(Bloomberg) — As stocks staged a powerful rally on Monday after President Donald Trump eased off his threats on Iran, the message among some money managers was clear: don’t get comfortable just yet. Concern that more volatility may lie ahead was on display in Wall Street’s chief fear gauge, the VIX Index, which barely budged from its perch above 26 as the S&P 500 Index (^GSPC) jumped almost 1.2% in its best day in a month. And a measure comparing the number of stocks moving up versus down on a second-by-s ...

The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has now declined in four consecutive weeks, leaving the index nearly 6% below its record high. Apart from energy stocks, it's been a challenging year for equities across the board, though losses have been more pronounced in certain sectors. The information technology sector is 12% below its high because investors are concerned that artificial intelligence (AI) spending is unsustainable. The consumer discretionary sector is 12% below its high due to concerns about tariffs a ...

However, Iran's Parliamentary Speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf posted on social media that no talks had been held with the U.S., contradicting Trump's announcement that there were talks between the United States and Iran in the past day in which the two sides had "major points of agreement" and that a deal could be done soon to settle the ‌war. While U.S. equities fell ⁠last week, they ⁠staged a sharp recovery on Monday after Trump's comments sent oil prices lower. Equities had been trading lower earlier in ...

Core Insights - Historical data suggests that the stock market may recover despite recent volatility linked to the Middle East conflict involving the U.S., Israel, and Iran [1] - The S&P 500 has declined approximately 5% since the conflict began, reflecting a typical pattern observed in past geopolitical crises [1][2] Market Behavior - Data indicates that U.S. stocks usually find a bottom around the two-week mark following geopolitical shocks, aligning with the current market pullback [2] - The current decline mirrors historical averages and median trajectories, suggesting that markets may be approaching an inflection point [2] Recovery Patterns - Insights from The Kobeissi Letter indicate that equities stabilize and reach their lowest levels around day 12 to 15 after an initial period of volatility [3] - The current market cycle shows a dip into a range similar to previous geopolitical sell-offs, indicating a potential sharp but short-lived trough before recovery begins [4] - Historically, once a bottom is established, the rebound phase lasts about 40 trading days, with stocks typically regaining lost ground and moving higher as uncertainty diminishes [4] Recent Market Performance - The S&P 500 fell sharply, hitting a six-month low as the U.S.-Israeli conflict with Iran intensified, leading to fears of oil supply disruptions and persistent inflation [5] - The index dropped 1.51% to 6,506.48, marking a 1.9% weekly loss and a fourth consecutive weekly decline, with a total decline of approximately 5.4% since the conflict began [5] Factors Influencing Volatility - The sell-off has been driven by rising energy prices due to attacks on key infrastructure and disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz [10] - While U.S. markets have shown resilience due to domestic energy strength and hopes for a shorter conflict, prolonged uncertainty could lead to further losses [10]

Markets Head for Another Freaky Friday Amid Iran Volatility. Stock Futures Drop. The U.S. stock market remains volatile and at the mercy of the Iran war–and oil prices. CONCLUDED Stock Market News From March 20, 2026: Dow Marks Longest Weekly Losing Streak Since 2023 By Callum Keown Last Updated: Updated 12 hours ago Markets Head for Another Freaky Friday Amid Iran Volatility. Stock Futures Drop. Futures were falling early Friday after stocks mounted a late comeback in the previous session following encoura ...

