ab 21 July 2025 Global Research China Equity Strategy Potential market reaction to anti-involution drive: Lessons from 2015-16 supply-side reform China's anti-involution push gathering momentum In July 2024, the Political Bureau meeting began calling for industries to exert more self- discipline to avoid damaging involutionary competition. The Central Economic Work Conference in late 2024 and the Two Sessions this March both proposed comprehensive measures to eliminate such severe competition. This initiati ...

有色早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/07/24 铜 ： 日期 沪铜现货 升贴水 废精铜 价差 上期所 库存 沪铜 仓单 现货进口 盈利 三月进口 盈利 保税库 premium 提单 premium 伦铜 C-3M LME 库存 LME 注销仓单 2025/07/17 110 114 81462 42139 -219.86 526.79 49.0 65.0 -58.71 122150 11200 2025/07/18 175 408 84556 38239 -237.75 330.02 49.0 65.0 -53.76 122175 14075 2025/07/21 215 848 84556 28177 -44.80 476.03 49.0 66.0 -66.96 122075 12575 2025/07/22 250 794 84556 25507 76.62 427.41 49.0 66.0 -68.24 124850 12250 2025/07/23 180 784 84556 15535 -263.59 309.62 49.0 66.0 -52.36 124825 17525 变化 -70 -10 ...

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the battery materials industry, but it indicates a positive sentiment towards the sector based on production increases and market conditions. Core Insights - The battery production pipeline is estimated to increase by 1% month-over-month (MoM) and 39% year-over-year (YoY) in July 2025, with electric vehicle (EV) battery production remaining flat MoM, while energy storage system (ESS) battery demand is expected to grow by 4% MoM [1] - Lithium carbonate is projected to rise by 4% MoM, contrasting with the largely flat trends observed in other battery materials [1] - Market sentiment has been buoyed by positive discussions regarding potential supply-side reforms in China, despite ongoing increases in production output [1] Summary by Sections Battery Production Trends - Battery production is estimated to be up by 1% MoM [3] - Cathode production is expected to remain flattish MoM [5] - Anode production is projected to increase by 1% MoM [7] - Separator production is also estimated to rise by 1% MoM [9] - Electrolyte production is expected to be flattish MoM [11] Market Sentiment and Demand - The market sentiment is influenced by positive discussions and hopes for supply-side reforms in China, which have led to increased interest in equities and futures related to battery materials [1] - The demand for ESS batteries is forecasted to continue its upward trend, with a 4% MoM increase expected [1]

July 9, 2025 01:56 AM GMT China Solar | Asia Pacific Our thoughts on the recent share price rally The central government has escalated its attention to disorderly competition in the solar industry. However, we see uncertainties in implementing supply-side reform on the solar industry. Key Takeaways We see execution risks: weak demand, market participants dominated by private firms, and local government resistance. Industry View Attractive Chinese solar stocks – especially polysilicon players (Tongwei, Daqo, ...

J P M O R G A N This material is neither intended to be distributed to Mainland China investors nor to provide securities investment consultancy services within the territory of Mainland China. This material or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of J.P. Morgan. China Solar Asia Pacific Equity Research 05 July 2025 Supply-side reform? Not easy to find solution to current situation; stock picks on valuation and risk/reward President Xi's remarks at the 6 ...

V i e w p o i n t | Taiwan – Jun headline likely benefit from TWD appreciation as it helps lower import prices at 1.6%YoY. We see exports at 21%YoY. Asia Economics & Strategy Daily Strategy Comments; Strategy Week Ahead (July 7-July 13); CN Supply Side Reform 2.0 CITI'S TAKE EM Asia Strategy Comments: Singapore; EM Strategy Weekly; Take Profit on USDIDR Put Spreads; CN Supply Side Reform 2.0; KR Timeline of Corporate Governance Reform; Upcoming events (US Independence Day): JP Real Household Spending, PH Ju ...

Asia Pacific Equity Research 03 July 2025 Source: NDRC, MIIT, State Council, MOHRSS, Xinhuanet, J.P. Morgan See page 3 for analyst certification and important disclosures, including non-US analyst disclosures. China Steel J.P. Morgan does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in ...

Group 1 - The domestic AI investment market is experiencing a critical turning point, with a notable mismatch between long-term and short-term allocations, creating unique investment opportunities for investors [1] - The AIAgent economy has fully launched, with irreversible development trends in technology and product iterations, redefining traditional business models and production methods [3] - The anticipated release of the DeepSeekR2 version in the second half of the year is expected to significantly enhance the benefits across the entire domestic AI industry chain [3] Group 2 - The AI industry chain is seen as entering a recovery phase, with expectations of continuous improvement in the AI computing power industry chain, presenting new investment opportunities [4] - Emerging fields such as satellite internet and quantum technology are showing promising development, with significant advancements in technology and commercialization processes [4] - The ongoing construction of computing infrastructure is laying a solid foundation for the development of the entire industry chain [4] Group 3 - A new round of equipment investment opportunities is emerging in the manufacturing sector, focusing on humanoid robots, low-altitude economy, and controllable nuclear fusion [5] - The engineering machinery industry is showing a positive development outlook driven by domestic demand recovery and stable exports [5] - The automotive industry chain is undergoing transformation, with an expected increase in passenger car sales and a growing market share in the sub-300,000 price range [5]

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