Group 1 - The small business job index has remained relatively stable in 2025, with continued moderation in wage inflation observed [1][2] - Workforce levels for clients have been essentially flat for the quarter, indicating challenges in finding qualified employees, particularly in small businesses [2] - Clients are managing costs by purchasing fewer ancillary attachment products than expected, which has influenced guidance discussions [3] Group 2 - Overall, small businesses are reported to be healthy, with a solid macro environment and no signs of recession [4] - Looking ahead to 2026, there is optimism due to potential tax clarity and easing interest rates [4]

Core Insights - Canada's economy is stabilizing, supported by easing inflation and interest rate cuts, leading to increased business confidence and investment [1] - Average business debt has risen by 19.6% year-over-year to $30,855, with a notable 83% increase in balances for newly established firms [1] - The Canadian Small Business Health Index increased by 2.83% from the previous quarter, reflecting improved business sentiment [2] Business Credit Trends - The manufacturing sector has driven a surge in business credit demand, with a 1.6% month-over-month rise in the Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) and an 8.83% year-over-year increase in credit demand inquiries [4] - Businesses are prioritizing supplier payments over financial debts, resulting in a 3.5% delinquency rate for financial trades, up 7% year-over-year [5] - The financial trade delinquency rate in Ontario reached 3.86%, a 10.5% increase year-over-year, indicating significant economic strain in the region [6] Regional Performance - Ontario's financial and insurance industry has seen a 17.5% year-over-year increase in 60+ day delinquency rates, highlighting the challenges faced by small businesses in the province [6] - The Canadian Small Business Health Index for the manufacturing sector stands at 80.2%, down 11.2% compared to last year, reflecting declining business sentiment [6] - Overall, Canada’s delinquency rate for financial trades is 3.53%, with a 7% increase year-over-year, while industrial trades have improved by 18.74% [8]