Market Overview - The trading day is concluding with a notable rebound in equity markets, driven by a drop in oil prices, although the indices are off their session highs and lows [2][3] - Major U.S. indices are showing positive performance, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up nearly 400 points (approximately 0.8%), the S&P 500 increasing by about 1% to around 6,699, and the Nasdaq composite rising by 270 points (1.2%) [6][7] Sector Performance - All 11 sectors of the S&P 500 are trading in the green, with technology and consumer discretionary sectors leading the gains [7] - Micron Technology's stock rose by 3.7%, contributing to a positive sentiment in the semiconductor sector, which is up approximately 60% year-to-date [8][9] Company Highlights - Dollar Tree shares increased by about 6.5%, marking its best day since June, attributed to a strategy of introducing higher-priced items to attract wealthier shoppers [10][11] - Dollar General's stock rose by approximately 2.25%, as the company announced a new store format aimed at enhancing customer experience and plans for a subscription program [12] - Distribution Solutions (ticker DSG) saw a significant surge of 35% after receiving a preliminary buyout proposal at $29.50 per share, despite closing at a lower price [13] Decliners - CF Industries' stock fell by 5.6% following a downgrade from Scotiabank, which cited overstretched valuations amid ongoing geopolitical tensions [15] - Public Storage shares decreased by 2.7% after announcing an all-stock acquisition of National Storage Affiliates Trust valued at approximately $10.5 billion [16] - OneMain Financial's shares dropped by 5.4% due to a lawsuit alleging misleading practices related to loan products [17][18]

Core Viewpoint - Gold mining stocks are facing challenges due to increasing geopolitical risks, with the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) entering bear-market territory recently, while physical gold prices are nearing a correction [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) has recently touched bear-market territory, indicating a significant decline in value [1]. - Physical gold prices are approaching a correction, suggesting potential volatility in the gold market [1]. Group 2: Geopolitical Impact - The mounting geopolitical risks are contributing to the struggles faced by gold mining stocks, highlighting the sensitivity of this sector to global events [1].

Core Insights - Gold stocks maintain a significant presence on the IBD 50, with some mining companies experiencing pullbacks and forming new bases [1] - Gold prices have risen as investors seek safe-haven assets amid market volatility, but recent strength in the dollar has pressured gold and silver prices [1] - Equinox Gold and Pan American Silver are highlighted as IBD 50 mining stocks currently in bases, both holding a top IBD Composite Rating of 99 [1] Company Summaries - **Equinox Gold**: Formed an ascending base with a buy point at 18.96. Expected full-year 2026 profit is projected to increase to $1.24 per share from 30 cents per share in 2025, with revenue anticipated to rise 94% to $3.5 billion [1] - **Pan American Silver**: Currently in a cup-with-handle base with an entry point of 68.91. Analysts forecast a 79% increase in full-year 2026 earnings [1] Market Trends - Several IBD 50 gold stocks are extended from base breakouts, with potential buying opportunities if they bounce off the 10-week moving average [1] - Franco-Nevada rebounded off its 10-week line at 251, while Agnico Eagle Mines pulled back to its 10-week line near 213 [1] - Minas Buenaventura is testing its 10-week line near 37, and Wheaton Precious Metals is also testing its 10-week line around 143 [1] Stock Movements - Royal Gold, Eldorado Gold, Coeur Mining, and Newmont have recently fallen off the IBD 50 list but may rejoin if performance improves [1] - Royal Gold is in a cup with handle pattern with a buy point of 304.70, while Eldorado Gold is in a consolidation pattern with a 51.16 entry [1]

The South Korean stock market has been so turbulent in recent days that expectations for future swings pale in comparison https://t.co/vVLrFsTBdG ...

Market Overview - The Iran War has increased volatility in the stock market in 2026, necessitating careful investment decisions [1] Sector Analysis Oil/Gas/Energy - This sector is advised to be avoided due to the Middle East's significant role in global oil supply, with stocks experiencing considerable volatility since the conflict began [3] - Retirees are particularly vulnerable as they cannot afford to wait out market fluctuations [3] Airlines/Transportation - A shutdown in Middle East air travel has led to sell-offs in global airline stocks, including major U.S. carriers like Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and American Airlines [4] - Rising jet fuel prices, which increased by 40 cents in three days, pose additional risks to airline earnings, as most airlines only partially hedge fuel exposure [5] Lodging/Travel - Travel-related stocks, including hotel chains like Hilton and Marriott, as well as cruise operators such as Norwegian Cruise Line, Carnival, and Royal Caribbean, are negatively impacted by expectations of a sharp decline in tourism in the Middle East [6]