Bitcoin’s price sank sharply over the weekend, sliding below $78,000 — its lowest level since April — as profit-taking collided with thinning liquidity and a scarcity of fresh buyers. Traders told CoinDesk that a rally once backed by corporate demand, particularly from Strategy’s (MSTR) bitcoin purchases, has run out of steam, leaving markets vulnerable to forced selling and derivative liquidations. For some market analysts, Saturday’s slide fits into a broader bearish pattern that has been emerging for ...

Group 1 - Seeking Alpha welcomes Christopher Lauw as a new contributing analyst, encouraging others to share investment ideas for publication and potential earnings [1] Group 2 - An undergraduate student at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign is pursuing a degree in Econometrics and Quantitative Economics, focusing on statistical modeling and applied finance [2] - The student has experience as Head of Operations at a housing platform startup with over 15,000 users, managing operational strategy and growth initiatives [2] - The investment philosophy emphasizes identifying structural market imbalances through quantitative analysis, with interests in equities, precious metals, and sectors with fundamental supply-demand shifts [2]

Core Insights - Bitcoin may have entered a bear market approximately two months ago, as indicated by technical and on-chain indicators that turned bearish in early November [1][8] - The CryptoQuant bull score index has been signaling warning signs for several weeks, tracking metrics such as network activity, investor profitability, Bitcoin demand, and market liquidity [2] Technical Indicators - A significant signal of the trend shift is Bitcoin falling below its one-year moving average, which is commonly used to differentiate between uptrends and downtrends [3][4] - Bitcoin's price action supports this bearish view, having started 2025 near $93,000, peaked at around $126,080 in October, and then ended the year below its opening level, trading near $88,500 as of Friday [4] Market Expectations - If the current phase is indeed a bear market, it contradicts expectations for strong growth in 2026, suggesting the market may still be finding a bottom [5] - Based on Bitcoin's realized price, a potential bear market low is estimated to be in the $56,000 to $60,000 range over the next year [5][6] Historical Context - A decline to the estimated range would represent a drawdown of approximately 55% from Bitcoin's all-time high, which is considered mild compared to historical standards where previous bear markets saw losses of 70% to 80% [7]

Core Insights - The article discusses the author's journey in learning about markets and how macro insights and technical indicators inform trading strategies [1] Group 1 - The author began learning about markets at the age of 19, indicating a long-term interest and experience in the field [1] - Current trading strategies are influenced by macroeconomic insights and technical indicators, suggesting a comprehensive approach to market analysis [1] - The author engages in physical activities such as running, cycling, and lifting, which may serve as a mental break while still contemplating market dynamics [1]

Core Insights - The article highlights that Netflix, Reddit, and Millicom International are exhibiting positive technical indicators, suggesting potential upward momentum in their stock performance [1] Company Summaries Netflix - Netflix is showing constructive technical indicators, which may indicate a favorable trend for investors [1] Reddit - Reddit's technical indicators are also positive, suggesting potential growth opportunities in the near future [1] Millicom International - Millicom International is displaying encouraging technical signals, which could attract investor interest [1]

Technical Analysis Tools - Traders utilize technical indicators to understand the supply and demand dynamics of securities [1] - The report examines seven technical trading tools [1]

The three stocks are flashing bullish technical indicators ahead of earnings next week. ...

Core Insights - Stellar's native token XLM experienced significant volatility, dropping to key support levels before rebounding, indicating market focus on the $0.36–$0.37 support zone [1][2] - Heavy institutional trading activity was noted, particularly during the Asian trading session, with volumes exceeding 40 million, more than double the average [2][6] - The trading session on September 24 was marked by turbulence, with XLM hitting a low of $0.368 before recovering, highlighting significant institutional flows [3][6] Trading Activity - XLM plummeted to $0.36, establishing this price area as a critical high-volume support level with a trading volume of 40.69 million [2][6] - The recovery towards $0.37 during Asian trading hours suggests that institutional players may be accumulating positions at discounted levels [2][6] - Volume spikes during the final hour of trading indicated significant institutional activity, with notable spikes at 13:37, 13:58, and 13:59 [3][6] Technical Analysis - A consolidation pattern is forming above the $0.37 support zone, indicating potential for future price movements [4][6] - The price range of $0.01 represents a 4% volatility, reflecting active trading interest in XLM [6] - The critical support zone around the $0.36 psychological level has been established, indicating a strong interest from traders [6]

Technical Analysis Tools - Traders utilize technical indicators to understand the supply and demand dynamics of securities [1] - The report examines seven technical trading tools [1]

Core Insights - The iShares S&P 100 ETF, launched by BlackRock on October 23, 2000, provides exposure to the largest 100 companies in the S&P 500 by tracking the S&P 100 Index [1] Group 1 - The ETF is managed by BlackRock Fund Advisors, indicating a strong management background [1] - The fund aims to offer investors a way to invest in large-cap U.S. companies, which are typically more stable and less volatile [1]