QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 11, 2026 05:00 PM ET Company ParticipantsBen Kallo - Managing DirectorJoseph Spak - Managing DirectorKevin Hettrich - CFOMark Shooter - Senior Associate of Energy and Power Technologies Equity ResearchSam Kamara - Senior Director of Investor RelationsSiva Sivaram - CEOWinnie Dong - Director of Equity ResearchConference Call ParticipantsLaysha Sack - Equity Research AnalystNone - AnalystOperatorGood day, and welcome to QuantumScape's fourth quarter and fu ...

QuantumScape (NYSE:QS) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 11, 2026 05:00 PM ET Speaker6Good day, and welcome to QuantumScape's fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. Sam Camara, QuantumScape's Senior Director, Investor Relations, you may begin the conference.Speaker7Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, and thank you to everyone for joining QuantumScape's fourth quarter 2025 earnings call. To supplement today's discussion, please go to our IR website at ir.quantumscape.com to view our shareh ...

QuantumScape Corp (NASDAQ: QS) Investor Presentation February 2026 QUANTUMSCAPE CONFIDENTIAL Forward-Looking Statements This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the federal securities laws based on management's current expectations, assumptions, and available information about future events as of the date of this letter. All statements, other than historical facts, including those about the Company's anticipated commercial and operational milestones, financial outlook, a ...

Core Insights - QuantumScape has experienced significant stock volatility, with shares down 80% over five years due to initial overvaluation following its IPO in late 2020. However, recent advancements in commercializing its solid-state battery technology have led to a 100.8% gain in 2025, prompting renewed investor interest [1][2]. Group 1: Recent Developments - The stock remained relatively stable in the first half of 2025 but surged in July after QuantumScape expanded its collaboration with Volkswagen Group's battery company, PowerCo, aimed at accelerating the development of its battery pilot line in California [4]. - Additional agreements with Corning and Murata Manufacturing for high-volume production of ceramic separators have also contributed to the stock's momentum [5]. - QuantumScape achieved a key milestone by starting shipments of initial battery cell samples to customers for testing, fulfilling a significant goal for 2025 [6]. Group 2: Technological Advancements - QuantumScape's solid-state batteries are expected to provide higher energy density, faster charging, and improved safety compared to traditional lithium-ion cells. The company is focusing on a faster manufacturing technique for ultra-thin solid-state separators [7]. - In 2025, QuantumScape aims to establish automotive-grade reliability through a highly automated cell-production pilot line, known as the Eagle Line, at its headquarters in San Jose, California [8]. Group 3: Investor Sentiment - The progress made by QuantumScape in commercializing its battery technology has shifted the risk/reward balance favorably for investors, as the company has met several important milestones that enhance high-volume production [9].

Core Insights - The solid-state battery sector is experiencing increased activity, with Factorial Energy planning to go public in mid-2026 to raise $100 million for its battery technology [1][3] - The public listing is expected to enhance investor interest in the solid-state battery market and raise questions about the positioning of established players like QuantumScape and Solid Power [2] Factorial's Public Debut - Factorial will go public through a SPAC merger with Cartesian Growth Corporation III, valuing the company at approximately $1.1 billion and allowing it to avoid traditional IPO hurdles [3] - The company aims to start trading on Nasdaq under the ticker FAC around mid-2026 [3] Partnerships and Technology - Factorial collaborates with major automakers such as Mercedes-Benz, Stellantis, and Hyundai, which facilitates real-world testing and commercialization of its batteries [4] - The company's solid-state batteries promise higher energy storage, lighter weight, faster charging, and longer driving ranges compared to conventional lithium-ion cells [4] Performance Potential - In tests, a Factorial battery cell enabled a prototype vehicle from Mercedes to travel nearly 750 miles on a single charge, indicating significant potential for electric vehicles [5] - Factorial's batteries are expected to first appear in high-performance or luxury vehicles, with plans to expand into more affordable models over time [5] Industry Context - Solid-state batteries represent the next evolution in EV energy storage, offering improved safety and energy density compared to lithium-ion cells [6] - Despite their promise, challenges remain in scaling production, with high costs and complex manufacturing processes posing significant hurdles [7] Competitive Landscape - Factorial enters a competitive space that includes QuantumScape and Solid Power, both of which are also focused on solid-state battery development [8] - QuantumScape has made strides in manufacturing and testing, with its Cobra process being 25 times faster and more compact than previous systems, showcasing tangible progress [9] - Solid Power emphasizes collaborations with automakers like BMW and Ford, advancing pilot-scale production and focusing on operational efficiency [10][11] Investor Considerations - Investors are evaluating the three companies based on risk versus visibility, with QuantumScape providing a clearer roadmap but facing execution risks, while Solid Power has strong OEM ties and measured progress [12] - Factorial, being newer and less proven, benefits from strong partnerships and a significant capital injection from its SPAC merger, potentially accelerating early adoption of its technology [12] Overall Implications - Factorial's upcoming IPO is a significant development in the solid-state battery sector, potentially accelerating industry momentum and pushing automakers towards faster adoption of solid-state technology [13]

