Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG)(NASDAQ: GOOGL) could be the hottest artificial intelligence (AI) stock on Wall Street right now. Shares have climbed by 68% over the past year, a staggering feat for a stock already worth a trillion dollars. But even after all that success, it still leaps off the page as arguably the best AI stock investors can buy and hold for the next five years. Predicting that Alphabet will continue to win tremendously in AI moving forward may not be a bold statement, but you don't always need t ...

文｜光锥智能 魏琳华 2026年的春节，成了大厂AI助手们争奇斗艳的战场。 其中，发力最猛的，当属谷歌。作为坐拥浏览器、搜索、Gmail等一系列"全家桶"产品矩阵的成熟科技 公司，谷歌前几天宣布，将Gemini 3内嵌进自家PC端浏览器Chrome中。 在过去的2025年，靠着内嵌AI的打法，谷歌已经尝到了甜头。据SimilarWeb数据，今年1月，Gemini的 访问量达到21.5%，比起去年（5.7%）增长3倍。 纵观海内外的AI流量争斗，我们发现一个有趣的事实：内嵌式AI非但不会死，反而正在成为另一种收 割战果的"黄雀"。 在各类产品场景中植入AI，靠场景+AI的打法破圈，成为当下流量增长的快车道。热热闹闹的AI大战之 下，比起伪需求，真场景才能让用户买单。 AI混战：内嵌式AI杀出重围 在AI入口大混战中，谷歌或许是最有发言权的一家。通过把自家的王牌模型融入浏览器中，谷歌的明 谋，是抢夺对手ChatGPT的地盘。 比"集五福"到来更早的，是AI助手们的瓜分现金活动：百度文心助手发放5亿元红包，并拿下北京台春 晚首席合作伙伴；腾讯元宝砸出10亿元现金；字节豆包选择冠名央视春晚，进行独家AI互动；阿里千 ...

5、谷歌Chrome：发布深度集成AI的新功能，将浏览器转型为个人AI助手，核心是新增的侧边栏体验，用户可直 接调用Gemini对比购物、总结评论。针对高端用户推出的"自动浏览"工具能实现订票等自动化操作，标志着 Chrome正转向具备自主能力的智能体。 6、Xmax AI：发布全球首个虚实融合的实时交互视频生成模型X1，允许用户通过手机摄像头与图片中的角色进行 毫秒级响应的实时互动。该模型集成了次元互动、世界滤镜等核心功能，标志着AI视频生成进入"人人可参与的共 创社交"新阶段。 全球云服务最新资讯 同学们，今日飞络24小时前沿早报来啦，快来看看有没有你关注的吧～ 全球AI最新资讯 1、字节跳动：发布图像生成模型Seedream 5.0，强调智能理解与知识驱动能力，可生成高达4K分辨率的图像。该 模型支持多步逻辑推理和联网检索，并在检索生图和精准编辑方面实现创新，展现了与阿里在AI图像生成赛道上 的激烈竞争格局。 2、阿里云：正式发布新一代图像生成基础模型Qwen-Image-2.0，该7B模型支持2K分辨率图像生成且在中文文字 渲染上表现出色，标志着国产AI图像模型在专业设计和内容创作领域的技术实力加速追 ...

Core Insights - Alphabet remains a dominant player in the search engine market, holding approximately 90% global market share, with search revenue constituting 55% of its total revenue in 2025 [3][4] - The company has a significant competitive advantage due to its distribution channels, owning the leading web browser (Chrome) and smartphone operating system (Android), both with around 70% market share [5][6] - Google Cloud is identified as the primary growth driver for Alphabet, with a notable revenue increase of 48% last quarter, reaching $17.7 billion [7][8] - Alphabet's custom AI chips, known as tensor processing units (TPUs), provide a structural cost advantage in cloud computing, enhancing its competitive position against other providers [9] Group 1 - Alphabet's search business remains its core revenue source, with a 17% growth in search revenue in Q4, showing consistent acceleration throughout the previous year [4] - The company's search moat is reinforced by its partnership with Apple, ensuring it remains the default search engine on Apple devices [5][6] Group 2 - Google Cloud's operating income more than doubled from $2.1 billion to $5.3 billion last quarter, indicating strong operational leverage [8] - The development of TPUs over the past decade has allowed Alphabet to optimize its cloud services, providing a competitive edge that is difficult for others to replicate [9]

