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Jobless claims rise more than expected
CNBC Televisionยท 2025-09-04 13:13
Economic Indicators - Non-farm productivity jumps to 33%, exceeding expectations of under 3%, marking the best performance since the last quarter of 2023 [1] - Unit labor costs moderate to 1%, the smallest since a negative 15% in the third quarter of 2024 [2] - Initial jobless claims rise to 237000, up 8000 from a non-revised 229000, equaling the second to last week in June, with the higher one in mid-June at 246000 [2] - Continuing claims are slightly lower at 1940000, maintaining a string above 19 million, comparable to November 2021 [3] - The trade deficit comes in at approximately minus 78 billion, compared to a revised minus 59 billion previously [4] Market Reaction - Following the data release, the 10-year Treasury yield decreases by three basis points, moving from around 418% to 419% [4] Labor Market Analysis - Initial jobless claims remain well-behaved, but exceeding 250000 would warrant greater scrutiny [4][5] - Government work week data has not deteriorated, remaining at or above 341% since the beginning of the year [5][6]