Core Insights - QuantumScape stock has experienced a significant decline of approximately 40% from its year-to-date high of $19, currently trading at $11.20, yet it remains up 115% for the year, with a market capitalization exceeding $6.7 billion [1][2] Company Developments - The stock price surged earlier this year due to the announcement of a new manufacturing approach for solid-state batteries, utilizing a high-throughput, continuous-flow separator technology called Cobra [1][2] - A joint development agreement with a global top-ten company and a previous deal with a major manufacturer have contributed to positive market sentiment [2] - QuantumScape has conducted demonstrations with Volkswagen, showcasing its battery technology on the Ducati V21L, and has secured a significant deal with Corning [3] Financial Performance - The company's operational loss improved to $114.9 million in Q3 from $130 million year-over-year, while the total net loss decreased from $119 million to $105 million, with billings of $12 million [4] - Analysts predict continued narrowing of losses, with the average estimate for fourth-quarter earnings per share (EPS) moving from 22 cents in 2024 to 17 cents, leading to an annual loss per share reduction from 89 cents to 72 cents, and further down to 66 cents next year [6][5] Market Challenges - The short interest in QuantumScape has risen to 10%, indicating increased bearish sentiment among investors [7] - Concerns are growing within the electric vehicle (EV) industry, as major automakers, including Volkswagen, are shifting focus back to internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, which may impact QuantumScape's core business [7][8] - The company's outstanding shares have increased significantly to 558 million from 233 million in 2021, which may affect future stock performance [8] Technical Analysis - The stock has shown a downward trend, dropping from a high of $19 to $11.18, aligning with the 50% Fibonacci Retracement level [12] - It has fallen below the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), with a potential bearish signal indicated by the crossing of these averages [12] - The next key target for the stock price is projected to be the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level at $9.40 [13]

Core Insights - QuantumScape, valued at a market cap of $7.5 billion, specializes in solid-state lithium-metal batteries for electric vehicles and will transition from the New York Stock Exchange to Nasdaq on December 23 [1][2] Company Developments - The move to Nasdaq is framed as an opportunity to better serve shareholders and aligns QuantumScape with tech-focused companies like Tesla [2][4] - QuantumScape has achieved a significant milestone by unveiling its first real-world vehicle application and generating $12.8 million in customer billings during the third quarter, marking the first time the company has invoiced customers [5][8] - The company showcased its QSE-5 battery technology in the Ducati V21L electric race motorcycle at IAA Mobility in Munich, indicating a shift from laboratory testing to real-world applications [6][7] Production and Future Goals - QuantumScape shipped Cobra-based QSE-5 B1 sample cells during the quarter, indicating progress toward automotive-grade production standards [7] - The company is collaborating with PowerCo to achieve series production in a vehicle by the end of the decade, specifically by December 2029 [7]

