Market Overview - The market is experiencing a retracement bounce after an aggressive sell-off in recent days, with S&P minis up nearly 0.5%, Nasdaq 100 futures higher by over 0.5%, and small cap futures up 1.25% [1][2]. - The S&P 500 closed at the 100-day moving average, which historically leads to a bounce back the following day [3][4]. - An increase in open interest in E-mini S&P 500 futures indicates new sellers entering the market, suggesting a correction phase [5]. Sector Performance - There is notable weakness in technology stocks, particularly software names, while consumer staples and industrials are showing strength [6][7]. - The "Mag seven" tech stocks, including Microsoft, are underperforming, with concerns about their spending levels impacting stock performance [7][9]. Amazon's Earnings Report - Amazon reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.95, slightly missing expectations of $1.96, but revenue exceeded expectations at $213.3 billion compared to the anticipated $211.4 billion [10][11]. - AWS revenue also surpassed expectations, coming in at $35.58 billion, while advertising revenue exceeded forecasts [11]. - Amazon's capital expenditure (CapEx) is projected to be around $200 billion for 2026, significantly higher than the expected $146.6 billion, raising concerns about future growth and cash flow [12][13]. Reddit's Earnings Report - Reddit's adjusted earnings per share for Q4 came in at $1.24, beating expectations of $1.94, and revenue reached $726 million, also exceeding forecasts [23][24]. - The company is seeing strong growth in daily active users, particularly internationally, and guidance for future revenue and earnings has surpassed expectations [24][25]. - Reddit's partnerships with major companies like Google for AI training are expected to provide long-term business benefits [25][26]. Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin is showing signs of recovery, defending a key support level, with a potential close above $68,000 indicating a healthy market condition [16][17]. - There is a noted correlation between Bitcoin and the tech sector, particularly software stocks, although Bitcoin is increasingly trading independently of broader equity markets [20][21].

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Mortgage Market - There has been a significant surge in refinancing demand, with refinancing applications growing 4% week-over-week and an 81% increase year-over-year [3] - Mortgage rates have decreased, with the 30-year fixed rate falling to 6.37% from 6.42% [2] - Purchasing applications have seen a 5% increase week-over-week but only a 20% growth year-over-year, indicating ongoing pressures for home buyers [4] Company Earnings - GE Venova reported total revenue of $9.97 billion, exceeding expectations of $9.15 billion, marking the largest earnings beat since its IPO [8] - Adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.64, below the expected $1.95, primarily due to the cancellation of a significant offshore wind project [9] - The electrification segment is experiencing rapid growth, with a backlog of orders expected to last until 2027 [10] Crude Oil Market - Crude oil prices are tracking higher, influenced by trade developments with China and India, despite challenges in reducing Russian oil imports [12][15] - A technical balance is observed in the crude oil market, with prices hitting a key support area around $55 [13] - The potential for new supplies outside of Iran and Russia remains challenging for India, which relies heavily on these imports [16] Commodity Market - Gold is losing momentum but remains steady above the 4,000 mark, while other commodities like silver, copper, palladium, and platinum are showing upward movement [19] - Industrial metals may benefit from a high inflation environment, especially if fiscal policies support economic growth [22] - A hot CPI print could lead to increased demand for metals, particularly silver, as the market adjusts to potential rate-cutting expectations [24]