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Goldman and Morgan Stanley CEOs predict corrections of up to 20%, sparking global selloff
Fortune· 2025-11-04 11:36
Market Overview - Stock markets across Asia and Europe experienced significant declines following warnings from CEOs of Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley about a potential major correction in equity markets [1][3] - The STOXX Europe 600 fell by 1.41%, the U.K.'s FTSE 100 decreased by 1.11%, Japan's Nikkei 225 dropped by 1.74%, and South Korea's KOSPI saw the largest decline at 2.37% [2][8] CEO Insights - Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon projected a potential 10 to 20% drawdown in equity markets within the next 12 to 24 months [3] - Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick echoed this sentiment, suggesting that 10 to 15% drawdowns could occur without a macroeconomic crisis [3] Investment Strategy - Morgan Stanley's chief investment officer, Lisa Shalett, advised clients to consider selling speculative tech stocks and to focus on diversifying into large-cap core and quality stocks, particularly those benefiting from generative AI [4] Systemic Risk Concerns - UBS Chair Colm Kelleher highlighted systemic risks in the private credit market, particularly due to inadequate regulation and the use of lenient ratings agencies by loan providers [5] - Reports indicated that loan originators are tightening legal terms in private credit deals, signaling potential trouble ahead [6] Federal Reserve Outlook - Two members of the Federal Reserve expressed uncertainty regarding further interest rate cuts in December, with Fed Governor Lisa Cook emphasizing that each meeting's decisions are based on incoming data [7] - The ongoing U.S. government shutdown has contributed to economic uncertainty, with key trade data being delayed [7]