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锐明技术(002970):主业高增持续兑现,服务器电源代工等新成长曲线逐步成型
GF SECURITIES· 2026-02-09 23:50
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a current price of 76.80 RMB and a fair value of 83.69 RMB [9]. Core Insights - The company's cornerstone business in commercial vehicle video monitoring continues to grow, with significant overseas expansion opportunities. The company is positioned as a global leader with strong product iteration capabilities, and it is expected to see a net profit growth of 27.6%-37.9% in 2025 [9]. - The server power supply OEM business has been established, with a promising market outlook. The global HVDC market is projected to reach 27.9 billion RMB in 2025, 74.8 billion RMB in 2026, and 144.4 billion RMB in 2027 [9]. - The company is also focusing on edge AI applications and Robobus, which are expected to drive new growth from its traditional business [9]. Summary by Sections 1. Cornerstone Business - The commercial vehicle video monitoring industry is a niche market with strong product iteration capabilities. The domestic market is relatively saturated, while overseas opportunities remain vast [15]. - The company has achieved continuous high growth, with optimistic future prospects. In 2023, the company reported a revenue of 1.7 billion RMB, a 23% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 100 million RMB [52]. - The European standard regulations are expected to create significant new market space for the company, with an estimated annual demand of 1-1.5 billion USD post-implementation [44]. 2. New Growth Curve 1: Server Power Supply OEM - The company has officially launched its server power supply OEM business, capitalizing on the high demand for computing power in overseas markets [59]. - The global market for high-power data centers is expected to grow significantly, with increasing power requirements for new generation computing centers [61]. 3. New Growth Curve 2: Edge AI Applications and Robobus - The company is developing edge AI applications, including the SafeGPT model, which is expected to generate a SaaS revenue model [9]. - The company has a technological advantage and customer base to promote the commercialization of Robobus, particularly in regions with rapidly advancing autonomous driving policies [9]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The report maintains previous profit forecasts, expecting revenues of 2.68 billion RMB, 3.51 billion RMB, and 4.36 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with net profits of 390 million RMB, 500 million RMB, and 620 million RMB respectively [9]. - The company is projected to achieve a reasonable valuation multiple of 30 times PE for 2026, leading to a fair value of 83.69 RMB per share [9].