Subscription-based services

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FTNT's Subscription-Based Services Gain Steam: A Sign of More Upside?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-10 16:16
Core Insights - Fortinet's transition to a subscription-driven business model is driving significant growth in recurring service revenues, with service revenues increasing by 14% year-over-year to $1.08 billion in Q1 2025, representing 70% of total revenues [1][11] - The Unified SASE strategy has reported recurring revenues of $1.15 billion, up 25.7% year-over-year, while Security Operations' recurring revenues surged 30.3% year-over-year to $434.5 million [1][11] - Fortinet is aggressively investing in its SASE and SSE offerings to expand subscription-based revenue streams, with notable traction in large-scale enterprise deals [3] Revenue Growth - Multi-year contracts for services such as FortiGuard, FortiCare, FortiCloud, Unified SASE, and Security Operations are driving revenue growth [2] - The company expects service revenues to reach approximately $4.6 billion in 2025, indicating a year-over-year growth of 13.4% [5] Market Position and Competition - Fortinet faces stiff competition in the enterprise security market from companies like Palo Alto Networks and Zscaler [6] - Palo Alto Networks is expected to deliver recurring revenues between $5.52 billion and $5.57 billion for fiscal 2025, while Zscaler has a customer base of over 8,650 organizations [7][8] Pricing and Future Outlook - Fortinet's scalable, per-user pricing model with multi-year discounts is expected to enhance future recurring revenues [4] - Unified SASE and Security Operations are projected to experience a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 24% through 2026 [4][11] Stock Performance and Valuation - Fortinet's shares have risen 13.9% year-to-date, underperforming the Zacks Security industry's growth of 27.1% [9] - The stock is currently trading at a Price/Book ratio of 41.98X, compared to the industry's 25.76X, indicating a lower valuation score [14]