Core Viewpoint - Alphabet, Google's parent company, reported Q4 2025 earnings with total revenue of $113.83 billion, an 18% year-over-year increase, and operating profit of $35.93 billion, slightly exceeding expectations [1] Financial Performance - Total revenue for Q4 2025 reached $113.83 billion, up from $96.43 billion in Q4 2024, reflecting an 18% growth [1] - Operating profit was $35.93 billion, with diluted earnings per share at $2.82, surpassing market expectations [1] - The revenue breakdown shows strong performance in various segments, particularly in advertising and cloud services [1][4] Business Segments - **Advertising Revenue**: Search advertising revenue was $63.07 billion, growing 16.7% year-over-year, driven by a robust retail sector [6][8] - **YouTube**: Generated $11.4 billion in revenue, with growth slowing to 8.7% due to high comparative figures from the previous year [15] - **Cloud Services**: Google Cloud revenue reached $17.7 billion, continuing its strong performance, with a profit margin exceeding 30% [10][14] - **Subscription Services**: Revenue from subscription services was $13.6 billion, growing 16.7% year-over-year, with Google One showing significant potential for future growth [16][18] Capital Expenditure and R&D - Capital expenditures for Q4 were $27.85 billion, a 95% increase year-over-year, with full-year capital expenditures nearing $91.5 billion [23][26] - R&D expenses reached $18.6 billion, with a rate exceeding 16% of revenue, indicating a strong commitment to innovation [20][22] Strategic Insights - The company is focusing on AI capabilities, particularly with the Gemini model, which has shown strong user growth and engagement [9][19] - Management has indicated a doubling of capital expenditure guidance for 2026 to $175-185 billion, reflecting confidence in AI infrastructure and market demand [26][27] - The strategic emphasis on AI and cloud services positions Google favorably against competitors, potentially leading to increased market share and profitability [27]

证券研究报告 谷歌 (GOOGL US) 高 CapEx 投入强化云业务增长动能 华泰研究 年报点评 投资评级(维持): 买入 目标价(美元): 415.00 何翩翩 研究员 SAC No. S0570523020002 SFC No. ASI353 夏路路 研究员 SAC No. S0570523100002 SFC No. BTP154 丁骄琬 研究员 SAC No. S0570523040003 dingjiaowan@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 易楚妍 联系人 SAC No. S0570124070123 SFC No. BXH065 韩冬冰* 联系人 SAC No. S0570125070150 handongbing@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 股价走势图 资料来源：S&P (25) 1 28 54 80 Feb-25 Jun-25 Oct-25 Feb-26 (%) 谷歌 标普500 经营预测指标与估值 | 会计年度 (美元) | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- ...

华泰研究 年报点评 投资评级(维持): 买入 目标价(美元): 415.00 何翩翩 研究员 证券研究报告 谷歌 (GOOGL US) 高 CapEx 投入强化云业务增长动能 SAC No. S0570523020002 SFC No. ASI353 夏路路 研究员 SAC No. S0570523100002 SFC No. BTP154 丁骄琬 研究员 SAC No. S0570523040003 dingjiaowan@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 易楚妍 联系人 SAC No. S0570124070123 SFC No. BXH065 韩冬冰* 联系人 SAC No. S0570125070150 handongbing@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 牟睿捷* 联系人 SAC No. S0570125070064 mouruijie@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 基本数据 | 收盘价 (美元 截至 2 月 4 日) | 333.04 | | --- | --- | | 市值 (美元百万) | 4,018,794 | | 6 ...

