Listen to any annual forecast for the stock market and the economy, and you can judge it two ways: It might be right, or it might be wrong. I've been tracking markets for 40 years, and I've interviewed hundreds (maybe thousands) of fund managers and analysts. The truth is, however, that annual forecasts from investment experts are less predictive than a coin flip. CXO Advisory Group analyzed more than 6,500 forecasts—using methodologies ranging from fundamental to technical analysis—made by 68 experts on ...

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Goldman Sachs has quietly dropped a rare stock market forecast, which stretches all the way to 2035, while delivering a twist most U.S. investors won’t love. Following a decade that has been defined by tech-fueled gains along with expanding valuations, Goldman feels the next decade will look remarkably different. The bank forecasts just a 6.5% annual return for the S&P 500, a stark contrast from the typical double-digit run to which most investors have become accustomed. Earnings, and not multiple expan ...