Alphabet (GOOG) stock, which was out of favor with markets for the last couple of years due to both macroeconomic and company-specific risks, has bounced back in style. The Google-parent recently rose to a record high and became a $3 trillion behemoth, joining ranks with Magnificent 7 peers Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), and Nvidia (NVDA). GOOG Stock Forecast It’s been nothing short of a turnaround in sentiment for GOOG, and Wall Street is catching up with substantial target price hikes. Looking at some ...

Core Thesis - Chemed Corporation (CHE) is viewed positively due to its strong market position in hospice care and plumbing services, with significant growth potential in the hospice market [1][2][5] Business Overview - Chemed operates two main businesses: VITAS, the largest hospice provider in the U.S., contributing 58% of revenue and growing around 9%, and Roto-Rooter, a plumbing service provider, contributing 42% of revenue and growing approximately 1.7% [2] - The U.S. hospice market is projected to grow from $29.9 billion to $39.1 billion by 2030, indicating a strong growth trajectory for VITAS [2] Financial Performance - Chemed generates annual free cash flow between $250 million and $367 million, has no debt beyond leases, and holds $249 million in cash, allowing for opportunistic share repurchases [4] - The stock is currently trading near multi-year lows on P/E and EV/EBITDA metrics, suggesting potential for re-rating as market focus shifts to 2026 earnings [4] Challenges and Mitigation Strategies - Recent stock price decline was attributed to a Medicare cap issue in Florida, which limited revenue recognition for VITAS due to higher state reimbursement rates [3] - Management has strategies in place to address these challenges, including increasing admissions and optimizing patient mix, which are expected to mitigate cap risks and create a $30 million cushion for 2026 [3][4] Market Outlook - The stock is seen as having a compelling risk/reward profile, with a potential upside of 26% as earnings improve, while downside risk is limited to approximately 12% [4] - The operational resilience and financial strength of Chemed support a bullish outlook despite recent short-term headwinds [5]