Google's latest quarterly report provided further evidence that its internet empire is withstanding an artificial intelligence shakeup that's turning into another potential boon for the company.The numbers released on Wednesday marked Google's third consecutive quarter of digital ad growth of more than 10 per cent from the previous year, while also posting more than 30 per cent sales growth in its division that powers data centres for AI services.Those increases during the October-December period propelled ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Alphabet's annual revenues exceeded $400 billion for the first time, with Q4 consolidated revenues reaching $113.8 billion, up 18% year-over-year [5][29] - Net income increased by 30% to $34.5 billion, and earnings per share rose by 31% to $2.82 [31] - Operating income increased by 16% to $35.9 billion, with an operating margin of 31.6% [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Google Services revenues increased by 14% to $95.9 billion, driven by a 17% increase in Search and Other revenues [19][32] - YouTube advertising revenues grew by 9% to $11.4 billion, primarily driven by direct response advertising [32] - Google Cloud revenue accelerated by 48% to $17.7 billion, with significant growth in enterprise AI products [33][36] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Google Cloud's backlog increased by 55% quarter-over-quarter to $240 billion, reflecting strong demand for AI products [5][36] - The number of paid subscriptions across consumer services reached over 325 million, with strong adoption for Google One and YouTube Premium [5] - Daily AI Mode queries per user doubled since launch, indicating increased user engagement [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on AI investments, with anticipated CapEx for 2026 in the range of $175 billion to $185 billion [6][39] - The launch of the Universal Commerce Protocol aims to enhance agentic commerce capabilities [10][46] - The integration of AI across products and platforms is a key strategy, with significant innovations in Search, YouTube, and Cloud services [10][20] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the ongoing demand for AI products and the company's ability to capitalize on this opportunity [39][41] - There are concerns about supply constraints affecting compute capacity, which management is actively addressing [79] - The company is committed to maintaining operational efficiency while investing in growth [53][78] Other Important Information - The company reported a $2.1 billion stock-based compensation charge related to Waymo's valuation increase [30] - Record operating cash flow of $52.4 billion was generated in Q4, contributing to a total of $164.7 billion for the full year [31][32] - The company is collaborating with Apple as their preferred cloud provider to develop next-generation foundation models based on Gemini technology [26] Q&A Session Summary Question: Progress on agentic commerce products and YouTube integration - Management highlighted that 2025 was about laying the foundation for agentic commerce, with significant progress expected in 2026 [44][46] Question: Addressing demand and capacity imbalances for AI - Management acknowledged supply constraints and emphasized long-term planning to meet demand while driving efficiencies [50][51] Question: Maintaining Gemini's position in the LLM frontier - Management expressed confidence in maintaining momentum through continuous innovation and integration of multimodal models [57][59] Question: YouTube ad revenue growth and brand-related impacts - Management noted that the growth rate was affected by lapping strong election spending and emphasized the holistic view of YouTube's revenue [66][68] Question: Investment levels and core performance trends - Management explained a rigorous investment framework that balances near-term and long-term growth objectives [76][78] Question: Concerns about the Google story and future challenges - Management identified compute capacity and supply chain constraints as key concerns that require ongoing attention [79]

Core Viewpoint - Google has integrated its latest AI model, Gemini 3, into the Chrome browser, marking a significant shift towards AI-driven browsing experiences for nearly 4 billion users, which is the fastest and largest scale of AI technology adoption in history [4][8]. Group 1: Product Integration and Features - Gemini 3 is not just a chatbot but is embedded directly into Chrome, allowing users to access it via a sidebar for real-time assistance on any webpage [4]. - The "Auto Browse" feature enables AI to autonomously navigate websites, fill out forms, and complete tasks without user intervention, representing a shift to an "Agent era" where AI acts as a proactive assistant [4][10]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The urgency for Google to integrate AI into Chrome stems from competition with emerging AI-native browsers like OpenAI's Atlas and Perplexity's Comet, which provide direct answers without the need for traditional searches [8][10]. - Google's market share in the browser space is approximately 70%, and failure to adapt could result in losing this critical entry point to competitors [8]. Group 3: Business Model Transformation - Google's primary revenue model relies on advertising, projected to generate over $200 billion in 2025. However, the rise of AI may reduce the need for traditional search ads, prompting Google to explore new revenue streams through AI service subscriptions and enhancements [9][10]. Group 4: Market Impact - The integration of Gemini 3 is expected to benefit Google significantly, with stock prices rising nearly 20% in the past two months. Additionally, AI Agent startups and cloud service providers like AWS and Azure are likely to gain from increased demand for computational resources [12][13]. - Conversely, emerging AI browser startups and traditional search engines may face severe challenges as user behavior shifts towards AI-driven solutions that provide immediate answers [13]. Group 5: Domestic Market Response - Major Chinese tech companies, including Baidu, Tencent, and Alibaba, are reportedly testing AI integration in their browsers, although their strategies may differ from Google's approach [16][18]. - The concept of "AI group chat" is being explored by these companies, allowing multiple AI agents to collaborate within a single interface, which could serve as an alternative to traditional browser AI [17][18]. Group 6: Opportunities for Entrepreneurs and Individuals - Entrepreneurs are advised to focus on niche markets such as vertical industry AI agents, enterprise-level multi-agent collaboration platforms, and tools for managing AI applications, as these areas present significant opportunities [20][21]. - For individuals, enhancing productivity through AI tools and learning to manage AI effectively will be crucial for staying competitive in the evolving job market [22][23]. Group 7: Time Sensitivity - The window for capitalizing on these changes is estimated to be limited to the next two years, emphasizing the urgency for stakeholders to adapt and innovate [26].