Goldman Sachs has lowered its forecasts for US Treasury yields, pointing to the increased likelihood that the Fed will cut interest rates sooner than previously expected https://t.co/MarU6yQGEn ...

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent questioned Fed policymakers’ judgment on interest rates, reiterating his view that two-year Treasury yields are a signal that their benchmark rate is too high https://t.co/Ze9Ony2Qdj ...

Welcome back to Power Launch. As Kelly alluded to, Treasury yields are rising as investors digest weaker data for the jobs market and weigh the impact of President Trump's tax and spending package working its way through Congress. And now the next key report will be tomorrow's big granddaddy of them all, the big jobs number. Our Rick Santelli has the bond report with all of those factors at play and the big non-farm payrolls tomorrow.Rick. Yes, Dom. What an interesting day and for a variety of reasons.As yo ...

Group 1: Economic Environment - The May 2025 Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report indicates core PCE inflation rose approximately 0.22% month over month and 2.68% year over year, reinforcing expectations for the Fed's hawkish stance [1][11] - Treasury yields have increased, with the benchmark 10-year yield climbing from roughly 3.35% to about 3.45%, reflecting market reactions to persistent inflation data [2][11] Group 2: Financial Sector Performance - Financial institutions, including banks and insurance companies, are expected to see increased profitability due to higher lending rates and improved net interest margins in a high-rate environment [4][5] - The S&P 500 Financials Select Sector SPDR (XLF) has risen 9.1% year to date as of June 30, indicating strong performance in the financial sector [5] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - Stocks such as Nelnet, Inc. (NNI), Pagaya Technologies Ltd. (PGY), and United Fire Group, Inc. (UFCS) are highlighted as viable investment options due to their strong earnings momentum and favorable growth rates [3][11] - Nelnet (NNI) has an expected earnings growth rate of 59% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank 1 and a VGM Score of B [8] - Pagaya Technologies (PGY) shows an expected earnings growth rate of 195.2% for the current year, also holding a Zacks Rank 1 and a VGM Score of B [9] - United Fire Group (UFCS) has an expected earnings growth rate of 8% for the next year, with a Zacks Rank 2 and a VGM Score of B [10]

M Idea Morgan Stanley & Co. LLC Matthew Hornbach Strategist Matthew.Hornbach@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-1837 Martin W Tobias, CFA Strategist Martin.Tobias@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-6076 Francesco Grechi Strategist Francesco.Grechi@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-1009 Aryaman Singh Strategist Aryaman@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-1993 Eli P Carter Strategist Eli.Carter@morganstanley.com +1 212 761-4703 June 27, 2025 09:16 PM GMT US Rates Strategy | North America Watch the Economic Data, Not the US Equity Ma ...

>> I'M ROMAINE BOSTICK. BLOOMBERG REAL YIELD STARTS NOW. COMING UP, THE FED KEEPS RATES STEADY AS CHAIR POWELL FLAGS INFLATION COMING DOWN THE PIPE.BUT EARLIER TODAY FED GOVERNOR WALZ OR HAD SOMETHING TO SAY. A DOVISH TILL POTENTIALLY CUTTING RATES AS SOON AS NEXT MONTH IN HIS VIEW. AS MARKETS GET A REPRIEVE FROM GLOBAL TENSIONS, PRESIDENT TRUMP BUYING TIME IN THE MIDDLE EAST.WE BEGIN WITH THE BIG ISSUE AND IT IS WAIT AND SEE AT THE FED. >> THE FED IS IN THIS REALLY POLICY PURGATORY. >> I THINK THEY ARE DOI ...

We of course are watching Iran and Israel developments there. A Fed meeting coming in a couple of days at least the decision and the G7 ongoing as you saw earlier that bilateral between President Trump and uh Canada's Carney. All our eyes on on on everything today.Joe Terteranova, Carrie Firestone, Jim Leventhal with me at the desk. So Joe, we have Iran signaling according to the Wall Street Journal that they want to negotiate. the president all but corroborating that in the um little spray they had with re ...

It's not at all uncommon for different duration treasury yields to rise and fall at different speeds, creating varied slopes of the yield curve to reflect market conditions. Much more rare is when different duration yields move in entirely opposite directions. Well, in recent weeks, 30-year Treasury yields have risen while shorter term yields have fallen.Pattern last seen in 2001. This shift is driven by a couple interesting factors. First, the Federal Reserve has cut short-term interest rates by 100 basis ...

It's not at all uncommon for different duration treasury yields to rise and fall at different speeds, creating varied slopes of the yield curve to reflect market conditions. Much more rare is when different duration yields move in entirely opposite directions. Well, in recent weeks, 30-year Treasury yields have risen while shorter term yields have fallen.Pattern last seen in 2001. This shift is driven by a couple interesting factors. First, the Federal Reserve has cut short-term interest rates by 100 basis ...

In this video, I will talk about the spike in U.S. Treasury yields, the recent drop in FICO (FICO -0.17%) stock, and OpenAI's acquisition of Jony Ive's company. Watch the short video to learn more, consider subscribing, and click the special offer link below.*Stock prices used were from the trading day of May 21, 2025. The video was published on May 22, 2025. ...