Core Insights - The article outlines five key trends related to stablecoins that are expected to impact U.S. banks in the coming year, emphasizing the shift towards nonbank issuers and the integration of stablecoins into traditional banking systems [2][3]. Group 1: Nonbank Issuers - More new nonbank issuers of stablecoins are anticipated compared to bank issuers due to nonbanks' ability to implement new technology systems more rapidly and their broader access to blockchain talent [4][5]. - Recent announcements for 2026 stablecoin launches include companies like Sony, Cloudflare, and Western Union, with traditional banks lagging behind in this space [6]. Group 2: Integration with Banking - Traditional banks are expected to partner with fintech firms to facilitate stablecoin transactions rather than issuing their own stablecoins, thereby meeting client demand and increasing transaction revenue [7]. - New financial entities with banking charters, such as digital bank Erebor, are emerging to issue deposit tokens and stablecoins, blending traditional and new banking activities [8][10]. Group 3: Blurring Boundaries - The distinction between deposit tokens and stablecoins is expected to continue to blur, with banks realizing they can retain deposits while offering stablecoin flexibility [15]. - Recent developments include Custodia Bank and JPMorgan launching deposit tokens with stablecoin-like functionalities, indicating a trend towards integrating these financial instruments [14]. Group 4: Decentralization Experiments - Some traditional institutions are likely to experiment with decentralized mechanisms, introducing aspects of smart contract functionality to enhance client service and reduce costs [16]. - Progress in identity technology may widen the scope for disintermediation in banking functions, despite KYC and AML requirements limiting peer-to-peer transactions [17]. Group 5: Agentic Payments - Machine-to-machine payments are emerging, with stablecoins playing a crucial role in their evolution as digital money that can be programmatically distributed [18]. - While banks may not directly engage in this area, fintechs are expected to provide the necessary services for businesses adopting AI and robotics, pushing traditional banks to innovate [19][20].