Summary of the China Solar Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: China Solar Industry - **Date**: 21 November 2025 Key Points Polysilicon Market - The price of monograde polysilicon remained stable at **Rmb52/kg** as of the week starting 17 November, showing no week-over-week (WoW) change [2] - Inventory levels for polysilicon increased by **1% WoW** to **27.1kt** [2] - Monthly polysilicon production is forecasted to decline by **12% month-over-month (MoM)** to below **120kt (52GW)** in November due to weaker demand and production cuts in Sichuan and Yunnan during the low hydropower season [2] Wafer and Cell Prices - N-type wafer prices decreased by **1.5%** for M10 and **1.8%** for G12, now at **Rmb1.28** and **Rmb1.60** per piece respectively [3] - TOPcon cell prices fell by **1.7%** for M10 and **3.3%** for G12, now priced at **Rmb0.30** and **Rmb0.29** per watt respectively [3] - Module prices remained unchanged at **Rmb0.69** for TOPcon and **Rmb0.76** for back contact [3] - November module production is expected to drop by **4% MoM** to **50.5GW** [3] Solar Glass Market - Solar glass prices remained stable at **Rmb12.75** for 2.0mm and **Rmb19.75** for 3.2mm [4] - Inventory levels for solar glass increased by **9.7% WoW** to **28.13 days** [4] - The price of soda ash remained unchanged at **Rmb1,330/t** [4] Risks and Opportunities - **Downside Risks**: - Slower-than-expected growth in installed domestic renewable energy (RE) capacity [20] - Larger-than-expected tariff cuts for RE projects [20] - Increased competition from other power resources due to future power reforms [20] - **Upside Risks**: - Faster-than-expected growth in installed domestic RE capacity [21] - Smaller-than-expected tariff cuts for RE projects [21] - Market share gains for solar energy compared to other power resources under future reforms [21] Additional Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring inventory levels and price trends in the polysilicon, wafer, cell, and solar glass markets as they are critical indicators of industry health and future production capabilities [2][3][4] - The current market dynamics suggest a cautious outlook for the solar industry in the short term, with potential for recovery depending on demand and policy support [20][21]