Supply Chain Program
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Mondelez International(MDLZ) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-28 22:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a year-to-date organic net revenue growth of more than 4% for Q4, with an implied EPS growth translating to significant EBIT growth compared to the previous year [11][40] - The company faced challenges including tariffs, material destocking in the U.S., and an unprecedented heat wave in Europe, which impacted consumer confidence and volume trends [9][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Europe, the chocolate business experienced a substantial price increase of about 30%, with elasticity around 0.7 to 0.8, which is higher than previously expected [6][29] - The U.S. biscuit category saw a volume decline of 4%, driven by consumer concerns about the economy and a shift towards value-seeking behavior [16][17] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Emerging markets experienced a volume decline of 4.7%, primarily due to hyperinflation in Argentina and strategic downsizing in India [34] - China showed low single-digit growth in Q3, indicating a new challenge for the company, while Brazil reported double-digit growth due to strong execution in biscuits and chocolate [35] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on optimizing pricing strategies and promotional effectiveness to drive growth, particularly in the U.S. market [20][56] - There is a clear intention to invest in emerging markets and adjacencies like cakes and pastries, with a target of high single-digit EPS growth for 2026 [13][62] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the cocoa cost environment is expected to improve, which will positively impact future pricing strategies and profitability [12][31] - The company is adapting its product offerings and pricing architecture to better align with consumer expectations and market conditions [57][58] Other Important Information - The company is implementing a multi-year North America supply chain program aimed at improving cost structures and service levels [43][44] - There is an emphasis on continuous investment in brands and activation at the point of sale to support long-term growth [62] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on European market pricing and elasticity - Management indicated that the price elasticity in Europe is currently around 0.7 to 0.8, which is higher than historical norms, and adjustments are being made to address pricing gaps [28][29] Question: Path forward for U.S. growth - The U.S. market is experiencing a volume decline, but management is optimistic about returning to growth through strategic pricing and promotional adjustments [15][22] Question: Expectations for North America in Q4 - Management expects a rebound in Europe and a slight improvement in North America, driven by pricing strategies and promotional effectiveness [40][41] Question: SG&A cost reductions and future investments - Management outlined that SG&A reductions are primarily due to working media declines, but investments will increase in 2026 to support growth initiatives [46][48]