Uh but he has a big decision to make quite honestly. ...

What are Donald Trump's options at this point. Well, Tom, ever since President Trump left that G7 summit early to focus on the geopolitical situation in the Middle East, that has been the number one question. What are his options here.What is he thinking. Can we get insight into what is going on in President Trump's mind. We know that we had this reportedly one hour meeting with his national security team in Washington.There was no statement put out afterwards. So unclear what was discussed in that meeting. ...

债王 Gundlach 最新观点 Doubleline 债王 Gundlach 认为我们正在经历 Regime change:：一切在过去 40 年里"长期利 率终会下降"的常识，皆无法映射到今天的经济关系中。美国来到了危险的崩溃边缘。失业 率即将上升，通胀即将走高，赤字和债务都在新高。 （图 1）利率：2 年美债通常领先基准利率，但 2022 年以来，市场总是过于乐观预期降息。 但如今联储"we don't know anything yet"，基于去年四季度的低基数，联储会有困难。 （图 2）美债：30 年期美债正在经历 1976 年至今最大且最长的回撤，价格已经腰斩，且反 弹时间未知。尽管所有评级的债券利差基本回到了年初水平，但无法掩盖它们经历了一次 巨大的波动往返。 更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木纪要 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9870 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9870 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9870 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9870 更多一手海外资讯和海外投行报告加V：shuinu9 ...

Hey there, Melissa. We are getting some word now on casualties in Israel tonight in an initial report from Tel Aviv's Sheibba Hospital where a spokesperson says they are treating 15 injured civilians, one of whom they say arrived in extremely critical condition. You can expect, Melissa, those numbers to change as we get additional reporting from around the country through the night tonight. Uh, and we saw a direct appeal from Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to the Iranian people, signaling that th ...

Stephen, it's good to see you. And and what makes you think that this could be a drawn out affair. Well, while everybody is focused on the Israelis hitting Iran's nuclear program, there's actually uh in a number of indications that their goals are much broader, and that is to weaken the Iranian regime and hopefully bring it down.Um, Prime Minister Neta has been talking about to uh the Iranian people for months. If you go back to the days just after the October 7th attacks, the prime minister said that Israe ...