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Barrick Mining Gains 19% in 3 Months: Is it the Right Time to Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-08-08 14:11
Core Viewpoint - Barrick Mining Corporation's shares have increased by 18.8% over the past three months, primarily driven by rising gold prices amid economic and geopolitical uncertainties [1][7]. Performance Comparison - Barrick has outperformed the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 15.1% and the S&P 500's rise of 12.9% during the same period [2]. - Among peers, Newmont Corporation, Kinross Gold Corporation, and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited have seen gains of 28%, 24.6%, and 15.7%, respectively [2]. Key Projects and Production Growth - Barrick is advancing several key growth projects, including Goldrush, Pueblo Viejo plant expansion, Fourmile, Lumwana Super Pit, and Reko Diq, which are expected to significantly contribute to production [10]. - The Goldrush mine aims for a production target of 400,000 ounces per annum by 2028, while the Fourmile project is anticipated to yield grades double those of Goldrush [11]. - The Reko Diq project in Pakistan is designed to produce 460,000 tons of copper and 520,000 ounces of gold annually in its second phase, with first production expected by the end of 2028 [11]. Financial Performance and Liquidity - Barrick has a strong liquidity position with cash and cash equivalents of approximately $4.1 billion and generated operating cash flows of around $1.2 billion in the first quarter of 2025, a 59% increase year over year [16]. - Free cash flow surged to about $375 million in the first quarter from $32 million in the prior year [16]. - The company returned $1.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 through dividends and repurchases, with a current dividend yield of 1.8% and a payout ratio of 28% [17]. Earnings Estimates and Valuation - Earnings estimates for Barrick have been revised upward, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 indicating year-over-year increases of 55.6% and 24.1%, respectively [18]. - Barrick's stock is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 10.12X, which is approximately 24.8% lower than the industry's average of 13.45X, indicating an attractive valuation [20]. Investment Outlook - Barrick presents a compelling investment case with a strong pipeline of growth projects, solid financials, and rising gold prices, making it a worthwhile addition for investors seeking exposure to the gold mining sector [23].
Barrick Mining vs. Newmont: Which Gold Giant Is the Better Bet Now?
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 12:26
Core Insights - Barrick Mining Corporation and Newmont Corporation are two leading gold mining companies with extensive global operations and diversified portfolios, making them relevant for investors in the precious metals sector [1] - Gold prices have reached record highs, driven by global economic uncertainties and increased central bank reserves, with prices currently above $3,400 per ounce and up over 30% year-to-date [2] Barrick Mining Corporation - Barrick has made a strong recovery in 2025 after a challenging 2024, benefiting from rising gold prices and advancing key growth projects [4][5] - Major projects include Goldrush, Fourmile, and Reko Diq, which are expected to significantly enhance production capacity [6][8] - Barrick's liquidity position is robust, with cash and cash equivalents around $4.1 billion and operating cash flows of approximately $1.2 billion in Q1 2025, reflecting a 59% year-over-year increase [8][9] - The company returned $1.2 billion to shareholders in 2024 and has a new share repurchase program authorized for up to $1 billion [9][10] - Barrick's stock has increased by 40.3% year-to-date, with a projected EPS growth of 54.8% [10][16] Newmont Corporation - Newmont is strategically investing in growth projects such as Tanami Expansion 2 and Ahafo North, which are expected to enhance production and profitability [12] - The acquisition of Newcrest Mining has strengthened Newmont's portfolio, generating $500 million in annual run-rate synergies [13] - Newmont has divested non-core assets, raising approximately $470 million and anticipating $3 billion in after-tax cash proceeds from its 2025 divestiture program [14][15] - The company reported liquidity of $8.8 billion, including cash and cash equivalents of around $4.7 billion, and generated a record free cash flow of $1.2 billion in Q1 2025 [15] - Newmont's stock has risen 65.8% year-to-date, with a projected EPS growth of 33.9% [10][25] Valuation and Performance Comparison - Barrick is trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 9.88X, which is a 20.7% discount compared to the industry average of 12.46X [19] - Newmont's forward earnings multiple is 12.70X, indicating a premium over Barrick [21] - Both companies have a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), but Barrick is viewed as having a more attractive valuation and higher growth projections, making it a potentially better investment option [26][27]