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Apollo Management(APO) - 2025 FY - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-05-29 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company anticipates 15% to 20% growth in fee-related earnings (FRE) for the current year and over 20% in the long term, driven by strong asset management performance and growing retirement needs globally [78][80] - The company manages over $800 billion in assets, with a significant portion generating fee-related earnings [78][79] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The asset-based finance (ABF) business is highlighted as a clear market leader, with strong origination capabilities and a favorable investment-grade backdrop [22][23] - The hybrid business, which combines elements of credit and equity, is seen as underappreciated but poised for significant growth due to macroeconomic trends [25][26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company notes a shift in LP allocations, with traditional investment-grade managers beginning to embrace alternative strategies, particularly in asset-backed securities (ABS) [30][31] - There is a growing demand for private credit solutions, with the company seeing strong performance in NAV lending and capital solutions for financial sponsors [68][69] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on four major industry drivers: global pension deficits, growth in retail wealth channels, industrial renaissance needs, and public-private convergence [13][14] - The company anticipates continued consolidation in the alternative investment industry, with larger firms capturing a greater share of the market [14][17] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expresses confidence in navigating the current economic environment characterized by higher rates and sticky inflation, viewing it as an interesting time for investment [5][10] - The company is optimistic about its long-term growth strategy, emphasizing the importance of robust risk management and the ability to adapt to changing market conditions [12][74] Other Important Information - The company is actively developing new products to address the global retirement crisis, including lifetime income products and capital-efficient solutions [42][43] - The company is positioned as a key player in the wealth management space, with a strong focus on semi-liquid and evergreen products [48][50] Q&A Session Summary Question: What areas of your asset management business are scaling the fastest right now? - The asset-based finance and hybrid business lines are scaling rapidly, driven by strong market demand and the company's early positioning in these areas [22][25] Question: Are you seeing any major changes in LP allocations geographically? - While there is some initial concern regarding geographic allocations post-Liberation Day, the majority of LPs continue to engage with the company without significant impact on fundraising [36][38] Question: How is the company addressing the global retirement crisis? - The company is developing a variety of products aimed at providing lifetime income and addressing the needs of retirees, leveraging its established distribution channels [42][43] Question: What is the outlook for competition in the annuity channel? - The company acknowledges increased competition but remains confident in its ability to execute effectively and maintain market share through strategic partnerships [76][77] Question: How does the company view the current investment environment? - Management sees a broad and diverse pipeline of opportunities, particularly in NAV lending and high-grade capital solutions, despite potential regulatory changes impacting banks [68][71]
KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR) Co-CEO Scott Nuttall Hosts Bernstein 41st Annual Strategic Decisions Conference (Transcript)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-28 20:31
Group 1 - KKR's Co-CEO Scott Nuttall participated in the Bernstein 41st Annual Strategic Decisions Conference, discussing the current economic landscape and inflation concerns [1][2]. - The company acknowledges the recent volatility in the market, highlighting concerns about persistent inflation, prolonged high interest rates, and potential economic slowdown or stagflation [4]. - KKR's internal view suggests that inflation rates are expected to remain elevated for a longer period, which aligns with the company's historical perspective over its 49 years of operation [5].
Should You Hold on to TXN Stock Despite its 12% Dip in a Month?
ZACKS· 2025-04-03 15:40
Core Viewpoint - Texas Instruments (TXN) has experienced a 12.3% decline in share price over the past month, underperforming the semiconductor industry, technology sector, and S&P 500 index, which declined by 4.8%, 5%, and 2.1% respectively [1][3] Group 1: Reasons for Underperformance - The decline in TXN's stock is attributed to broader market weakness and company-specific concerns, including a sell-off in tech stocks due to fears of rising trade tensions and slowing economic growth [3] - Concerns regarding the U.S. government's stance toward China are significant, as approximately 20% of TXN's total revenues for 2024 are expected to come from the Chinese market, raising fears of sanctions and tariffs [4] - Investor apprehensions about softness in TXN's industrial, automotive, and enterprise systems end markets have also contributed to the stock's decline, with these markets accounting for about 70% of TXN's revenues and reporting a sequential decline in Q4 2024 [5] Group 2: Strategic Moves for Recovery - TXN is strategically building its inventory, currently at $4.5 billion, to meet customer demand once the market rebounds, avoiding sudden production ramp-ups [6] - The company is investing in a second factory to scale up its Lehi facility in Utah, enhancing production capacity for Analog and Embedded semiconductor products [7] - TXN has secured $1.6 billion in funding from the U.S. government under the CHIPS Act, which will support new 300mm wafer fabs in Texas and Utah, strengthening its position as a supplier of analog and embedded chips [8] Group 3: Partner Base and Growth Potential - TXN has established a strong partner base, including collaborations with Micron Technology, Apple Inc., and LeddarTech Holdings Inc., which aid in its growth in consumer and automotive markets [9][10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for TXN's 2025 revenues is projected at $17.1 billion, indicating a year-over-year growth of 9%, with earnings estimated at $5.35 per share, suggesting a 2.9% year-over-year increase [11] Group 4: Conclusion - Despite the challenging macroeconomic environment and market softness, TXN's business remains stable due to new production facilities, healthy inventory levels, and a robust partner base, suggesting that investors should consider holding the stock [12]