Markets have thus far largely brushed off deepening geopolitical fractures around the world, with stocks rallying and currencies and bonds little budged following the U.S. intervention in Also on traders' radar, China on ‌Tuesday banned exports ‌of dual-use items to Japan that can be used for military purposes, marking Beijing's latest move in reaction to an early November remark by ‌Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi about Taiwan. "I think there is still a lot of uncertainty as to whether the regime ...

Group 1 - A large crypto trader has opened short positions exceeding $269 million across Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana just before the release of Federal Reserve meeting minutes, indicating potential market volatility [1][2] - The trader's positions include a $119 million short on Bitcoin, a $106 million short on Ether, and a $43 million short on Solana, suggesting a significant bearish outlook rather than routine hedging [3][5] - The trader's account is utilizing over 80% of its available margin, reflecting a high-conviction trade strategy [6] Group 2 - The timing of these large short positions coincides with the anticipation of the Federal Reserve's policy minutes, which are expected to influence market sentiment for risk assets [7][8] - The Federal Reserve's interest-rate outlook is recognized as a critical factor affecting digital asset prices, despite the Fed not directly setting crypto policy [9]

Group 1 - Gold prices fell in early Asian trade, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [1] - Safe-haven demand for gold may remain elevated due to intensifying geopolitical tensions [1] - Expectations of a more accommodative U.S. monetary policy could further support gold prices [1]

Gold prices rise as investors weigh expectations of looser U.S. monetary policy next year and persistent geopolitical risks."The metal benefited from expectations of additional interest rate cuts in 2026 following the Federal Reserve's recent rate reduction and a less hawkish tone than expected from Fed Chair Jerome Powell," says Christopher Tahir from Exness.Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding peace talks in Eastern Europe, along with tensions in the Middle East and Latin America, have further reinforced go ...

Core Insights - March U.S. Treasury bond futures are currently presenting a selling opportunity due to recent price weakness, having reached a four-week low [1] - The U.S. inflation remains persistent, and the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance on monetary policy has raised concerns among bond traders regarding demand for U.S. Treasuries [2] - A breach of the support level at 116 in March T-Bonds would empower bearish sentiment and create a selling opportunity, with a downside target of 112 [3] Technical Analysis - The daily bar chart indicates a downward trend in March U.S. Treasury bond futures, with the MACD indicator showing a bearish posture as the red line is below the blue line [1] - Technical resistance is identified at 118, where protective buy stops should be placed [3] Market Sentiment - Concerns are growing about reduced demand for U.S. Treasuries from countries that traditionally hold them in their sovereign reserves, contributing to bearish sentiment in the futures market [2]