Core Insights - QuantumScape Corp. has achieved a significant operational milestone with the full installation of core equipment for its Eagle Line pilot production facility in San Jose, indicating progress towards the manufacturing scale that investors have anticipated [1][9]. Production and Technology - The Eagle Line is designed for the automated production of QSE-5 solid-state lithium-metal cells, with equipment installation completed as of Q3'25, on schedule for year-end [2]. - The Eagle Line incorporates QuantumScape's Cobra process, which is 25 times more productive than the previous Raptor line, and the company has begun shipping B1 samples built with this process [3]. - The formal inauguration of the Eagle Line is planned for February 2026, marking a step towards higher-volume production [3][9]. Strategic Approach - QuantumScape's strategy is capital-light, focusing on developing manufacturing architecture and processes that can be adopted by other companies, such as Volkswagen's PowerCo, rather than constructing large factories [4]. - The completion of the Eagle Line's installation provides a clearer roadmap for scaling production, although further steps are needed to validate output and support larger sample volumes [5]. Industry Context - QuantumScape's peers, such as Solid Power and SES AI, are also making advancements in solid-state battery technology, with Solid Power focusing on manufacturing and electrolyte innovation, and SES AI enhancing its AI-driven capabilities for battery material discovery [6][7]. - Year-to-date, QuantumScape's shares have increased by over 145%, contrasting with a 2% decline in the industry, while Solid Power shares rose by 180% and SES AI shares fell by approximately 3% [8].

Core Insights - QuantumScape Corporation's shares fell by 2.3% after an insider sale, with trading volumes increasing by 8% compared to the average [2][3] - The company's CTO sold a total of 246,708 shares at an average price of $12.51, resulting in a significant decrease in his ownership by 13.89% [3] - Analysts have mixed ratings on QuantumScape, with a consensus target price of $8.31 and several firms issuing "hold" or "sell" ratings [4] Stock Performance - QuantumScape has a market capitalization of $6.88 billion, a P/E ratio of -14.14, and a beta of 4.83, indicating high volatility [5] - The company reported earnings per share of ($0.18) for the last quarter, matching consensus estimates, and is projected to post -$0.82 EPS for the current fiscal year [6] Institutional Investment - Significant institutional investment activity includes UBS AM increasing its position by 456.5% and Vanguard Group raising its holdings by 9.0% [7] - Institutional investors collectively own 29.87% of QuantumScape's stock, indicating strong interest from large financial entities [7] Company Overview - QuantumScape focuses on developing solid-state lithium-metal batteries for electric vehicles and was founded in 2010, headquartered in San Jose, California [8]

Core Viewpoint - QuantumScape, a solid-state battery developer, has faced challenges in commercialization and revenue generation, leading to a decline in stock price and market cap, but it has potential for future growth in the solid-state battery market [1][2][3]. Company Overview - QuantumScape went public through a SPAC merger nearly five years ago, with an initial stock price of $24.80, which has since dropped to around $16 [1]. - The company currently has a market cap of $9.8 billion, making it a speculative investment with uncertain valuation [3]. Business Model - QuantumScape focuses on developing solid-state batteries that utilize solid electrolytes, offering advantages such as higher charging capacities and shorter charging times compared to traditional lithium-ion batteries [4]. - The QSE-5 battery, designed for electric vehicles (EVs), boasts an energy density of 844 Wh/L and can charge from 10% to 80% in just 12.2 minutes [7][8]. Production and Partnerships - The company has shifted from manufacturing its own batteries to licensing its technology to automakers, starting with Volkswagen's PowerCo, to generate higher-margin royalties [10]. - QuantumScape has expanded its partnership with Volkswagen, securing milestone payments that extend its cash runway through 2029, allowing for increased sample production and customer acquisition [11]. Market Potential - Analysts project QuantumScape to generate $4 million in revenue by 2026 and $59 million by 2027, contingent on successful production ramp-up and licensing agreements [12]. - The solid-state battery market is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 56.6%, from $1.18 billion in 2024 to $15.07 billion in 2030, indicating significant growth opportunities for battery manufacturers [13]. Valuation Concerns - Even with projected revenue growth, QuantumScape's market cap could decline over 60% to $3.86 billion by 2030 if it trades at 30 times sales, suggesting that current valuations may be overly optimistic [14]. - The company is viewed as having potential but may not achieve record stock highs in the next five years unless growth accelerates significantly or valuations decrease [15].